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AI predictions for Premier League matches

AI predictions for Premier League matches are published here before kick-off. Each prediction shows the bet of the largest group of AI models and the bookmaker odds at the time of publication. After the final whistle we settle every bet, win or lose.

The full match breakdown covers team form, league position, head-to-head record, injuries, suspensions and the betting line.

2026/27 season · updated 12 October

How our Premier League predictions did

10 matches · 10–12 October

Our pick since 10 October: 5 of 10 won · ROI −3.5% · result −0.35 units

4:1Coventry City–Newcastle UnitedOur pick:2prediction lost11 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.31X 3.592 2.130:3Liverpool–Manchester CityOur pick:2prediction won8 of 15 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 3.14X 3.722 2.183:1Crystal Palace–Nottingham ForestOur pick:BTTSprediction won11 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.79X 3.342 2.552:2Hull City–EvertonOur pick:U 2.5prediction lost14 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.65X 3.322 2.111:1Manchester United–Tottenham HotspurOur pick:1prediction lost8 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 1.74X 4.152 4.402:2Aston Villa–BrentfordOur pick:BTTSprediction won8 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.77X 3.512 2.472:1Ipswich Town–FulhamOur pick:U 2.5prediction lost9 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.74X 3.472 2.515:1Chelsea–BournemouthOur pick:BTTSprediction won11 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.83X 3.922 4.110:2Sunderland–Brighton & Hove AlbionOur pick:2prediction won11 of 15 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 3.08X 3.432 2.312:1Arsenal–Leeds UnitedOur pick:H1 (−1.5)prediction lost13 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 1.42X 4.562 7.92All Premier League results with verified predictions

Premier League in the 2026/27 season

60 matches · 21 August — 12 October

After 60 matches, teams are scoring 3.0 goals per game on average. Over 2.5 goals landed in 57% of games, and both teams scored in 55%.

MetricSeason 2026/27Season 2025/26
Goals per match2.952.75
Home wins38%43%
Draws32%27%
Away wins30%30%
Both teams to score55%56%
Over 1.5 goals77%79%
Over 2.5 goals57%55%
Over 3.5 goals37%28%

This season — from 60 played matches, last season — from all 380 matches.

Total — goals by both teams in a match; shares are of all matches played.

Who is in form

after 6 matches

Best formManchester City · 15 of 15 points
Most prolific attackBrighton & Hove Albion18 goals in 6 matches · 3.0 per match
Tightest defenceManchester City5 conceded in 6 matches · 0.8 per match

Form — up to the last five matches, most recent on the right: W — win, D — draw, L — loss; compared per match.

Premier League table

after 6 rounds

#TeamWDLPGoalsPts
1Manchester City600616:518
2Arsenal501610:515
3Brighton & Hove Albion411618:513
4Brentford240612:610
5Everton24068:510
6Chelsea312615:1310
7Leeds United23168:59
8Hull City23168:69
9Liverpool23167:79
10Ipswich Town30369:129
11Newcastle United222610:138
12Crystal Palace21369:127
13Manchester United13269:96
14Coventry City20465:116
15Nottingham Forest12365:85
16Aston Villa12366:115
17Sunderland11466:124
18Bournemouth03367:133
19Tottenham Hotspur03363:93
20Fulham02466:102

The leader is highlighted.

Which AI predicts Premier League best

10 matches since 10 October · 156 bets

Every model sees the same matches and names one bet each. The ranking is by profit.

#AI modelWonAvg oddsROIProfit
01Xiaomi MiMo6 of 92.10+36.4%+3.28
02ChatGPT6 of 101.91+8.5%+0.85
03Mistral6 of 101.78+2.8%+0.28
04Dots3-Note5 of 91.79+2.4%+0.22
05Claude6 of 101.79−2.1%−0.21
06DeepSeek5 of 101.99−3.5%−0.35
07DeepSeek Flash5 of 101.94−3.5%−0.35
08Qwen5 of 101.94−3.5%−0.35
09Sonar5 of 101.74−14.9%−1.49
10Grok4 of 102.07−19.2%−1.92
11Gemini4 of 102.10−20.9%−2.09
12Nemotron Ultra3 of 81.94−30.5%−2.44
13MiniMax3 of 102.15−33.2%−3.32
14Kimi3 of 102.16−36.6%−3.66
15Nemotron Super3 of 102.07−44.2%−4.42
16GLM3 of 102.02−44.3%−4.43
All models combined72 of 1561.97−13.1%−20.40
Model consensusour published prediction5 of 101.94−3.5%−0.35
Bookmakers’ favouritehome or away at the shorter price4 of 102.13−22.6%−2.26

All models combined — every bet of every model added up

Model consensus — one bet per match, from the largest group of models pointing the same way. This is what we publish as our prediction

Bookmakers’ favourite — a bet on the side with the shorter price. A yardstick for comparison, not a prediction of ours

The comparison rows are counted on the same matches; the favourite’s price is the last line before kick-off, and matches without it are left out of that row

“won” excludes voids; ROI is profit against the total staked

On a small sample the order can change noticeably from one matchday to the next