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Aurora vs Team Liquid 2:1: result and AI prediction

Aurora and Team Liquid played on 1 October — group stage, BLAST Slam Season 8 2026: the series ended 2:1. The AI models' bet: Team Liquid +1.5 map handicap at 1.37 — 3 of 15 models chose it; the bet won.

published · updated UTC

Aurora
Team Liquid

AI models' pick: Team Liquid +1.5 map handicap

1.37

AI models' pick · 3 of 15 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction

won+0.37 units

What the odds were

line when the AI models voted, 30.09 at 08:29 UTC

Series winner11.7922.22
Map handicap −1.5H13.57H21.37 — matches our bet
Total maps 2.5O2.00U1.92

Since the first snapshot Aurora have shortened: 1.96 → 1.67, Team Liquid — 1.96 → 2.44. The money is going on Aurora.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — Aurora or Team Liquid wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

How the series went

  1. map 1Team Liquid45 min
  2. map 2Aurora40 min
  3. map 3Aurora64 min

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Team Liquid +1.5 on maps — the bet won. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: a Team Liquid win. 5 more each on an Aurora win (won) and on over 2.5 maps (won).

  • 5 of 151odds 1.79GeminiKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxwon
  • 5 of 15O 2.5odds 2.00ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekXiaomi MiMoNemotron Superwon
  • 3 of 15H2 (+1.5)our betodds 1.37MistralSonarNemotron Ultrawon
  • 2 of 152same directionodds 2.22GrokGLMlost

Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.

Both these sides play long Dota. Aurora average 42 minutes a map, Team Liquid 44, and in a best of three games of that length rarely end in a quick 2-0. That is the ground for our pick, the Team Liquid +1.5 map handicap at 1.37.

The head-to-head story over the past two years is about as close as it gets: 17 series, eight wins for Team Liquid, seven for Aurora and two draws. Even in August at The International 2026 Aurora only edged it 2-1. Team Liquid have won 7 of their last 10 series, and their core heroes are delivering — Windranger 10 wins in 13 games, Hoodwink 9 in 12.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is the roster. The five of m1CKe, tOfu, Boxi, MidOne, Wisper was only put together on 29 September, with MidOne and Wisper coming in for Ace ♠ and Nisha, so there is barely any shared history behind it. The recent 0-2 defeats to Team Spirit and Team Yandex show Team Liquid are capable of going out without taking a map, and over 11 hours the market shifted towards Aurora, 1.96 shortening to 1.79.

  • Two directions drew the same number of AI models: the bet was taken from the one priced closer to the line.

Form, rosters and heroes

patch 7.41

Aurora

roster

Ws`, Mira, kaori, Mikoto, skiter — together since 19 September

New in the five: skiter

Left the starting five: Stojkov, Nightfall

recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses

  • W1-0GamerLegionBLAST SLAM VIII29.09
  • W1-0GamerLegionBLAST SLAM VIII29.09
  • L0-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 926.09
  • L1-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • W2-0GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-0LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W2-0Team CobraPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • L0-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • W2-1Pipsqueak + 4PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
  • L0-2BETBOOM TEAMThe International 202616.08

maps in the last 60 days

18–14, average length 42 min; Radiant 9–10, Dire 9–4

1 day since the last series, 7 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Hoodwink14 / 7
  • Jakiro9 / 5
  • Ember Spirit9 / 5
  • Winter Wyvern8 / 4
  • Lina8 / 3
  • Windranger6 / 2
  • Timbersaw5 / 4
  • Mirana5 / 4

Team Liquid

roster

m1CKe, tOfu, Boxi, MidOne, Wisper — together since 29 September

New in the five: MidOne, Wisper

Left the starting five: Ace ♠, Nisha

recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses

  • W2-1Yakult BrothersBLAST SLAM VIII29.09
  • L0-2Team SpiritThe International 202622.08
  • W2-1Team FalconsThe International 202621.08
  • L0-2Team YandexThe International 202620.08
  • W2-1Aurora GamingThe International 202615.08
  • W2-1Iron WingThe International 202615.08
  • L1-2Team SpiritThe International 202614.08
  • W2-1Team YandexThe International 202614.08
  • W2-0Vici GamingThe International 202613.08
  • W3-0Team Falcons1win Essence II05.08

maps in the last 60 days

20–14, average length 44 min; Radiant 11–6, Dire 9–8

1 day since the last series, 3 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Windranger12 / 9
  • Hoodwink12 / 9
  • Tiny9 / 5
  • Earth Spirit8 / 5
  • Centaur Warrunner8 / 4
  • Mirana8 / 3
  • Tusk7 / 5
  • Underlord7 / 4

head-to-head series, last two years

17 series: Aurora 7 wins, Team Liquid 8 wins, 2 draws · the last 5 below

  • L1-2Aurora vs Team LiquidThe International 202615.08
  • D1-1Aurora vs Team LiquidEsports World Cup 202611.07
  • W1-0Aurora vs Team LiquidBLAST SLAM VII30.05
  • W1-0Aurora vs Team LiquidBLAST SLAM VII30.05
  • W1-0Aurora vs Team LiquidBLAST SLAM VII28.05

Other Dota 2 matches

All matches
0:2MOUZ–OGOur pick:H1 (+1.5)prediction lost9 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.532 1.292:0Team Yandex–BetBoom TeamOur pick:H1 (−1.5)prediction won15 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 1.162 4.982:0GamerLegion–Yakult BrothersOur pick:2prediction lost7 of 15 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 1.752 2.222:01win–Team NemesisOur pick:H2 (+1.5)prediction lost10 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.332 3.25