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Aurora vs Natus Vincere: AI prediction, PGL Wallachia

Aurora and Natus Vincere meet on 26 September — playoffs, lower bracket quarter-final, PGL Wallachia Season 9 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: Natus Vincere to win at 2.07 — 11 of 14 models chose it. Below: the analysis, bookmaker odds, team form by series, current rosters and hero pool.

PGL Wallachia Season 9 2026
Playoffs, lower bracket quarter-final
Best of three
Stream

published 26.09 at 03:31 UTC

AI models' pick: Natus Vincere to win

2.07

AI models' pick · 11 of 14 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction

Why this bet All odds

AI models

112 — matches our betodds 2.07ChatGPT, Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, Qwen, GLM, MiniMax, Xiaomi MiMo, Nemotron Super
1H1 (+1.5)odds 1.24Sonar
1H2 (+1.5) — matches our betodds 1.34Mistral
1H2 (-1.5) — matches our betodds 3.69DeepSeek Flash

all 14 AI predictions

Match odds

last line update 26.09 at 03:20 UTC

Series winner11.7722.07

Map handicap −1.5H13.21H21.34

Map handicap +1.5H11.24H23.69

Total maps 2.5O1.89U1.85

abbreviations

1, 2 — Aurora or Natus Vincere wins the series
H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

AI prediction and analysis

11 of 14 AI models went for a Natus Vincere win. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Natus Vincere +1.5 on maps and Natus Vincere −1.5 on maps. One more went for Aurora +1.5 on maps.

11 of 142our betodds 2.07ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiQwenGLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMoNemotron Super
1 of 14H1 (+1.5)odds 1.24Sonar
1 of 14H2 (+1.5)same directionodds 1.34Mistral
1 of 14H2 (-1.5)same directionodds 3.69DeepSeek Flash

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Natus Vincere come into this series with a five-man line-up that has been playing together since 2 April, while Aurora have had skiter and Stojkov in the starting five only since 19 September, in place of Mikoto and Nightfall. The map record over the last 60 days spells out the gap: 33-7 for Natus Vincere against 16-12 for Aurora, plus eight wins in their last ten series. Six days ago at this same PGL Wallachia Season 9 2026 Natus Vincere already beat Aurora 2-0, and the short games — 37 minutes on average against 42 — along with a pool built on Mirana (13 games, 11 wins) and Ember Spirit (12 games, 10 wins) point to a side that closes matches out early.

Aurora are not arriving cold, though. Since the roster change they have taken three series 2-0 in a row, and the head-to-head record over two years is almost level at four wins to five. This lower bracket quarter-final is first to two wins with elimination on the line, so one bad drafting series decides everything. Our pick is Natus Vincere to win at 2.07.

Where we could be wrong

The bookmakers make Aurora the favourite: 1.77 against 2.07 on this bet.

Form, rosters and heroes

patch 7.41

Aurora

roster

Ws`, Mira, kaori, skiter, Stojkov — together since 19 September

New in the five: skiter, Stojkov

Left the starting five: Mikoto, Nightfall

recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses

L1-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
W2-0GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
W2-0LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
W2-0Team CobraPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
L0-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
W2-1Pipsqueak + 4PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
L0-2BETBOOM TEAMThe International 202616.08
L1-2Team LiquidThe International 202615.08
W2-0BETBOOM TEAMThe International 202615.08
W2-1Team YandexThe International 202614.08

maps in the last 60 days

16–12, average length 42 min; Radiant 8–8, Dire 8–4

0 days since the last series, 14 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

Hoodwink12 / 6
Jakiro9 / 5
Lina8 / 3
Winter Wyvern7 / 4
Ember Spirit6 / 4
Mirana5 / 4
Tiny5 / 3
Sven5 / 3

Natus Vincere

roster

Niku, pma, Riddys, daze, gotthejuice — together since 2 April

recent series · 8 wins, 2 losses

W2-1Team NemesisPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
L1-2LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
W2-11wPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
W2-0Aurora GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
W2-0HokoriPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
W2-0Pipsqueak + 4RES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam IX Qualifier EU13.09
W2-0Zero TenacityRES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam IX Qualifier EU12.09
W3-0Klim Sani4EPL Masters 2026 10.09
W2-1Klim Sani4EPL Masters 2026 08.09

maps in the last 60 days

33–7, average length 37 min; Radiant 10–2, Dire 23–5

1 day since the last series, 14 maps this week