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G2 vs Natus Vincere 0:2: result and AI prediction
G2 and Natus Vincere played on 3 October — group stage, round 1, ESL Pro League Season 24 2026: the series ended 0:2. The AI models' bet: G2 to win at 1.89 — 12 of 16 models chose it; the bet lost.
- ESL Pro League Season 24 2026
- Group stage, round 1
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: G2 to win
1.89AI models' pick · 12 of 16 on this bet · 3 more in the same direction
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot G2 have drifted: 1.89 → 1.92, Natus Vincere — 2.08 → 2.04. The money is going on Natus Vincere.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — G2 or Natus Vincere wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1Natus Vincere51 min
- map 2Natus Vincere40 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a G2 win — the bet lost. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: G2 −1.5 on maps. One more bet on Natus Vincere +1.5 on maps.
The head-to-head record over the past two years is level at 3-3, and G2 come into this one after 20 days without a match and a 0-3 defeat by Legacy, so a price of 1.89 on them looks fair. Their best-of-threes have reached a decider 9 times in 16, so the favourite does not have a big edge in hand. We're backing G2 to win at 1.89 all the same.
The form lines pull apart. Natus Vincere have three wins and five defeats from their last eight series, and across the past 90 days their map record stands at 7-11 with a round difference of -27, against 25-20 and +28 for G2. NaVi take 39% of pistol rounds and 43% of their rounds on the T side, and their regular picks, Mirage and Ancient, land on maps where G2 sit at 5-3 and 7-5 while their opponents are 0-3.
Where we could be wrong
Nuke is almost always G2's first ban, which steers the pool towards Inferno, where they are 7-2 and NaVi hold a 2-4 record. The last meeting, on 30 August, went the same way: G2 took the series 2-0, winning Ancient 13-6 and Inferno 13-10.
Form, rosters and maps
G2
8th in the Valve ranking · 1723 points
roster · player rating over six months
- huNter-5.95
- Nertz6.36
- HeavyGod6.31
- r1nkle6.15
- MATYS5.92
recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses
- L0-3Legacy#7FISSURE Playground 313.09
- W2-1BetBoom#9FISSURE Playground 312.09
- W2-0FURIA#8FISSURE Playground 311.09
- W2-05star#89FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-19z#4FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-1BIG#21FISSURE Playground 309.09
- L1-2Astralis#19FISSURE Playground 308.09
- L0-2Falcons#2BLAST Open Fall 202604.09
- W2-1Aurora#10BLAST Open Fall 202631.08
- W2-0Natus Vincere#6BLAST Open Fall 202630.08
maps over 90 days
25–20, round difference +28; 9 of 16 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 51%, on the T side 52%, pistol rounds 48%
20 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 7–5 | +9 | 5 | |
| Inferno | 7–2 | +24 | 5 | |
| Mirage | 5–3 | +10 | 5 | 1 |
| Dust2 | 2–5 | −14 | 1 | 2 |
| Anubis | 3–3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Cache | 1–2 | −1 | 1 | 8 |
| Nuke | — | 17 |
Bans Nuke first in 17 of 17 series
Natus Vincere
11th in the Valve ranking · 1579 points
roster · player rating over six months
- Aleksib5.36
- b1t6.39
- iM6.17
- w0nderful6.58
- makazze6.22
recent series · 3 wins, 5 losses
- L1-2MOUZ#3StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- L0-2Aurora#10StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
- L0-2G2#11BLAST Open Fall 202630.08
- W2-0paiN#26BLAST Open Fall 202628.08
- L1-2M80#36BLAST Open Fall 202626.08
- L0-2Legacy#7Esports World Cup 202620.08
- W2-1The MongolZ#15Esports World Cup 202615.08
- W1-03DMAX#31Esports World Cup 202612.08
maps over 90 days
7–11, round difference −27; 3 of 7 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 50%, on the T side 43%, pistol rounds 39%
15 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 2–4 | −5 | ||
| Mirage | 2–3 | −11 | 3 | |
| Ancient | 0–3 | −22 | 3 | 1 |
| Nuke | 1–1 | −1 | 3 | |
| Cache | 1–0 | +3 | 1 | 4 |
| Anubis | 1–0 | +9 | 2 | |
| Dust2 | — | 7 |
Bans Dust2 first in 4 of 8 series
head-to-head series, last two years
6 series: G2 3 wins, Natus Vincere 3 wins · the last 5 below
- W2-0Ancient 13-6, Inferno 13-10BLAST Open Fall 202630.08
- W2-1Dust2 11-13, Inferno 16-14, Mirage 13-10Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 202615.06
- W2-1Dust2 7-13, Mirage 13-5, Ancient 13-7ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 207.03
- L0-2Dust2 7-13, Ancient 9-13PGL Cluj-Napoca 202618.02
- L1-2Mirage 10-13, Anubis 13-9, Inferno 16-19BLAST.tv Austin Major 202514.06
Valve ranking as of 7 September
