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Astra Invicta vs LEGION 1:2: result and AI prediction

Astra Invicta and LEGION played on 24 October — group stage, PARI Universe 2026: the series ended 1:2. The AI models' bet: Astra Invicta −1.5 map handicap at 1.54 — 12 of 15 models chose it; the bet lost.

published · updated UTC

AI models' pick: Astra Invicta −1.5 map handicap

1.54

The market prices this option at 62%

AI models' pick · 12 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 2 more in the same direction

lost−1.00 units

What the odds were

line when the AI models voted, 24.10 at 12:22 UTC

Series winner11.1026.32
Map handicap −1.5H11.54 — matches our betH22.49
Map handicap +1.5H11.02H210.09
Total maps 2.5O2.68U1.42

Since the first snapshot Astra Invicta have shortened: 1.19 → 1.10, LEGION — 5.56 → 6.32. The money is going on Astra Invicta.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — Astra Invicta or LEGION wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

How the series went

  1. map 1LEGION37 min
  2. map 2Astra Invicta55 min
  3. map 3LEGION48 min

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Astra Invicta −1.5 on maps — the bet lost. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: an Astra Invicta win. One more bet on LEGION +1.5 on maps.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Astra Invicta's maps run to 48 minutes on average against 37 for LEGION, and a slow draft built around Dragon Knight and Io sits badly with the tempo heroes on the other side, Mirana and Invoker. The problem is that LEGION are not turning those short maps into results: four series in a row have finished 2-0 against them, to PARIVISION, Team Spirit, Team Lynx and OG. Their five was only put together on 17 October and is already without Timado.

The market has shifted hard in one direction. Inside 16 hours the price on Astra Invicta came in from 1.19 to 1.10, under 2.5 maps is 1.42, and the same sweep scenario is what we're backing with the Astra Invicta −1.5 map handicap at 1.54.

Where we could be wrong

The caveat is that Astra Invicta's roster has only played together since 22 October, and a fresh 2-0 defeat by PARIVISION showed that this five breaks down against organised opposition. There have been no previous meetings between the two in two years, LEGION have won six of their last ten series, and a single map dropped wipes out the handicap.

  • One of the teams has three or more newcomers in its five: a new roster has little history, and form from previous weeks says less about it than usual.

Form, rosters and heroes

patch 7.41

Astra Invicta

roster

OmaR, lorenof, GH, Nightfall, DM — together since 22 October

New in the five: OmaR, lorenof, GH, Nightfall, DM

recent series · 1 win, 1 loss

  • W2-0BETBOOM TEAMPARI UNIVERSE by FISSURE23.10
  • L0-2PARIVISIONPARI UNIVERSE by FISSURE22.10

maps in the last 60 days

2–2, average length 48 min; Radiant 1–1, Dire 1–1

1 day since the last series, 4 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Dragon Knight3 / 1
  • Io2 / 2
  • Hoodwink2 / 1
  • Lifestealer2 / 1
  • Clockwerk1 / 1
  • Pangolier1 / 1
  • Lone Druid1 / 1
  • Brewmaster1 / 1

LEGION

roster

Kidaro, Danial, Saberlight, Stojkov, Darklord,,` — together since 17 October

New in the five: Kidaro, Danial, Saberlight, Stojkov, Darklord,,`

Left the starting five: Timado

recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses

  • L0-2PARIVISIONPARI UNIVERSE by FISSURE23.10
  • L0-2Team SpiritPARI UNIVERSE by FISSURE22.10
  • L0-2Team LynxDreamLeague Season 30 Qualifiers17.10
  • L0-2OGDreamLeague Season 30 Qualifiers16.10
  • W2-0Team LynxDreamLeague Season 30 Qualifiers15.10
  • W2-0PuckChampDreamLeague Season 30 Qualifiers15.10
  • W3-1BlasterblPARI Universe by FISSURE Closed Qualifiers 08.10
  • W2-0Team SynapsePARI Universe by FISSURE Closed Qualifiers 07.10
  • W2-0MOUZPARI Universe by FISSURE Closed Qualifiers 06.10
  • W2-1BlasterblPARI Universe by FISSURE Closed Qualifiers 05.10

maps in the last 60 days

13–10, average length 37 min; Radiant 7–6, Dire 6–4

0 days since the last series, 4 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Mirana7 / 5
  • Invoker7 / 3
  • Witch Doctor6 / 3
  • Dark Willow6 / 2
  • Nyx Assassin5 / 5
  • Brewmaster5 / 4
  • Outworld Devourer5 / 4
  • Largo5 / 3

Other Dota 2 matches

All matches
0:21win–GamerLegionOur pick:22.94prediction won10 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.452 2.942:0Team Spirit–BetBoom TeamOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.85prediction won14 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.232 4.551:2Team Liquid–OGOur pick:22.04prediction won10 of 14 AI models picked this bet1 1.792 2.042:0Team Spirit–Astra InvictaOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.79prediction won12 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 3 more in the same direction1 1.302 4.00