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Astralis vs Sashi Esport: AI prediction, Stake Pulse Beat III
Astralis and Sashi Esport meet on 14 October — group stage, Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: Astralis to win at 1.20 — 15 of 15 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- Stake Pulse Beat III 2026
- Group stage
- Best of three
- Stream
published UTC
Match odds
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Astralis or Sashi Esport wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
All 15 AI models went for an Astralis win.
The calibre gap shows up straight away in the Valve ranking: Astralis sit 10th, Sashi Esport 73rd. The Danes have won eight of their last ten series, and that run came against the likes of Nemiga, Luminosity, BIG and FaZe. Sashi Esport managed only two wins in the same period and lost to Glitch, 216th, and Prestige, 154th. The map pool points the same way. Astralis own pick Ancient reads 13-5, while Cache, the main choice of Sashi Esport, is 11-2 for the Danes. Anubis, where their opponents have a 4-1 record, is Astralis's first ban in 13 of 17 series.
Where we could be wrong
We're backing Astralis to win at 1.20, with the ranking gap, the form and the veto all on their side. That does not promise a quick close, though: their best-of-threes have reached a third map 16 times in 22. The only meeting between the two sides in the past two years went to Sashi Esport, who took Inferno 13-11, and Astralis arrive with nine days without a match and not a single map played in the last week — in an opening fixture at Stake Pulse Beat III that can cost them a map.
Form, rosters and maps
Astralis
10th in the Valve ranking · 1674 points
roster · player rating over six months
- HooXi5.57
- jabbi6.23
- ryu6.16
- Staehr6.53
- phzy6.21
recent series · 8 wins, 2 losses
- W3-1Nemiga#14Stake Ranked Episode 404.10
- W2-1Luminosity#16Stake Ranked Episode 404.10
- W2-0fnatic#35Stake Ranked Episode 403.10
- W2-1BIG#25Stake Ranked Episode 403.10
- W2-1FaZe#26Stake Ranked Episode 402.10
- L1-2Alliance#24Stake Ranked Episode 401.10
- L1-2100 Thieves#28Stake Pulse Beat II26.09
- W2-1Betclic#45Stake Pulse Beat II25.09
- W2-0FOKUS#48Stake Pulse Beat II21.09
- W2-1Sangal#40Stake Pulse Beat II21.09
maps over 90 days
35–30, round difference +125; 16 of 22 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 59%, on the T side 50%, pistol rounds 50%
9 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 13–5 | +52 | 13 | |
| Cache | 11–2 | +73 | 1 | |
| Nuke | 4–7 | +12 | 1 | 4 |
| Inferno | 3–6 | −2 | 2 | 2 |
| Dust2 | 1–5 | −12 | 8 | |
| Mirage | 3–3 | +13 | 6 | |
| Anubis | 0–2 | −11 | 14 |
Bans Anubis first in 13 of 17 series
Sashi Esport
73rd in the Valve ranking · 1131 points
roster · player rating over six months
- Hatz
- acoR6.39
- Anlelele5.98
- Zyphon6.34
- TjP5.92
recent series · 2 wins, 8 losses
- L0-1BC.Game#50Journey Autumn 202602.10
- L0-1Voca#68Journey Autumn 202602.10
- L0-1Glitch#216Journey Autumn 202602.10
- W1-0BASEMENT BOYS#102Journey Autumn 202602.10
- L0-1Prestige#154Journey Autumn 202602.10
- L1-2Nemesis#29Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier26.09
- W2-09INE#79Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier25.09
- L0-2Sangal#40Stake Pulse Beat II21.09
- L0-2FOKUS#48Stake Pulse Beat II21.09
- L1-2Color#57CCT Europe 2026 Series 814.09
maps over 90 days
37–32, round difference +46; 14 of 25 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 52%, on the T side 51%, pistol rounds 51%
11 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 9–8 | +13 | 8 | |
| Cache | 10–6 | +26 | 13 | 2 |
| Dust2 | 4–7 | −8 | 10 | |
| Inferno | 6–4 | +11 | 3 | |
| Ancient | 4–5 | −13 | 8 | |
| Anubis | 4–1 | +19 | 8 | |
| Mirage | 0–1 | −2 | 20 |
Bans Mirage first in 19 of 24 series
head-to-head series, last two years
1 series: Astralis 0 wins, Sashi Esport 1 win
- L0-1Inferno 11-13Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR B21.11
Valve ranking as of 5 October
