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1win vs Team Nemesis 2:0: result and AI prediction

1win and Team Nemesis played on 2 October — group stage, decider, BLAST Slam Season 8 2026: the series ended 2:0. The AI models' bet: Team Nemesis +1.5 map handicap at 1.70 — 10 of 15 models chose it; the bet lost.

published · updated UTC

1win
Team Nemesis

AI models' pick: Team Nemesis +1.5 map handicap

1.70

AI models' pick · 10 of 15 for this bet, 5 for others

lost−1.00 units

What the odds were

line when the AI models voted, 01.10 at 07:27 UTC

Series winner11.3323.25
Map handicap −1.5H12.16H21.70 — matches our bet
Map handicap +1.5H11.09H25.86
Total maps 2.5O2.08U1.69

Since the first snapshot 1win have shortened: 1.39 → 1.35, Team Nemesis — 3.23 → 3.70. The money is going on 1win.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — 1win or Team Nemesis wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

How the series went

  1. map 11win39 min
  2. map 21win52 min

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Team Nemesis +1.5 on maps — the bet lost. 3 more bet on 1win −1.5 on maps — the bet won. The other 2 chose a bet each: a 1win win and a total-maps bet.

  • 10 of 15H2 (+1.5)our betodds 1.70ChatGPTClaudeGeminiKimiGLMMiniMaxMistralDots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultralost
  • 3 of 15H1 (−1.5)odds 2.16GrokQwenDeepSeek Flashwon
  • 1 of 151odds 1.33Sonarwon
  • 1 of 15O 2.5odds 2.08Xiaomi MiMolost

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

The only previous meeting between these two in two years went to Team Nemesis, 2-1 in September at PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 9 — exactly the scenario that lands a +1.5 map handicap. A decisive group stage match played as a best of three leaves the losing side room to take one map, and the form lines lean the same way: 1win have four wins and six defeats across their last ten series, with a 15-15 map record over 60 days, while Team Nemesis stand at 23-15. Average map length is almost identical, 42 and 43 minutes, and overlapping hero pools with Hoodwink and Techies point towards grindy games rather than quick routs. That is the case for backing Team Nemesis with the +1.5 map handicap at 1.70.

Where we could be wrong

The real question is who actually turns up for Team Nemesis. J and JACKBOYS are missing from the tournament roster, Jabz and JaCkky are on it but have yet to play for the team, and the five only came together on 29 August. Add one rest day against two for 1win and odds that have shortened on the favourite from 1.39 to 1.33, and a 0-2 is a genuine possibility here.

Form, rosters and heroes

patch 7.41

1win

roster

Ari, Whitemon, 33, bzm, Pure — together since 7 July

Left the starting five: Shad

recent series · 4 wins, 6 losses

  • L0-2Team SpiritBLAST SLAM VIII30.09
  • W2-1Natus VincereBLAST SLAM VIII29.09
  • L1-2GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-0Pipsqueak + 4PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 923.09
  • L1-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W2-1Conventus StellarumPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • W2-0HokoriPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • L1-2Team NemesisPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
  • L0-2Team Liquid1win Essence II05.08

maps in the last 60 days

15–15, average length 42 min; Radiant 2–6, Dire 13–9

2 days since the last series, 6 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Hoodwink10 / 4
  • Ring Master8 / 5
  • Dark Willow8 / 5
  • Techies7 / 4
  • Dragon Knight6 / 4
  • Earth Spirit6 / 4
  • Dark Seer6 / 2
  • Largo5 / 5

Team Nemesis

roster

J, JACKBOYS, NARMAN, Jhocam, Ken — together since 29 August

Left the starting five: Saberlight, Mo13ei

In the tournament roster but has not played for the team: Jabz

Not in the tournament roster: J

recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses

  • W2-1Natus VincereBLAST SLAM VIII30.09
  • L1-2Team SpiritBLAST SLAM VIII29.09
  • L1-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • L0-2Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-1Conventus StellarumPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 923.09
  • L0-2GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W1-0GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W2-0MOUZPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • W2-11winPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09

maps in the last 60 days

23–15, average length 43 min; Radiant 14–11, Dire 9–4

1 day since the last series, 6 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Clockwerk15 / 10
  • Hoodwink11 / 6
  • Techies11 / 6
  • Tiny10 / 8
  • Lina9 / 5
  • Dark Willow9 / 4
  • Ember Spirit8 / 8
  • Winter Wyvern7 / 5

head-to-head series, last two years

1 series: 1win 0 wins, Team Nemesis 1 win

  • L1-21win vs Team NemesisPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09

Other Dota 2 matches

All matches
2:0Team Yandex–BetBoom TeamOur pick:H1 (−1.5)prediction won15 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 1.162 4.982:0GamerLegion–Yakult BrothersOur pick:2prediction lost7 of 15 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 1.752 2.222:1Aurora–Team LiquidOur pick:H2 (+1.5)prediction won3 of 15 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 1.792 2.222:1LGD Gaming–Xtreme GamingOur pick:1prediction won9 of 14 AI models picked this bet1 1.542 2.49