FINISHED
Liquid vs BBL 2:1: result and AI prediction
Liquid and BBL played on 13 October — group stage, opening match, Stake Pulse Beat III 2026: the series ended 2:1. The AI models' bet: Liquid −1.5 map handicap at 2.33 — 13 of 15 models chose it; the bet lost.
- Stake Pulse Beat III 2026
- Group stage, opening match
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Liquid −1.5 map handicap
2.33AI models' pick · 13 of 15 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Liquid or BBL wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1BBL39 min
- map 2Liquid40 min
- map 3Liquid64 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on Liquid −1.5 on maps — the bet lost. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: a Liquid win. One more bet on BBL +1.5 on maps.
Liquid have won seven of their last ten series, and the four most recent all ended 2-0 — against M80 (22nd), NRG (47th), Wildcard (58th) and Chicken Coop (188th). Across the past 90 days their map record reads 34-17 with a round difference of +110, while BBL stand at 23-26 and +3, with five wins and five defeats in the same period. Liquid have needed a third map in only 5 of 18 best-of-three series, and with the gap in the Valve ranking — 19th against 37th — that is the case for the Liquid -1.5 map handicap, and it is where we are putting our money at 2.33.
Where we could be wrong
The argument against is short but real. The only meeting between the two in two years went to BBL, 1-0 in September, and the prices give Liquid 71% just to win the series. The veto is not known yet, and BBL's most frequent pick is Nuke (nine times), a map where Liquid have a modest 6-5 record and a 6-13 defeat not long ago. Add 15 days without a match for Liquid and the uncertainty around the BBL roster: Boye is out of Stake Pulse Beat III and MistR is on the bench.
- One of the teams has a player from outside its regular lineup in the tournament roster: with a stand-in a team plays differently from its previous series.
Form, rosters and maps
Liquid
19th in the Valve ranking · 1527 points
roster · player rating over six months
- EliGE6.41
- NAF6.16
- JT5.77
- malbsMd6.18
- Jorko6.37
recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses
- W2-0Wildcard#58iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202627.09
- W2-0M80#22iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202626.09
- W2-0NRG#47iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202625.09
- W2-0Chicken Coop#188iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202625.09
- L0-1BBL#37Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- W1-03DMAX#21Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- L0-1EYEBALLERS#43Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- L0-1Inner Circle#20Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- W1-0INFINITE#56Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- W3-2NRG#47PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: North American Qualifier12.09
maps over 90 days
34–17, round difference +110; 5 of 18 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 58%, on the T side 53%, pistol rounds 56%
15 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anubis | 9–3 | +41 | 10 | |
| Nuke | 6–5 | +10 | 5 | 3 |
| Cache | 6–3 | +17 | 2 | 5 |
| Dust2 | 3–4 | −13 | 11 | |
| Mirage | 5–1 | +25 | 2 | 4 |
| Inferno | 5–0 | +33 | 6 | |
| Ancient | 0–1 | −3 | 21 |
Bans Ancient first in 16 of 23 series
BBL
37th in the Valve ranking · 1386 points
roster · player rating over six months
- IceBerg5.41
- salazar5.80
- Leakz6.60
- Boye5.92
- NickyB6.07
In the tournament roster, not in the regular lineup: MistR
Not in the tournament roster: Boye
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- L0-2Ninjas in Pyjamas#18Journey Autumn 202603.10
- W2-1BC.Game#50Journey Autumn 202603.10
- W2-1FOKUS#48Journey Autumn 202602.10
- L0-1Ninjas in Pyjamas#18Journey Autumn 202602.10
- W1-0HAVU#124Journey Autumn 202602.10
- W1-0XEPTJourney Autumn 202602.10
- W1-0SportsBetExpert#62Journey Autumn 202602.10
- L0-1Sangal#40Journey Autumn 202602.10
- L0-2SINNERS#41NODWIN Clutch Series 1227.09
- L0-2100 Thieves#28Stake Pulse Beat II25.09
maps over 90 days
23–26, round difference +3; 6 of 16 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 51%, on the T side 51%, pistol rounds 51%
9 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 7–7 | −3 | 9 | |
| Inferno | 5–4 | +3 | 2 | 3 |
| Mirage | 4–5 | −12 | 5 | |
| Cache | 2–6 | −14 | 1 | 3 |
| Ancient | 5–3 | +32 | 4 | |
| Anubis | 0–1 | −3 | 8 | |
| Dust2 | — | 16 |
Bans Dust2 first in 15 of 17 series
head-to-head series, last two years
1 series: Liquid 0 wins, BBL 1 win
- L0-1Nuke 6-13Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
Valve ranking as of 5 October
