Tomorrow
Heroic vs Envy: AI prediction, Stake Pulse Beat III
Heroic and Envy meet on 15 October — group stage, opening match, Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: Heroic −1.5 map handicap at 2.63 — 5 of 16 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- Stake Pulse Beat III 2026
- Group stage, opening match
- Best of three
- Stream
published UTC
AI models' pick: Heroic −1.5 map handicap
2.63AI models' pick · 5 of 16 on this bet · 4 more in the same direction
Match odds
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Heroic or Envy wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for Heroic −1.5 on maps. 4 more chose close bets in the same direction: a Heroic win. 7 more went for Envy +1.5 on maps.
The group stage opens with a best of three, and the Valve ranking already separates these two: Heroic sit 15th on 1550 points, Envy 21st on 1500. Across the last 90 days Heroic hold a 54-25 record on maps with a round difference of +214, and they have won eight of their last ten series. The veto leaves them with almost no weak spots: 11-3 on Inferno, 9-3 on Mirage, 11-6 on Dust2, Anubis is their first ban in 22 of 25 series, and their own pick tends to be Inferno or Dust2. The market gives Heroic a 66% chance of taking the series, while we're backing the Heroic -1.5 map handicap at 2.63.
Where we could be wrong
Will two maps be enough, though? Heroic's best of threes have gone the distance 17 of 29 times, and their last three wins all came 2-1, against 100 Thieves, Sangal and fnatic. On top of that, 18 days have passed since their previous match and they have not played a single map in the past week, while on Envy there is no game data at all.
Form, rosters and maps
Heroic
15th in the Valve ranking · 1550 points
roster · player rating over six months
- Brollan6.16
- nilo6.49
- susp5.96
- MartinezSa6.51
- Chr1zN5.98
recent series · 8 wins, 2 losses
- W2-1100 Thieves#28Stake Pulse Beat II26.09
- W2-1Sangal#40Stake Pulse Beat II26.09
- W2-1fnatic#35Stake Pulse Beat II25.09
- W2-0BBL#37Stake Pulse Beat II22.09
- W2-0Johnny Speeds#99Stake Pulse Beat II22.09
- L1-2Virtus.pro#51Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Global Qualifier13.09
- W2-11win#38Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Global Qualifier12.09
- W2-1K27#32Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Global Qualifier10.09
- W2-0BESTIA#65Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Global Qualifier09.09
- L1-21win#38PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Open Qualifier 206.09
maps over 90 days
54–25, round difference +214; 17 of 29 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 59%, on the T side 53%, pistol rounds 59%
18 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 11–6 | +39 | 5 | 2 |
| Ancient | 10–5 | +41 | 5 | 4 |
| Inferno | 11–3 | +62 | 8 | 2 |
| Mirage | 9–3 | +30 | 4 | 6 |
| Cache | 6–5 | +11 | 12 | |
| Nuke | 7–3 | +31 | 3 | 1 |
| Anubis | — | 23 |
Bans Anubis first in 22 of 25 series
Envy
21st in the Valve ranking · 1500 points
No game stats for this team · tournament roster: Maka, Lucky, Misutaaa, Kursy, Graviti
Valve ranking as of 5 October
