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Astralis vs MIBR 1:2: result and AI prediction
Astralis and MIBR played on 16 October — playoffs, quarter-final, Stake Pulse Beat III 2026: the series ended 1:2. The AI models' bet: Astralis to win at 2.13 — 9 of 14 models chose it; the bet lost.
- Stake Pulse Beat III 2026
- Playoffs, quarter-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Astralis to win
2.13AI models' pick · 9 of 14 for this bet, 5 for others
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot Astralis have drifted: 1.75 → 2.33, MIBR — 2.27 → 1.72. The money is going on MIBR.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Astralis or MIBR wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1Astralis44 min
- map 2MIBR65 min
- map 3MIBR47 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on an Astralis win — the bet lost. 2 more bet on under 2.5 maps — the bet lost. The other 3 chose a bet each: a MIBR handicap, a MIBR win and a total-maps bet.
- 9 of 141our betodds 2.13ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokQwen
GLMNemotron SuperNemotron Ultralost - 2 of 14U 2.5odds 1.89Xiaomi MiMo
Dots3-Notelost - 1 of 14H2 (+1.5)odds 1.30Mistralwon
- 1 of 142odds 1.85DeepSeek Flashwon
- 1 of 14O 2.5odds 2.08MiniMaxwon
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
Astralis run the veto to a set script: Anubis is their first ban in 13 of 17 series, and their own pick is usually Ancient, where they sit on 14-5 over the last 90 days. MIBR have banned Dust2 first on all 15 occasions, which conveniently takes away the Danes' worst map, a 1-6 record there, but their own pick heads to Mirage, where Astralis are an even 4-3.
Form separates them too. Astralis have won eight of their last ten series, among them 3-1 against Nemiga (14th) and 2-1 against Luminosity (16th), while MIBR have five wins and five defeats in the same stretch, with two different results against BC.Game (50th). The head-to-head record favours the Danes heavily: six of the seven series across two years. Even so, the prices have drifted from 1.75 to 2.13 inside half a day and turned Astralis into the nominal underdog, so we're backing Astralis to win at 2.13.
Where we could be wrong
Inferno is the one thing that could unpick all of this: MIBR are 10-3 there against 3-6 for Astralis, and the veto is not yet known.
- The market makes MIBR the favourite: 1.85 against 2.13 on this bet.
Form, rosters and maps
Astralis
10th in the Valve ranking · 1674 points
roster · player rating over six months
- siuhy5.37
- ryu6.20
- Staehr6.54
- phzy6.21
- cmtry5.68
recent series · 8 wins, 2 losses
- W2-1HOTU#31Stake Pulse Beat III14.10
- W2-0Sashi#73Stake Pulse Beat III14.10
- W3-1Nemiga#14Stake Ranked Episode 404.10
- W2-1Luminosity#16Stake Ranked Episode 404.10
- W2-0fnatic#35Stake Ranked Episode 403.10
- W2-1BIG#25Stake Ranked Episode 403.10
- W2-1FaZe#26Stake Ranked Episode 402.10
- L1-2Alliance#24Stake Ranked Episode 401.10
- L1-2100 Thieves#28Stake Pulse Beat II26.09
- W2-1Betclic#45Stake Pulse Beat II25.09
maps over 90 days
39–31, round difference +138; 17 of 24 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 58%, on the T side 51%, pistol rounds 50%
2 days since the last series, 5 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 14–5 | +54 | 13 | |
| Nuke | 6–7 | +26 | 1 | 4 |
| Cache | 11–2 | +73 | 1 | |
| Inferno | 3–6 | −2 | 2 | 2 |
| Dust2 | 1–6 | −19 | 8 | |
| Mirage | 4–3 | +17 | 6 | |
| Anubis | 0–2 | −11 | 14 |
Bans Anubis first in 13 of 17 series
MIBR
12th in the Valve ranking · 1585 points
roster · player rating over six months
- nqz6.19
- LNZ5.75
- venomzera6.03
- insani6.78
- tomaszin6.36
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- W2-1BC.Game#50Stake Pulse Beat III15.10
- W2-0EnvyStake Pulse Beat III15.10
- L1-2BC.Game#50Stake Pulse Beat III15.10
- L0-2FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- W2-0NRG#47StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- W2-1magic#23StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- L1-2FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
- L1-2Legacy#2FISSURE Playground 312.09
- W2-0Alliance#24FISSURE Playground 311.09
- L0-2BetBoom#11FISSURE Playground 310.09
maps over 90 days
32–21, round difference +74; 8 of 22 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 56%, on the T side 50%, pistol rounds 52%
0 days since the last series, 8 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 10–3 | +43 | 4 | |
| Nuke | 6–6 | +12 | 3 | |
| Mirage | 5–4 | +14 | 5 | 4 |
| Ancient | 5–4 | −3 | 1 | 4 |
| Cache | 5–3 | +4 | 1 | 7 |
| Anubis | 1–1 | +4 | 1 | |
| Dust2 | — | 15 |
Bans Dust2 first in 15 of 15 series
head-to-head series, last two years
7 series: Astralis 6 wins, MIBR 1 win · the last 5 below
- W1-0Inferno 13-6Esports World Cup 202612.08
- W2-0Mirage 13-10, Overpass 13-5PGL Bucharest 202604.04
- W2-0Inferno 13-4, Nuke 13-11PGL Masters Bucharest 202527.10
- W2-0Mirage 13-6, Nuke 13-11FISSURE Playground 117.07
- W2-0Nuke 13-7, Ancient 13-5FISSURE Playground 115.07
Valve ranking as of 5 October
