Today
NIP vs magic: AI prediction, 1win Private Club #1
NIP and magic meet on 27 September — playoffs, upper bracket final, 1win Private Club #1 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: magic to win at 1.92 — 14 of 14 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- 1win Private Club #1 2026
- Playoffs, upper bracket final
- Best of three
- Stream
published UTC
AI models
- 142 — matches our betodds 1.92ChatGPT, Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, Qwen, DeepSeek Flash, GLM, Mistral, Sonar, Xiaomi MiMo, Dots3-Note, Nemotron Ultra
Match odds
Since the first snapshot NIP have drifted: 2.04 → 2.08, magic — 1.92 → 1.89. The money is going on magic.
The odds are buy prices on a prediction market: they carry no bookmaker margin, only the gap between the buy and sell prices.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — NIP or magic wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
All 14 AI models went for a magic win.
- 14 of 142our betodds 1.92ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMistral
SonarXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra
Odds — the prediction-market price at the moment the AI model answered.
magic have built their recent form against tougher opposition: 2-1 wins over GamerLegion (22nd) and EYEBALLERS (33rd). NIP's last five series brought victories over SINNERS (53rd), 3DMAX (31st) and Metizport (76th), while Luminosity and that same GamerLegion each beat them 1-0. The veto adds to the case. magic ban Nuke first in 17 of 18 series, and that is NIP's best map, a 13-4 record with fifteen picks of their own, so the Scandinavians' main weapon will almost certainly stay off the table. magic pick Ancient 12 times at 12-7, NIP sit exactly 8-8 there, and in previous meetings the map has gone magic's way three times, 13-9 and 13-6 among the scores. Add the overall 2-1 edge across two years and 23rd in the Valve ranking against 29th, and we're backing magic at 1.92.
The risk is straightforward enough. NIP's best-of-threes have gone to a third map 14 of 25 times, and there a single pistol round can settle the series. There are only three previous meetings, and in May NIP already pulled out a 2-1 win. magic have also lost three of their last five series, including 0-2 to Alliance (17th), and they arrive with no break at all after their previous game.
Where we could be wrong
- The veto just before the match decides which maps get played: an awkward map in the pool can turn the picture around.
Form, rosters and maps
NIP
29th in the Valve ranking · 1338 points
roster · player rating over six months
- stavn6.41
- sjuush5.99
- Krimbo5.97
- adamb6.22
- xKacpersky6.29
recent series · 4 wins, 6 losses
- W2-1SINNERS#531win Private Club 126.09
- W2-03DMAX#311win Private Club 125.09
- L0-1Luminosity#24Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L0-1GamerLegion#22Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- W1-0Metizport#76Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L0-1B8#20Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L0-1M80#36Logitech G Play Connect 202617.09
- L1-21winThunderpick World Championship 2026: Global Qualifier11.09
- W2-0INFINITE#46Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Global Qualifier10.09
- L1-2Inner Circle#25PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier10.09
maps over 90 days
36–36, round difference +10; 14 of 25 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 55%, on the T side 48%, pistol rounds 55%
1 day since the last series, 5 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 13–4 | +36 | 15 | |
| Ancient | 8–8 | −1 | 4 | 6 |
| Mirage | 5–8 | −6 | 3 | 5 |
| Cache | 2–6 | −15 | 1 | 13 |
| Inferno | 5–3 | +16 | 11 | |
| Anubis | 2–3 | −1 | 15 | |
| Dust2 | 1–4 | −19 | 20 |
magic
23rd in the Valve ranking · 1402 points
roster · player rating over six months
- MaSvAl6.23
- AW5.99
- sFade85.89
- mo0n6.28
- tENZY6.34
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- W2-1GamerLegion#221win Private Club 126.09
- W2-1EYEBALLERS#331win Private Club 125.09
- L1-2MIBR#16StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- L0-2Vitality#5StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
- L0-2Alliance#17FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-0PARIVISION#12FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-1FaZe#13FISSURE Playground 309.09
- L1-2Legacy#7FISSURE Playground 308.09
- L0-2HEROIC#30Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Qualifier03.09
- W2-0BIG#21Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Qualifier03.09
maps over 90 days
30–24, round difference +11; 9 of 22 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 51%, on the T side 50%, pistol rounds 52%
0 days since the last series, 6 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 12–7 | +14 | 12 | |
| Dust2 | 4–6 | −7 | 2 | 1 |
| Mirage | 4–4 | +4 | 3 | 2 |
| Cache | 6–2 | +12 | 6 | |
| Anubis | 2–3 | −6 | 8 | |
| Inferno | 2–2 | −6 | 3 | |
| Nuke | — | 17 |
Bans Nuke first in 17 of 18 series
head-to-head series, last two years
3 series: NIP 1 win, magic 2 wins
- L0-2Ancient 9-13, Anubis 11-13StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: European Qualifier26.07
- W2-1Anubis 13-11, Ancient 6-13, Mirage 13-11Stake Ranked Episode 230.05
- L0-2Ancient 9-13, Mirage 2-13Stake Ranked Episode 229.05
Valve ranking as of 7 September; opponents' places and player ratings — bo3.gg
