FINISHED
Spirit vs ShindeN 2:1: result and AI prediction
Spirit and ShindeN played on 3 October — group stage, round 1, ESL Pro League Season 24 2026: the series ended 2:1. The AI models' bet: Spirit to win at 1.06 — 14 of 14 models chose it; the bet won.
- ESL Pro League Season 24 2026
- Group stage, round 1
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Spirit to win
1.06AI models' pick · 14 of 14 for this bet
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Spirit or ShindeN wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1ShindeN58 min
- map 2Spirit51 min
- map 3Spirit37 min
AI prediction and analysis
All 14 AI models bet on a Spirit win — the bet won.
The veto is where this series is already leaning. Spirit have banned Inferno first all 17 times, and Inferno is exactly ShindeN's main map — picked nine times for a 7-6 record. Spirit's own pick usually goes to Dust2 (9-2) or Ancient (9-0), and the Poles are only 3-2 on Ancient and 3-7 on Mirage, while their own first ban is Anubis, a map Spirit are 5-0 on.
The numbers behind the gap in calibre are just as blunt: 1st in the Valve ranking against 97th, and 10 wins from their last 10 series for Spirit, including 3-1 against MOUZ and 2-0 against Falcons. Over the same stretch ShindeN have five wins and five defeats, with recent 2-0 losses to Fluxo and BESTIA. We're backing Spirit to win at 1.06.
Where we could be wrong
The doubt is the layoff. Spirit have not played for 26 days, and a first group-stage match after a break sometimes begins with a scrappy map. ShindeN have gone the distance in 9 of their 23 series, and a single Nuke or Inferno taken by them would stretch this one out. The veto has not been announced yet, and there are no previous meetings from the past two years to lean on.
Form, rosters and maps
Spirit
1st in the Valve ranking · 2031 points
roster · player rating over six months
- sh1ro6.61
- magixx5.78
- zont1x5.89
- tN1R6.10
- donk7.41
recent series · 10 wins, 0 losses
- W3-1MOUZ#3BLAST Open Fall 202606.09
- W2-0Falcons#2BLAST Open Fall 202605.09
- W2-0FURIA#8BLAST Open Fall 202631.08
- W2-0G2#11BLAST Open Fall 202628.08
- W2-0DENDELE#28BLAST Open Fall 202626.08
- W3-1FUT#14Esports World Cup 202623.08
- W2-0Legacy#7Esports World Cup 202622.08
- W2-1Vitality#5Esports World Cup 202621.08
- W2-0B8#20Esports World Cup 202620.08
- W2-1BIG#21Esports World Cup 202615.08
maps over 90 days
33–11, round difference +136; 5 of 13 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 59%, on the T side 55%, pistol rounds 52%
26 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 9–2 | +48 | 10 | |
| Ancient | 9–0 | +43 | 5 | 2 |
| Mirage | 3–4 | −3 | 1 | 1 |
| Cache | 4–3 | +16 | 5 | |
| Anubis | 5–0 | +17 | 2 | 1 |
| Nuke | 3–2 | +15 | 1 | 6 |
| Inferno | — | 17 |
Bans Inferno first in 17 of 17 series
ShindeN
97th in the Valve ranking · 952 points
roster · player rating over six months
- tom1jed6.15
- abizz6.10
- ivz6.28
- naz6.10
- guty
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- L0-2Fluxo#57Circuit X Curitiba 320.09
- L0-2BESTIA#56Circuit X Curitiba 319.09
- W2-1Turma do Pagode#110Circuit X Curitiba 318.09
- W2-1Fluxo#57Circuit X Curitiba 317.09
- W2-0EHISTO BASECircuit X Curitiba 317.09
- L1-2Fluxo#57PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: South American Qualifier11.09
- W2-0paiN#26PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: South American Qualifier11.09
- W2-1Turma do Pagode#110PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: South American Qualifier10.09
- L1-2Fluxo#57PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: South American Qualifier09.09
- L1-2Imperial#59ESL Challenger League Season 52: South America - Cup 131.08
maps over 90 days
28–27, round difference +13; 9 of 23 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 52%, on the T side 50%, pistol rounds 45%
12 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 7–6 | +2 | 9 | 2 |
| Nuke | 7–4 | +18 | 7 | 4 |
| Mirage | 3–7 | −29 | 1 | 4 |
| Dust2 | 6–3 | +36 | 4 | 1 |
| Cache | 2–5 | −19 | 1 | 10 |
| Ancient | 3–2 | +5 | 1 | |
| Anubis | — | 22 |
Bans Anubis first in 22 of 22 series
Valve ranking as of 7 September
