1 Oct
FaZe vs Nemiga: AI prediction, Stake Ranked Episode 4
FaZe and Nemiga meet on 1 October — playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final, Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: Nemiga +1.5 map handicap at 1.54 — 13 of 16 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026
- Playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published UTC
AI models' pick: Nemiga +1.5 map handicap
1.54AI models' pick · 13 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
AI models
- 13H2 (+1.5) — matches our betodds 1.54ChatGPT, Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, Qwen, DeepSeek Flash, GLM, MiniMax, Xiaomi MiMo, Nemotron Super, Nemotron Ultra
- 2H1 (-1.5)odds 2.33Mistral, Sonar
- 12 — matches our betodds 2.70Dots3-Note
Match odds
The odds are buy prices on a prediction market: they carry no bookmaker margin, only the gap between the buy and sell prices.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — FaZe or Nemiga wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
13 of 16 AI models went for Nemiga +1.5 on maps. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: a Nemiga win. 2 more went for FaZe −1.5 on maps.
- 13 of 16H2 (+1.5)our betodds 1.54ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMoNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 2 of 16H1 (-1.5)odds 2.33MistralSonar
- 1 of 162same directionodds 2.70Dots3-Note
Odds — the prediction-market price at the moment the AI model answered.
FaZe and Nemiga have not met in a series for two years, and the upper-bracket quarter-final is a best of three — so a single map won is enough for the Nemiga +1.5 map handicap at 1.54, which is our pick.
The form lines pull in opposite directions. FaZe arrive with five wins and five defeats in their last ten series, including a fresh 1-2 defeat to magic (23rd) and a 0-2 to Alliance (17th), and they have had 22 days since that last series with not a single map played in the past week. Nemiga have won nine of their last ten, sit at 47-20 on maps across 90 days with a round difference of +186, and have eight maps behind them in the last week. Both sides ban Inferno first, and on what is left of the overlap Nemiga hold an 8-1 record on Anubis and 8-3 on Cache, against 1-2 and 6-2 for FaZe.
The obvious question is who those nine wins came against. Metizport (76th), Just Players (88th) and INOX Division (69th), plus a defeat to Black Phoenix from 109th, tell us little about a match with the 10th team in the Valve ranking. The veto is not known yet either, and FaZe are entitled to steer the series onto Nuke, where they have a 3-1 record.
Where we could be wrong
- The veto just before the match decides which maps get played: an awkward map in the pool can turn the picture around.
Form, rosters and maps
FaZe
10th in the Valve ranking · 1599 points
roster · player rating over six months
- Twistzz6.39
- frozen6.52
- Neityu5.83
- jcobbb6.01
- JBOEN6.69
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- L1-2magic#23FISSURE Playground 309.09
- L0-2Alliance#17FISSURE Playground 308.09
- L0-2Vitality#5Esports World Cup 202620.08
- W2-0Legacy#7Esports World Cup 202613.08
- W1-0BetBoom#9Esports World Cup 202612.08
- L1-2Spirit#1BLAST Bounty Summer 202601.08
- W2-1The MongolZ#15BLAST Bounty Summer 202631.07
- W2-1DENDELE#28BLAST Bounty Summer 2026: Closed Qualifier25.07
- W2-0EYEBALLERS#33BLAST Bounty Summer 2026: Closed Qualifier22.07
- L1-2PARIVISION#12XSE Pro League 202611.07
maps over 90 days
20–15, round difference +71; 6 of 13 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 54%, on the T side 55%, pistol rounds 51%
22 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 4–5 | +14 | 3 | 1 |
| Cache | 6–2 | +32 | 5 | |
| Mirage | 4–2 | +8 | 7 | |
| Dust2 | 2–3 | −3 | 2 | 7 |
| Nuke | 3–1 | +15 | 2 | 3 |
| Anubis | 1–2 | +5 | 3 | |
| Inferno | — | 12 |
Bans Inferno first in 12 of 15 series
Nemiga
49th in the Valve ranking · 1169 points
roster · player rating over six months
- KaiR0N-6.40
- Xant3r6.00
- khaN6.43
- robo5.96
- SYPH06.31
recent series · 9 wins, 1 loss
- W2-1ColorNODWIN Clutch Series 1227.09
- L1-2Black Phoenix#109CCT Europe 2026 Series 926.09
- W2-0INOX Division#69NODWIN Clutch Series 1225.09
- W2-0Just Players#88CCT Europe 2026 Series 924.09
- W2-0Metizport#76CCT Europe 2026 Series 814.09
- W2-0SINNERS#53CCT Europe 2026 Series 813.09
- W2-0Just Players#88CCT Europe 2026 Series 812.09
- W3-0B8#20PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier12.09
- W2-01winPGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier11.09
- W2-1SINNERS#53PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier10.09
maps over 90 days
47–20, round difference +186; 11 of 26 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 61%, on the T side 50%, pistol rounds 55%
4 days since the last series, 8 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 10–6 | +31 | 5 | 3 |
| Mirage | 9–3 | +29 | 3 | 3 |
| Cache | 8–3 | +40 | 6 | 5 |
| Dust2 | 6–5 | +16 | 7 | |
| Anubis | 8–1 | +45 | 7 | 3 |
| Nuke | 5–2 | +19 | 1 | 6 |
| Inferno | 1–0 | +6 | 17 |
Bans Inferno first in 17 of 22 series
Valve ranking as of 7 September; opponents' places and player ratings — bo3.gg
