Skip to content
Menu

Which AI is best at predicting sports? The AI leaderboard

Every AI model names one bet before each match, and we settle it on the final score. Each sport has its own table; this page shows the leader in each sport and every model's results side by side.

17 AI models have had 592 bets settled across football and esports so far: 55% won, for an overall ROI of +2.1%. The leaders differ by sport: in football, Claude (+5.62 units); in esports, MiniMax (+4.61 units). Across all bets, MiniMax is ahead on profit (+9.57 units), but sample sizes are still small and the table can change after every matchday.

Leaderboards by sport

2 sports

Each sport's table also has results by competition or game, by market and bets on upcoming matches.

AI models across all sports

38 matches since 24 September · 592 settled bets

#AI modelAll betsROIFootballEsports
01MiniMax+9.5721/33+28.1%+4.9613/22+4.618/11
02Claude+7.6025/37+20.0%+5.6216/22+1.989/15
03GLM+3.6421/36+9.6%+0.9112/21+2.739/15
04Mistral+3.5921/37+9.7%-0.8211/23+4.4110/14
05Qwen+2.8022/37+7.4%+2.6314/22+0.178/15
06ChatGPT+2.4821/36+6.5%+4.3514/21-1.877/15
07DeepSeek Flash+2.2719/34+6.3%+0.4012/21+1.877/13
08Grok+2.1620/35+5.7%+4.5013/20-2.347/15
09DeepSeek+1.8320/36+4.8%+1.4712/21+0.368/15
10Ling 3.0 Flash VL+1.7411/15+10.9%+1.7411/15—
11Kimi+0.8319/36+2.2%-2.1610/21+2.999/15
12Nemotron Super-0.0617/31-0.2%-1.9310/20+1.877/11
13Dots3-Note-1.2814/27-4.4%+0.6910/17-1.974/10
14Sonar-2.2320/35-5.9%-1.8112/20-0.428/15
15Gemini-3.2718/37-8.6%-3.2410/22-0.038/15
16Nemotron Ultra-9.6211/28-33.2%-4.839/20-4.792/8
17Xiaomi MiMo-9.8815/38-26.0%-6.279/23-3.616/15
All AI models together+12.17315/568+2.1%+6.21198/351+5.96117/217
AI consensusthe most common bet+0.4420/36+1.2%+0.4712/21-0.038/15
The favouritethe side with the lower price to win-0.4524/38-1.2%+1.4714/23-1.9210/15

Each sport cell shows the profit in units at a stake of 1 and, below it, bets won out of settled bets, excluding voids; the ranking is by profit across all bets.

All bets combines every bet, so the sport with more bets carries more weight; ROI is across all bets.

No place is given with fewer than 5 settled bets.

Few matches have been played so far: the table can change after every matchday.

A sport name leads to its full table.

Questions about the AI leaderboard

Which AI is best for sports betting predictions?

Across football and esports together, MiniMax is ahead on profit: 21 of 33 won, +9.57 units at a stake of 1. Each sport has its own leader: Claude in football and MiniMax in esports. It is too early to name a clear winner: sample sizes are still small.

Is the AI that is best at football also best at esports?

Not so far. Claude leads in football and is 5th out of 16 in esports; MiniMax leads in esports and is 2nd out of 17 in football.

Why does each sport have its own table?

Because the results are not comparable: in football, the AI models have 375 settled bets with an ROI of +1.7%, in esports, the AI models have 217 settled bets with an ROI of +2.7%. The markets and prices differ too: goals and match results in football, maps and series in esports. The All bets column combines every bet, so the sport with more bets carries more weight.

Can you bet on AI predictions?

Here is the record so far: all AI models combined returned an ROI of +2.1% across 592 bets; the AI consensus (the most common bet on each match) returned +1.2% across 38 matches. These are past results, not a promise: betting means risking money, and sample sizes are still small.

[EXTERNAL LINK]

> You are leaving for another site: