1 Oct
B8 vs Luminosity: AI prediction, Stake Ranked Episode 4
B8 and Luminosity meet on 1 October — playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final, Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: B8 -1.5 map handicap at 2.56 — 5 of 16 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026
- Playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: B8 -1.5 map handicap
2.56AI models' pick · 5 of 16 on this bet · 3 more in the same direction
AI models
- 6H2 (+1.5)odds 1.52ChatGPT, Claude, GLM, Xiaomi MiMo, Nemotron Super, Nemotron Ultra
- 5H1 (-1.5) — matches our betodds 2.56DeepSeek, Grok, DeepSeek Flash, MiniMax, Mistral
- 21 — matches our betodds 1.52Kimi, Sonar
- 22odds 2.44Gemini, Dots3-Note
- 1U 2.5odds 1.72Qwen
Match odds
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
The odds are buy prices on a prediction market: they carry no bookmaker margin, only the gap between the buy and sell prices.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — B8 or Luminosity wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
6 of 16 AI models went for Luminosity +1.5 on maps. 5 more went for B8 −1.5 on maps. The other 5 chose other bets: a B8 win, a Luminosity win and a total-maps bet.
- 6 of 16H2 (+1.5)odds 1.52ChatGPTClaudeGLMXiaomi MiMoNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra
- 5 of 16H1 (-1.5)our betodds 2.56DeepSeekGrokDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxMistral
- 2 of 161same directionodds 1.52KimiSonar
- 2 of 162odds 2.44GeminiDots3-Note
- 1 of 16U 2.5odds 1.72Qwen
Odds — the prediction-market price at the moment the AI model answered.
B8 come in with eight wins from their last ten series, and the opposition in that run was far from soft: GamerLegion sit 22nd, Ninjas in Pyjamas 27th, M80 36th. The Valve ranking puts B8 13th on 1515 points against 44th and 1228, and across the last 90 days their maps read 30-18 with a round difference of +78, up against 16-17 and +29.
We're backing the B8 -1.5 map handicap at 2.56, and the argument is their habit of finishing the job in two maps: only 4 of their 16 best-of-three series needed a decider, with 60% of rounds won on the CT side doing plenty of the work.
The warning sign is recent. On 22 September Luminosity took the series 2-0, winning Inferno 13-10 and Ancient 13-9, and Ancient is one of B8's two most frequent picks. The veto is still unknown: Luminosity ban Cache first more often than anything else, a map where B8 hold a 3-1 record, and they pull the series towards Dust2 or Inferno themselves. There have been only two meetings in two years, one win each, and 4 of Luminosity's 8 series have gone to a third map.
Where we could be wrong
- 8 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.
- The veto just before the match decides which maps get played: an awkward map in the pool can turn the picture around.
Form, rosters and maps
B8
13th in the Valve ranking · 1515 points
roster · player rating over six months
- alex6665.71
- npl6.39
- kensizor6.23
- esenthial5.98
- s1zzi6.26
recent series · 8 wins, 2 losses
- L0-2Luminosity#24Logitech G Play Connect 202622.09
- W1-0M80#36Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0Luminosity#24Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0Ninjas in Pyjamas#27Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0GamerLegion#22Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0Metizport#76Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L0-3Nemiga#52PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier12.09
- W2-01winPGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier12.09
- W2-1Nuclear TigeRES#47PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier11.09
- W2-0Inner Circle#25PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier11.09
maps over 90 days
30–18, round difference +78; 4 of 16 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 60%, on the T side 47%, pistol rounds 52%
8 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 9–5 | +38 | 6 | |
| Mirage | 5–6 | +1 | 6 | 1 |
| Dust2 | 8–3 | +19 | 2 | 2 |
| Inferno | 3–3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Cache | 3–1 | +12 | 7 | |
| Nuke | 2–0 | +8 | 11 | |
| Anubis | — | 20 |
Bans Anubis first in 15 of 22 series
Luminosity
44th in the Valve ranking · 1228 points
roster · player rating over six months
- Rainwaker6.17
- afro6.51
- lux5.87
- yxngstxr6.12
- AZUWU5.93
recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses
- L2-33DMAX#31Logitech G Play Connect 202623.09
- W2-0B8#20Logitech G Play Connect 202622.09
- W2-0BBLLogitech G Play Connect 202619.09
- W1-0Ninjas in Pyjamas#27Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0M80#36Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L0-1B8#20Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0Metizport#76Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L0-1GamerLegion#22Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L0-2M80#36Roman Imperium Cup VIII13.09
- W2-1M80#36Roman Imperium Cup VIII13.09
maps over 90 days
16–17, round difference +29; 4 of 8 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 52%, on the T side 52%, pistol rounds 58%
7 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 2–5 | +8 | 5 | 1 |
| Inferno | 3–4 | +2 | 3 | 4 |
| Nuke | 4–3 | +5 | 3 | |
| Ancient | 4–2 | +7 | 1 | 2 |
| Mirage | 3–1 | +12 | 1 | 8 |
| Cache | 0–2 | −5 | 14 | |
| Anubis | — | 9 |
head-to-head series, last two years
2 series: B8 1 win, Luminosity 1 win
- L0-2Inferno 10-13, Ancient 9-13Logitech G Play Connect 202622.09
- W1-0Dust2 13-11Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
Valve ranking as of 7 September; opponents' places and player ratings — bo3.gg
