24 Oct
G2 vs Natus Vincere: AI prediction, PGL Masters Bucharest
G2 and Natus Vincere meet on 24 October — group stage, round 1, PGL Masters Bucharest 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: G2 to win at 2.22 — 8 of 15 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
- Group stage, round 1
- Best of three
- Stream
published UTC
AI models' pick: G2 to win
2.22AI models' pick · 8 of 15 for this bet, 7 for others
Match odds
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — G2 or Natus Vincere wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a G2 win. 3 more each for a Natus Vincere win and for over 2.5 maps. One more went for under 2.5 maps.
- 8 of 151our betodds 2.22ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
GrokQwen
GLM
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 3 of 152odds 1.69KimiDeepSeek Flash
Sonar - 3 of 15O 2.5odds 2.00
GeminiMiniMaxXiaomi MiMo - 1 of 15U 2.5odds 1.85Nemotron Super
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
Natus Vincere hold the better head-to-head record, 4-3 across the past two years, and the most recent meeting did them no harm at all: on 3 October they took the series 2-0, winning Cache 13-7 and Inferno 13-4. G2 have also lost four of their last five series, so recent form is not the argument here.
The gap in calibre has not gone anywhere, though. G2 sit fifth in the Valve ranking on 1847 points, Natus Vincere 34th on 1427, and over their last ten series Natus Vincere have three wins and seven defeats with a round difference of -15 across 90 days. The map pool pulls the same way: G2 have a 9-6 record on Ancient and 7-4 on Inferno, while their opponents are 0-3 on Ancient and 2-6 on Mirage — and Mirage and Ancient are precisely the maps Natus Vincere pick most often. G2 ban Nuke first, all 17 times, which removes one of the two maps where Natus Vincere are in credit (3-1).
Where we could be wrong
We're backing G2 to win at 2.22. The veto is still unknown, and a trip to Cache would break the whole picture: G2 are 1-3 there, Natus Vincere 3-1, and that map already finished 13-7 to Natus Vincere in October. Add 18 days without a match and not a single map in the week before G2's first round of the group stage at PGL Masters Bucharest.
- The market makes Natus Vincere the favourite: 1.69 against 2.22 on this bet.
Form, rosters and maps
G2
5th in the Valve ranking · 1847 points
roster · player rating over six months
- huNter-5.87
- Nertz6.32
- HeavyGod6.26
- r1nkle5.98
- MATYS5.81
recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses
- L1-2PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
- W2-0ShindeN#74ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- L1-21win#38ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- L0-2Natus Vincere#34ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- L0-3Legacy#2FISSURE Playground 313.09
- W2-1BetBoom#11FISSURE Playground 312.09
- W2-0FURIA#7FISSURE Playground 311.09
- W2-05star#80FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-19z#17FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-1BIG#25FISSURE Playground 309.09
maps over 90 days
29–26, round difference +25; 11 of 20 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 50%, on the T side 52%, pistol rounds 46%
18 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 9–6 | +19 | 5 | |
| Inferno | 7–4 | +13 | 5 | |
| Mirage | 5–4 | +5 | 5 | 1 |
| Dust2 | 3–6 | −9 | 1 | 2 |
| Anubis | 4–3 | +4 | 6 | |
| Cache | 1–3 | −7 | 1 | 8 |
| Nuke | — | 17 |
Bans Nuke first in 17 of 17 series
Natus Vincere
34th in the Valve ranking · 1427 points
roster · player rating over six months
- Aleksib5.34
- b1t6.35
- iM6.09
- w0nderful6.61
- makazze6.14
recent series · 3 wins, 7 losses
- L1-2PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2407.10
- L1-2Falcons#6ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
- W2-09z#17ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- L1-2Vitality#3ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- W2-0G2#5ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- L1-2MOUZ#4StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- L0-2Aurora#9StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
- L0-2G2#5BLAST Open Fall 202630.08
- W2-0paiN#54BLAST Open Fall 202628.08
- L1-2M80#22BLAST Open Fall 202626.08
maps over 90 days
14–17, round difference −15; 6 of 12 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 52%, on the T side 46%, pistol rounds 39%
17 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 4–5 | +2 | ||
| Mirage | 2–6 | −27 | 3 | |
| Cache | 3–1 | +13 | 1 | 4 |
| Nuke | 3–1 | +14 | 3 | |
| Ancient | 0–3 | −22 | 3 | 1 |
| Anubis | 2–1 | +5 | 2 | |
| Dust2 | — | 7 |
Bans Dust2 first in 4 of 8 series
head-to-head series, last two years
7 series: G2 3 wins, Natus Vincere 4 wins · the last 5 below
- L0-2Cache 7-13, Inferno 4-13ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- W2-0Ancient 13-6, Inferno 13-10BLAST Open Fall 202630.08
- W2-1Dust2 11-13, Inferno 16-14, Mirage 13-10Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 202615.06
- W2-1Dust2 7-13, Mirage 13-5, Ancient 13-7ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 207.03
- L0-2Dust2 7-13, Ancient 9-13PGL Cluj-Napoca 202618.02
Valve ranking as of 5 October
