FINISHED
MOUZ vs M80 2:0: result and AI prediction
MOUZ and M80 played on 3 October — group stage, round 1, ESL Pro League Season 24 2026: the series ended 2:0. The AI models' bet: MOUZ to win at 1.18 — 10 of 12 models chose it; the bet won.
- ESL Pro League Season 24 2026
- Group stage, round 1
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: MOUZ to win
1.18AI models' pick · 10 of 12 for this bet, 2 for others
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot MOUZ have drifted: 1.16 → 1.20, M80 — 5.88 → 5.56. The money is going on M80.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — MOUZ or M80 wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1MOUZ49 min
- map 2MOUZ38 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a MOUZ win — the bet won. 2 more bet on a M80 win — the bet lost.
MOUZ have taken six of their last ten series against the top of the ranking: 2-0 over Vitality, 2-1 over Natus Vincere, with the defeats coming against Spirit and FURIA. M80's five wins in the same stretch came against DENDELE, Voca and BESTIA, while Liquid beat them 2-0. Second in the Valve ranking against 41st, a 30-17 map record across the last 90 days with a round difference of +73, and both head-to-heads of the past two years went to MOUZ as well. The one obvious opening for the underdog is Cache: M80 pick it more often than any other map and hold an 8-2 record there, while MOUZ sit at 1-3.
Where we could be wrong
We're backing MOUZ to win at 1.18, even if the format offers no guarantee of a quiet 2-0. Both previous meetings finished 2-1, and MOUZ's best-of-threes have gone to a third map 8 of 15 times. Add 13 days without a match and not a single map in the past week, against seven for M80, who come into this one already up to speed.
Form, rosters and maps
MOUZ
2nd in the Valve ranking · 1902 points
roster · player rating over six months
- Spinx6.16
- torzsi6.20
- xertioN6.43
- PR6.08
- xelex6.06
recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses
- L1-2FURIA#8StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- W2-1Natus Vincere#6StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- L1-2NRG#48StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
- L1-3Spirit#1BLAST Open Fall 202606.09
- W2-0Vitality#5BLAST Open Fall 202605.09
- W2-1Falcons#2BLAST Open Fall 202631.08
- W2-0Inner Circle#25BLAST Open Fall 202629.08
- W2-09z#4BLAST Open Fall 202627.08
- L0-2FUT#14Esports World Cup 202621.08
- W2-1GamerLegion#22Esports World Cup 202619.08
maps over 90 days
30–17, round difference +73; 8 of 15 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 58%, on the T side 49%, pistol rounds 44%
13 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirage | 9–1 | +42 | 8 | |
| Dust2 | 6–4 | +14 | 1 | 4 |
| Nuke | 6–3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Ancient | 3–6 | −16 | 6 | |
| Inferno | 5–0 | +34 | 3 | 1 |
| Cache | 1–3 | −1 | 6 | |
| Anubis | — | 18 |
Bans Anubis first in 18 of 18 series
M80
41st in the Valve ranking · 1269 points
roster · player rating over six months
- slaxz6.31
- lake6.17
- s1n5.74
- Swisher5.90
- JBa6.02
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- W2-1DENDELE#28iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202627.09
- L0-2Liquid#32iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202626.09
- W2-0Voca#74iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202626.09
- L0-2DENDELE#28iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202626.09
- W2-0BESTIA#56iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202625.09
- L1-23DMAX#31Logitech G Play Connect 202619.09
- L0-1B8#20Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L0-1Luminosity#24Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0Metizport#76Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0GamerLegion#22Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
maps over 90 days
27–22, round difference +15; 5 of 19 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 52%, on the T side 49%, pistol rounds 46%
5 days since the last series, 7 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 5–6 | +1 | 7 | 4 |
| Cache | 8–2 | +36 | 7 | 1 |
| Ancient | 5–4 | +1 | 1 | 7 |
| Mirage | 4–4 | +4 | 2 | 3 |
| Dust2 | 3–4 | −15 | 10 | |
| Anubis | 2–2 | −12 | 1 | 7 |
| Nuke | — | 22 |
Bans Nuke first in 22 of 24 series
head-to-head series, last two years
2 series: MOUZ 2 wins, M80 0 wins
- W2-1Overpass 13-3, Inferno 10-13, Mirage 13-2CS Asia Championships 202621.05
- W2-1Ancient 13-10, Mirage 9-13, Inferno 13-3BLAST Open Fall 202505.09
Valve ranking as of 7 September
