FINISHED
Legacy vs BetBoom Team 1:2: result and AI prediction
Legacy and BetBoom Team played on 16 October — group stage, decider, Thunderpick World Championship 2026: the series ended 1:2. The AI models' bet: Legacy −1.5 map handicap at 2.86 — 8 of 16 models chose it; the bet lost.
- Thunderpick World Championship 2026
- Group stage, decider
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Legacy −1.5 map handicap
2.86AI models' pick · 8 of 16 on this bet · 4 more in the same direction
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot Legacy have drifted: 1.49 → 1.61, BetBoom Team — 2.94 → 2.56. The money is going on BetBoom Team.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Legacy or BetBoom Team wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1BetBoom Team71 min
- map 2Legacy56 min
- map 3BetBoom Team54 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on Legacy −1.5 on maps — the bet lost. 4 more chose close bets in the same direction: a Legacy win. 2 more each on BetBoom Team +1.5 on maps (won) and on under 2.5 maps (lost).
- 8 of 16H1 (−1.5)our betodds 2.86DeepSeek
GrokKimiQwenMistral
SonarNemotron SuperNemotron Ultralost - 4 of 161same directionodds 1.59ChatGPT
Gemini
GLM
Dots3-Notelost - 2 of 16H2 (+1.5)odds 1.52ClaudeMiniMaxwon
- 2 of 16U 2.5odds 1.85DeepSeek FlashXiaomi MiMolost
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
The two previous meetings over the last two years are split one win each, but the May series belonged to Legacy: a 2-0 with 13-4 on Mirage and 13-3 on Nuke. Their only defeat came on Anubis, the map they ban first on all 15 occasions. That is the awkward part for BetBoom Team, because Anubis is their best map in the pool at 4-3 and their only pick. Take it out of the equation and they are left with Ancient at 1-3 and Mirage at 3-4, against 6-5 and 8-3 for Legacy.
The gap in calibre is clear enough as well: 2nd in the Valve ranking and 1931 points against 11th and 1596, with 31-19 on maps over the last 90 days and a round difference of +32, where BetBoom Team sit on 12-14 and -13. That is what we're backing with the Legacy -1.5 map handicap at 2.86.
Where we could be wrong
But can Legacy close out a 2-0 sweep right now? Three of their last five series ended in defeat, including 0-2 against 1win (38th) and 1-2 against M80 (22nd), and their own best-of-threes have gone to a third map 8 of 19 times. The veto is still unknown, and in a decisive group match at the Thunderpick World Championship it could leave an uncomfortable Dust2 or Cache in play.
- One of the teams has a player from outside its regular lineup in the tournament roster: with a stand-in a team plays differently from its previous series.
Form, rosters and maps
Legacy
2nd in the Valve ranking · 1931 points
roster · player rating over six months
- arT5.70
- latto6.59
- dumau6.40
- try6.47
- n1ssim5.79
In the tournament roster, not in the regular lineup: bobz
recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses
- L1-2FURIA#7Thunderpick World Championship 202615.10
- W2-0PARIVISION#36Thunderpick World Championship 202614.10
- L1-2M80#22ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
- L0-21win#38ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- W2-0ShindeN#74ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- L1-2PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- W3-0G2#5FISSURE Playground 313.09
- W2-1MIBR#12FISSURE Playground 312.09
- W2-0FURIA#7FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-0Alliance#24FISSURE Playground 309.09
maps over 90 days
31–19, round difference +32; 8 of 19 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 55%, on the T side 48%, pistol rounds 58%
0 days since the last series, 5 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 7–6 | 0 | 4 | |
| Ancient | 6–5 | +12 | 5 | 2 |
| Mirage | 8–3 | +12 | 4 | 2 |
| Inferno | 4–2 | +1 | 2 | 1 |
| Nuke | 4–1 | +12 | 5 | |
| Cache | 2–2 | −5 | 5 | |
| Anubis | — | 15 |
Bans Anubis first in 15 of 15 series
BetBoom Team
11th in the Valve ranking · 1596 points
roster · player rating over six months
- Boombl45.62
- zorte6.02
- d1Ledez6.07
- s1ren5.78
- Magnojez6.36
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- W2-1PARIVISION#36Thunderpick World Championship 202615.10
- L0-2FURIA#7Thunderpick World Championship 202614.10
- L0-29z#17ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
- L1-2Aurora#9ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- W2-0M80#22ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- L0-2FURIA#7ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- L1-2G2#5FISSURE Playground 312.09
- W2-0MIBR#12FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-0Astralis#10FISSURE Playground 309.09
- W2-0BIG#25FISSURE Playground 308.09
maps over 90 days
12–14, round difference −13; 3 of 11 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 50%, on the T side 47%, pistol rounds 56%
1 day since the last series, 5 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anubis | 4–3 | +8 | 1 | |
| Mirage | 3–4 | −9 | ||
| Ancient | 1–3 | −10 | 1 | |
| Nuke | 2–2 | −2 | ||
| Cache | 2–1 | +5 | 2 | |
| Dust2 | 0–1 | −5 | ||
| Inferno | — | 2 |
head-to-head series, last two years
2 series: Legacy 1 win, BetBoom Team 1 win
- W2-0Mirage 13-4, Nuke 13-3Intel Extreme Masters Atlanta 202617.05
- L0-1Anubis 3-13BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Stage 104.06
Valve ranking as of 5 October
