Skip to content
Menu

data updated 25.09 16:10

FINISHED

Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis 2:0: result and AI prediction

Xtreme Gaming and Team Nemesis played on 24 September — playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final, PGL Wallachia Season 9 2026: the series ended 2:0. The AI models' bet: Xtreme Gaming -1.5 map handicap at 2.13 — 7 of 14 models chose it; the bet won. Below: the analysis, the pre-match odds, the maps of the series, team form and rosters.

published · updated UTC

Xtreme Gaming
Team Nemesis

AI models' pick: Xtreme Gaming -1.5 map handicap

2.13

AI models' pick · 7 of 14 for this bet, 7 for others

won+1.13 units

AI models

  • 7H1 (-1.5)odds 2.13DeepSeek, Gemini, Kimi, Qwen, GLM, Mistral, Sonar
  • 6H2 (+1.5)odds 1.73ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, Xiaomi MiMo, Dots3-Note, Nemotron Super
  • 1O 2.5odds 2.09MiniMax
all 14 AI predictions

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 24.09 at 03:21 UTC

Series winner11.3123.37
Map handicap −1.5H12.13 — matches our betH21.73
Map handicap +1.5H11.09H25.99
Total maps 2.5O2.09U1.68

Since the first snapshot Xtreme Gaming have drifted: 1.31 → 1.34, Team Nemesis — 3.37 → 3.25. The money is going on Team Nemesis.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — Xtreme Gaming or Team Nemesis wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

How the series went

  1. map 1Xtreme Gaming39 min
  2. map 2Xtreme Gaming40 min

AI prediction and analysis

7 of 14 AI models bet on Xtreme Gaming −1.5 on maps — the bet won. 6 more bet on Team Nemesis +1.5 on maps — the bet lost. One more bet on over 2.5 maps.

  • 7 of 14H1 (-1.5)our betodds 2.13DeepSeekGeminiKimiQwenGLMMistralSonarwon
  • 6 of 14H2 (+1.5)odds 1.73ChatGPTClaudeGrokXiaomi MiMoDots3-NoteNemotron Superlost
  • 1 of 14O 2.5odds 2.09MiniMaxlost

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Team Nemesis have won eight of their last ten series, but the five of JACKBOYS, NARMAN, Jhocam, Saberlight and Mo13ei were only put together on 19 September, and they go into the quarter-final with no break at all. Their previous series was played the same day, and they have 13 maps in a week behind them against seven for Xtreme Gaming, who have had two days off. The Chinese side closed out their recent matches without dropping a map, 2-0 against LGD Gaming and 2-0 against Pibbles Corp., and the market makes them 72% to take the series against 28%. The only head-to-head in two years also went Xtreme Gaming's way, 2-1 in March at PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 7, and our pick is the Xtreme Gaming -1.5 map handicap, which asks for another sweep.

The Xtreme Gaming roster was rebuilt around the same date: fy, NothingToSay, xNova and Xxs all left the main line-up, and the last ten series read five wins and five defeats. Over 60 days their map record is 14-12 against 19-8 for their opponents, with both sides averaging the same 43 minutes. That is the catch — in a series to two wins, one dropped map is enough for the bet to go down, and Nemesis beat MOUZ 2-0 during that run.

Where we could be wrong

  • 7 of 14 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.
  • One of the teams has three or more newcomers in its five: a new roster has little history, and form from previous weeks says less about it than usual.

Form, rosters and heroes

patch 7.41

Xtreme Gaming

roster

Ame, BoBoKa, zeal, Xm, XinQ — together since 19 September

New in the five: BoBoKa, zeal, Xm, XinQ

Left the starting five: fy, NothingToSay, xNova, Xxs

recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses

  • W2-0LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • W2-1Conventus StellarumPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • W2-0Pibbles Corp.PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
  • L0-2Team ResilienceThe International 202615.08
  • L1-2LGD GamingThe International 202615.08
  • W2-0HULIGANIThe International 202614.08
  • L0-2GamerLegionThe International 202614.08
  • L0-2Team SpiritThe International 202613.08
  • L1-2Team resilienceThe Games of the Future 202603.08
  • W2-0REKONIXThe Games of the Future 202601.08

maps in the last 60 days

14–12, average length 43 min; Radiant 10–6, Dire 4–6

2 days since the last series, 7 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Mirana8 / 5
  • Hoodwink7 / 6
  • Dark Willow6 / 1
  • Ember Spirit5 / 4
  • Largo5 / 2
  • Earth Spirit4 / 3
  • Spirit Breaker4 / 2
  • Dark Seer4 / 2

Team Nemesis

roster

JACKBOYS, NARMAN, Jhocam, Saberlight, Mo13ei — together since 19 September

New in the five: JACKBOYS, NARMAN, Jhocam, Saberlight, Mo13ei

Left the starting five: J, Ken

recent series · 8 wins, 2 losses

  • W2-1Conventus StellarumPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 923.09
  • L0-2GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W1-0GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W2-0MOUZPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • W2-11wPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
  • W2-0Team BoredRES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam IX Qualifier SEA13.09
  • W2-1DIREBORNRES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam IX Qualifier SEA13.09
  • W2-0InterActive PhilippinesRES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam IX Qualifier SEA12.09
  • W2-0ExecrationRES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam VIII Qualifier SEA30.08

maps in the last 60 days

19–8, average length 43 min; Radiant 10–5, Dire 9–3

0 days since the last series, 13 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Clockwerk9 / 7
  • Hoodwink8 / 6
  • Techies8 / 5
  • Ember Spirit7 / 7
  • Tiny7 / 6
  • Winter Wyvern6 / 5
  • Largo6 / 5
  • Dark Willow6 / 3

head-to-head series, last two years

1 series: Xtreme Gaming 1 win, Team Nemesis 0 wins

  • W2-1Xtreme Gaming vs Team NemesisPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 708.03

Other Dota 2 matches

All matches
1:2Natus Vincere–LGD GamingOur pick:H1 (-1.5)prediction lost12 of 14 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 1.442 2.782:0Aurora–GamerLegionOur pick:H1 (-1.5)prediction won14 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.242 3.982:0Team Yandex–1winOur pick:H1 (-1.5)prediction won15 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.192 4.55
1:2Team Nemesis–Natus Vincereno prediction
[EXTERNAL LINK]

> You are leaving for another site: