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data updated 27.09 14:11

29 Sep

LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming: AI prediction, BLAST Slam

LGD Gaming and Xtreme Gaming meet on 29 September — group stage, BLAST Slam Season 8 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: LGD Gaming to win at 1.69 — 7 of 16 models chose it. Below: the analysis, bookmaker odds, team form by series, current rosters and hero pool.

published UTC

LGD Gaming
Xtreme Gaming

AI models' pick: LGD Gaming to win

1.69

AI models' pick · 7 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

AI models

  • 71 — matches our betodds 1.69DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, DeepSeek Flash, Mistral, Sonar
  • 4U 2.5odds 1.89ChatGPT, Qwen, MiniMax, Nemotron Super
  • 32odds 2.38Claude, GLM, Nemotron Ultra
  • 1H1 (+1.5) — matches our betodds 1.25Dots3-Note
  • 1O 2.5odds 2.00Xiaomi MiMo
all 16 AI predictions

Match odds

last line update 27.09 at 14:11 UTC

Series winner11.69 — matches our bet22.38
Map handicap +1.5H11.25H24.00
Total maps 2.5O2.00U1.89

Since the first snapshot LGD Gaming have shortened: 1.72 → 1.69, Xtreme Gaming — 2.33 → 2.38. The money is going on LGD Gaming.

The odds are buy prices on a prediction market: they carry no bookmaker margin, only the gap between the buy and sell prices.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — LGD Gaming or Xtreme Gaming wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

AI prediction and analysis

7 of 16 AI models went for a LGD Gaming win. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: LGD Gaming +1.5 on maps. 4 more went for under 2.5 maps. The other 4 chose other bets: a Xtreme Gaming win and a total-maps bet. 11 are betting on the series result and 5 on the number of maps.

  • 7 of 161our betodds 1.69DeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiDeepSeek FlashMistralSonar
  • 4 of 16U 2.5odds 1.89ChatGPTQwenMiniMaxNemotron Super
  • 3 of 162odds 2.38ClaudeGLMNemotron Ultra
  • 1 of 16H1 (+1.5)same directionodds 1.25Dots3-Note
  • 1 of 16O 2.5odds 2.00Xiaomi MiMo

Odds — the prediction-market price at the moment the AI model answered.

The head-to-head gives a decent reference point: on 25 September at PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 9 LGD Gaming took the series 2-0, and over two years three of the four previous meetings have gone their way. Both rosters were put together on 19 September, but LGD Gaming have got through 14 maps in a week against 8 for Xtreme Gaming, and for a new core with SumaiL- and Sneyking that volume of practice matters more than an even five wins and five defeats in the last ten series. The prices have shifted from 1.72 to 1.69 in three hours, a response in favour of the Chinese side, and we're backing LGD Gaming to win at 1.69.

The counter-argument is recent too. Xtreme Gaming beat that same roster 2-0 four days earlier, and across their last ten series they have six wins to their opponent's five, so LGD Gaming's head-to-head edge rests on a very short, very fresh sample. A best of three at BLAST Slam leaves no time to warm up: one weak draft at the start turns the series round, and average game times of 42 minutes for Xtreme Gaming against 46 for LGD Gaming hint that the tempo will not be set by the favourite.

Where we could be wrong

  • 8 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.
  • One of the teams has three or more newcomers in its five: a new roster has little history, and form from previous weeks says less about it than usual.

Form, rosters and heroes

patch 7.41

LGD Gaming

roster

Thiolicor, SumaiL-, Davai, Sneyking, Wits — together since 19 September

New in the five: SumaiL-, Davai, Sneyking, Wits

Left the starting five: KingJungles, Yuma, Wisper, Topson, TaiLung

recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses

  • L1-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 927.09
  • L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 926.09
  • W2-0Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • W2-1Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-0MOUZPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 923.09
  • L0-2Aurora GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • L0-2Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • W2-0GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • W2-1Yakult BrothersPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
  • L1-2Team YandexThe International 202616.08

maps in the last 60 days

19–22, average length 46 min; Radiant 12–13, Dire 7–9

2 days since the last series, 14 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Dark Willow15 / 6
  • Windranger11 / 6
  • Mirana8 / 5
  • Hoodwink8 / 4
  • Void Spirit7 / 4
  • Lone Druid7 / 4
  • Centaur Warrunner6 / 4
  • Winter Wyvern6 / 3

Xtreme Gaming

roster

Ame, BoBoKa, zeal, Xm, XinQ — together since 19 September

New in the five: BoBoKa, zeal, Xm, XinQ

Left the starting five: fy, NothingToSay, xNova, Xxs

recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses

  • L0-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 926.09
  • W2-0GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 926.09
  • L0-2LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • W2-0Team NemesisPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-0LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • W2-1Conventus StellarumPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • W2-0Pibbles Corp.PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
  • L0-2Team ResilienceThe International 202615.08
  • L1-2LGD GamingThe International 202615.08
  • W2-0HULIGANIThe International 202614.08

maps in the last 60 days

18–16, average length 42 min; Radiant 12–9, Dire 6–7

2 days since the last series, 8 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Mirana11 / 7
  • Hoodwink9 / 6
  • Ember Spirit7 / 5
  • Doom7 / 5
  • Dark Willow6 / 1
  • Dark Seer5 / 3
  • Spirit Breaker5 / 3
  • Pangolier5 / 2

head-to-head series, last two years

4 series: LGD Gaming 3 wins, Xtreme Gaming 1 win

  • W2-0LGD Gaming vs Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • L0-2LGD Gaming vs Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • W2-1LGD Gaming vs Xtreme GamingThe International 202615.08
  • W1-0LGD Gaming vs Xtreme GamingBLAST SLAM VII29.05

Other Dota 2 matches

All matches
10:00Team Spirit–Team NemesisOur pick:H1 (-1.5)1.4511 of 13 AI models picked this bet1 1.142 7.6910:00PARIVISION–Level UPOur pick:H1 (-1.5)1.2514 of 14 AI models picked this bet1 1.062 14.2913:001win–Natus VincereOur pick:21.7215 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.332 1.7216:00Aurora–GamerLegionOur pick:11.2214 of 14 AI models picked this bet1 1.222 5.00
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