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data updated 27.09 14:11

29 Sep

1win vs Natus Vincere: AI prediction, BLAST Slam

1win and Natus Vincere meet on 29 September — group stage, BLAST Slam Season 8 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: Natus Vincere to win at 1.72 — 15 of 16 models chose it. Below: the analysis, bookmaker odds, team form by series, current rosters and hero pool.

published UTC

1win
Natus Vincere

AI models' pick: Natus Vincere to win

1.72

AI models' pick · 15 of 16 for this bet, 1 for others

AI models

  • 152 — matches our betodds 1.72ChatGPT, Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, Qwen, DeepSeek Flash, GLM, Mistral, Sonar, Xiaomi MiMo, Dots3-Note, Nemotron Super, Nemotron Ultra
  • 1O 2.5odds 2.00MiniMax
all 16 AI predictions

Match odds

last line update 27.09 at 14:11 UTC

Series winner12.3321.72 — matches our bet
Map handicap −1.5H14.00H21.27
Total maps 2.5O2.00U1.89

Since the first snapshot 1win have drifted: 2.27 → 2.33, Natus Vincere — 1.69 → 1.72. The money is going on Natus Vincere.

The odds are buy prices on a prediction market: they carry no bookmaker margin, only the gap between the buy and sell prices.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — 1win or Natus Vincere wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

AI prediction and analysis

15 of 16 AI models went for a Natus Vincere win. One more went for over 2.5 maps.

  • 15 of 162our betodds 1.72ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashGLMMistralSonarXiaomi MiMoDots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra
  • 1 of 16O 2.5odds 2.00MiniMax

Odds — the prediction-market price at the moment the AI model answered.

The two teams met only a week ago at PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 9, and Natus Vincere took that series 2-1. The five of Niku, pma, Riddys, daze and gotthejuice have been together since 2 April and have won seven of their last ten series, with a 39-9 map record over the past 60 days against 17-16 for 1win.

1win have only had this roster since 19 September, when Pure left the starting five, and over that stretch there are five wins and five defeats, including a 0-2 loss to Team Yandex. That gap in stability is why we're backing Natus Vincere to win at 1.72.

The risk sits in the format: a best of three in the group, where one map decides a great deal, and 1win did take a map off them in that last meeting. Can Natus Vincere hold the pace after 14 maps in a week and only two days of rest, while their opponents come in off a four-day break? One head-to-head series in two years is too little to call 1win an awkward opponent.

Where we could be wrong

Nothing in our data argues against this bet: neither the vote split nor any estimate on this page points to a different outcome.

Form, rosters and heroes

patch 7.41

1win

roster

Ari, Whitemon, 33, bzm, Shad — together since 19 September

New in the five: Shad

Left the starting five: Pure

recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses

  • L1-2GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-0Pipsqueak + 4PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 923.09
  • L1-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W2-1Conventus StellarumPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • W2-0HokoriPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • L1-2Team NemesisPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
  • L0-2Team Liquid1win Essence II05.08
  • W2-1BETBOOM TEAM1win Essence II05.08
  • W2-0Vici Gaming1win Essence II04.08

maps in the last 60 days

17–16, average length 41 min; Radiant 2–6, Dire 15–10

4 days since the last series, 7 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Hoodwink14 / 7
  • Ring Master9 / 5
  • Winter Wyvern6 / 5
  • Largo6 / 5
  • Dragon Knight6 / 4
  • Techies6 / 4
  • Sven6 / 4
  • Earth Spirit6 / 4

Natus Vincere

roster

Niku, pma, Riddys, daze, gotthejuice — together since 2 April

recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses

  • L0-1Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 927.09
  • W2-1LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 927.09
  • W2-0Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 926.09
  • W2-0Aurora GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 926.09
  • W2-1Team NemesisPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • L1-2LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-11wPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • W2-0Aurora GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • W2-0HokoriPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09

maps in the last 60 days

39–9, average length 38 min; Radiant 10–3, Dire 29–6

2 days since the last series, 14 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Mirana16 / 13
  • Hoodwink14 / 11
  • Ember Spirit12 / 10
  • Bane12 / 9
  • Axe12 / 9
  • Witch Doctor11 / 10
  • Kez11 / 10
  • Dark Willow10 / 9

head-to-head series, last two years

1 series: 1win 0 wins, Natus Vincere 1 win

  • L1-21win vs Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09

Other Dota 2 matches

All matches
10:00Team Spirit–Team NemesisOur pick:H1 (-1.5)1.4511 of 13 AI models picked this bet1 1.142 7.6910:00PARIVISION–Level UPOur pick:H1 (-1.5)1.2514 of 14 AI models picked this bet1 1.062 14.2913:00LGD Gaming–Xtreme GamingOur pick:11.697 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 1.692 2.3816:00Aurora–GamerLegionOur pick:11.2214 of 14 AI models picked this bet1 1.222 5.00
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