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fnatic vs Liquid: AI prediction, 1win Private Club
fnatic and Liquid meet on 19 October — playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final, 1win Private Club Season 2 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: Liquid to win at 1.75 — 9 of 16 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- 1win Private Club Season 2 2026
- Playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published UTC
AI models' pick: Liquid to win
1.75AI models' pick · 9 of 16 for this bet, 7 for others
Match odds
Since the first snapshot fnatic have shortened: 2.38 → 2.27, Liquid — 1.69 → 1.75. The money is going on fnatic.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — fnatic or Liquid wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Liquid win. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Liquid −1.5 on maps. 6 more went for fnatic +1.5 on maps. One more went for over 2.5 maps.
- 7 of 162our betodds 1.75ChatGPT
Gemini
GrokQwenDeepSeek Flash
SonarXiaomi MiMo - 2 of 16H2 (−1.5)same directionodds 3.33KimiMistral
- 6 of 16H1 (+1.5)odds 1.39ClaudeDeepSeekMiniMax
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 2.08
GLM
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
Both teams come in with seven wins from their last ten series, but the opposition behind those runs is not comparable. Liquid were beating Ninjas in Pyjamas, 18th, and 100 Thieves, 28th, while fnatic's recent scalps were HOTU, 31st, and Sashi, 73rd. The Valve ranking points the same way: Liquid sit 19th on 1527 points, fnatic 35th on 1417. The veto narrows the series in that direction too. Nuke is fnatic's first ban all 20 times, Liquid take Ancient out in 16 of 23, and what survives are maps the Americans are comfortable on: Inferno 6-0, Anubis 9-3 and Mirage 8-2, against fnatic's 4-7 on Mirage and 3-7 on Dust2. The only meeting in two years went to Liquid 2-0 in August.
Where we could be wrong
The prices have drifted towards fnatic across three days, from 2.38 to 2.27, with Liquid going the other way from 1.69 to 1.75. We're backing Liquid to win at 1.75. The risk sits with the hosts' own pick: fnatic have Cache drilled to a 14-3 record, and their series have reached a third map 14 of 31 times, so on a decider everything starts from zero.
Form, rosters and maps
fnatic
35th in the Valve ranking · 1417 points
roster · player rating over six months
- fEAR5.77
- jambo6.65
- jackasmo6.40
- cairne6.34
- mazay6.22
recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses
- L0-2HEROIC#15Stake Pulse Beat III16.10
- W2-0HOTU#31Stake Pulse Beat III14.10
- W2-0Sashi#73Stake Pulse Beat III14.10
- L0-2HOTU#31Stake Pulse Beat III14.10
- W2-1HOTU#311win Private Club 2: Closed Qualifier10.10
- W2-1K27#321win Private Club 2: Closed Qualifier09.10
- W2-1Phantom#721win Private Club 2: Closed Qualifier07.10
- L0-2Astralis#10Stake Ranked Episode 403.10
- W2-0Alliance#24Stake Ranked Episode 403.10
- W2-0B8#13Stake Ranked Episode 402.10
maps over 90 days
50–29, round difference +136; 14 of 31 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 55%, on the T side 53%, pistol rounds 57%
3 days since the last series, 8 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 12–6 | +35 | 5 | 1 |
| Cache | 14–3 | +59 | 7 | |
| Inferno | 8–4 | +21 | 4 | |
| Anubis | 9–2 | +38 | 5 | 1 |
| Mirage | 4–7 | +4 | 9 | |
| Dust2 | 3–7 | −21 | 2 | 6 |
| Nuke | — | 20 |
Bans Nuke first in 20 of 20 series
Liquid
19th in the Valve ranking · 1527 points
roster · player rating over six months
- EliGE6.50
- NAF6.27
- JT5.82
- malbsMd6.16
- Jorko6.32
recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses
- L1-2Ninjas in Pyjamas#18Stake Pulse Beat III16.10
- W2-0JiJieHao#30Stake Pulse Beat III13.10
- L1-2100 Thieves#28Stake Pulse Beat III13.10
- W2-1BBL#37Stake Pulse Beat III13.10
- W2-0Wildcard#58iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202627.09
- W2-0M80#22iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202626.09
- W2-0NRG#47iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202625.09
- W2-0Chicken Coop#188iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202625.09
- L0-1BBL#37Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- W1-03DMAX#21Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
maps over 90 days
40–22, round difference +112; 8 of 22 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 55%, on the T side 54%, pistol rounds 57%
3 days since the last series, 11 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 6–7 | +3 | 5 | 3 |
| Anubis | 9–3 | +41 | 10 | |
| Cache | 8–4 | +27 | 2 | 5 |
| Mirage | 8–2 | +32 | 2 | 4 |
| Dust2 | 3–5 | −26 | 11 | |
| Inferno | 6–0 | +38 | 6 | |
| Ancient | 0–1 | −3 | 21 |
Bans Ancient first in 16 of 23 series
head-to-head series, last two years
1 series: fnatic 0 wins, Liquid 1 win
- L0-2Dust2 10-13, Anubis 5-13Stake Pulse Beat I05.08
Valve ranking as of 5 October
