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Aurora Gaming vs Vitality 1:2: result and AI prediction
Aurora Gaming and Vitality played on 10 October — playoffs, semi-final, ESL Pro League Season 24 2026: the series ended 1:2. The AI models' bet: Vitality to win at 1.30 — 12 of 16 models chose it; the bet won.
- ESL Pro League Season 24 2026
- Playoffs, semi-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Vitality to win
1.30AI models' pick · 12 of 16 for this bet, 4 for others
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Aurora Gaming or Vitality wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1Aurora Gaming47 min
- map 2Vitality46 min
- map 3Vitality48 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a Vitality win — the bet won. 4 more bet on an Aurora Gaming win — the bet lost.
Vitality have won eight of their last ten series, and not against soft opposition: 2-1 over Falcons, sixth in the Valve ranking, and 3-1 against Aurora Gaming themselves back in September. Third in the Valve ranking against ninth, 1911 points against 1716, and ZywOo's rating of 7.15 against the best mark in the Aurora Gaming side, 6.43 from Wicadia. The map pool points the same way for the French: Dust2 at 11-2 and Cache at 5-1 across the last 90 days, with Ancient the first ban from both teams, which steers the series onto maps Vitality are comfortable on. Anubis is the exception — it is Aurora Gaming's most frequent pick, chosen eight times, and Vitality are 4-5 there.
Where we could be wrong
There have been only five previous meetings in two years, and Aurora Gaming edged one of them 2-1 in September, winning that very Anubis 13-7. We're backing Vitality to win at 1.30. The veto is still unknown, Aurora Gaming's series have gone to a third map 9 of 20 times, and an ESL Pro League semi-final can easily stretch into a decider.
Form, rosters and maps
Aurora Gaming
9th in the Valve ranking · 1716 points
roster · player rating over six months
- XANTARES6.20
- woxic6.19
- Jimpphat6.28
- kyxsan5.72
- Wicadia6.43
recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses
- W2-01win#38ESL Pro League Season 2409.10
- W2-1FURIA#7ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
- W2-1BetBoom#11ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- L0-2Falcons#6ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- W2-09z#17ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- L1-3Vitality#3StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202620.09
- W2-1Vitality#3StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- W2-0NRG#47StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- W2-0Natus Vincere#34StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
- L1-2G2#5BLAST Open Fall 202631.08
maps over 90 days
34–20, round difference +87; 9 of 20 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 61%, on the T side 46%, pistol rounds 58%
1 day since the last series, 12 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirage | 9–5 | +9 | 3 | 1 |
| Anubis | 7–3 | +28 | 8 | |
| Dust2 | 4–4 | +9 | 3 | 6 |
| Nuke | 7–1 | +37 | 2 | |
| Inferno | 4–3 | +4 | 6 | |
| Cache | 3–3 | +2 | 7 | |
| Ancient | 0–1 | −2 | 1 | 14 |
Bans Ancient first in 14 of 17 series
Vitality
3rd in the Valve ranking · 1911 points
roster · player rating over six months
- apEX5.81
- ropz6.30
- ZywOo7.15
- flameZ6.25
- mezii5.91
recent series · 8 wins, 2 losses
- W2-0PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2409.10
- W2-1Falcons#6ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- W2-1Natus Vincere#34ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- W2-01win#38ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- W3-1Aurora#9StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202620.09
- W2-0FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202620.09
- L1-2Aurora#9StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- W2-0FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- W2-0magic#23StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
- L0-2MOUZ#4BLAST Open Fall 202605.09
maps over 90 days
33–17, round difference +136; 7 of 19 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 62%, on the T side 50%, pistol rounds 59%
1 day since the last series, 8 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 11–2 | +68 | 5 | 1 |
| Anubis | 4–5 | +8 | 1 | 3 |
| Mirage | 6–3 | +19 | 8 | |
| Nuke | 4–4 | −4 | 5 | 2 |
| Cache | 5–1 | +28 | 2 | 3 |
| Inferno | 3–2 | +17 | 4 | |
| Ancient | — | 17 |
Bans Ancient first in 17 of 17 series
head-to-head series, last two years
5 series: Aurora Gaming 1 win, Vitality 4 wins
- L1-3Anubis 4-13, Inferno 13-11, Mirage 4-13, Cache 7-13StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202620.09
- W2-1Anubis 13-7, Inferno 11-13, Nuke 13-8StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- L0-2Inferno 5-13, Nuke 5-13BLAST Open Spring 202628.03
- L0-2Inferno 8-13, Overpass 10-13PGL Cluj-Napoca 202620.02
- L0-2Ancient 22-25, Overpass 7-13Intel Extreme Masters Kraków 202603.02
Valve ranking as of 5 October
