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Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere 2:1: result and AI prediction

Team Nemesis and Natus Vincere played on 30 September — group stage, BLAST Slam Season 8 2026: the series ended 2:1. The AI models' bet: Team Nemesis +1.5 map handicap at 1.81 — 5 of 13 models chose it; the bet won.

published · updated UTC

Team Nemesis
Natus Vincere

AI models' pick: Team Nemesis +1.5 map handicap

1.81

AI models' pick · Two directions drew level; the one priced closer to the line was taken

won+0.81 units

What the odds were

line when the AI models voted, 30.09 at 08:29 UTC

Series winner13.6521.27
Map handicap −1.5H16.48H21.08
Map handicap +1.5H11.81 — matches our betH22.01
Total maps 2.5O2.16U1.65

Since the first snapshot Team Nemesis have drifted: 3.85 → 4.55, Natus Vincere — 1.32 → 1.27. The money is going on Natus Vincere.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — Team Nemesis or Natus Vincere wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

How the series went

  1. map 1Team Nemesis42 min
  2. map 2Natus Vincere32 min
  3. map 3Team Nemesis43 min

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Team Nemesis +1.5 on maps — the bet won. 4 more bet on Natus Vincere −1.5 on maps — the bet lost. The other 4 chose other bets: a total-maps bet and a Natus Vincere win.

  • 5 of 13H1 (+1.5)our betodds 1.81ClaudeGeminiKimiGLMDots3-Notewon
  • 4 of 13H2 (−1.5)odds 2.01GrokDeepSeek FlashSonarXiaomi MiMolost
  • 3 of 13O 2.5odds 2.16ChatGPTQwenNemotron Superwon
  • 1 of 132odds 1.27Mistrallost

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Team Nemesis and Natus Vincere have met just once in two years: on 25 September at PGL Wallachia 2026 Season 9, where Natus Vincere came through 2-1 and Team Nemesis took a map off them five days ago. In a best of three that is exactly what the +1.5 map handicap asks for — one won map. The slow style of Team Nemesis pulls the same way, with games averaging 43 minutes against 38 for their opponents, and Clockwerk on 14 games plus Techies in the pool dragging maps into the long phase. Natus Vincere look strong over the distance but uneven with it: among their recent series are a 1-2 defeat to 1win and a 0-3 to Team Yandex. We're backing the Team Nemesis +1.5 map handicap at 1.81.

Where we could be wrong

The open question is who actually turns up for Team Nemesis. J and JACKBOYS did not make the tournament roster, Jabz and JaCkky have yet to play a game for the side, and the five has only been together since 29 August. Natus Vincere, 40-13 on maps across the last two months, know how to close a series without dropping a map, as they did against Xtreme Gaming and Aurora Gaming, and one head-to-head series between the two is far too little to lean on.

  • Two directions drew the same number of AI models: the bet was taken from the one priced closer to the line.

Form, rosters and heroes

patch 7.41

Team Nemesis

roster

J, JACKBOYS, NARMAN, Jhocam, Ken — together since 29 August

Left the starting five: Saberlight, Mo13ei

In the tournament roster but has not played for the team: Jabz

Not in the tournament roster: J

recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses

  • L1-2Team SpiritBLAST SLAM VIII29.09
  • L1-2Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • L0-2Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-1Conventus StellarumPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 923.09
  • L0-2GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W1-0GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • W2-0MOUZPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
  • W2-11winPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
  • W2-0Team BoredRES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam IX Qualifier SEA13.09

maps in the last 60 days

21–14, average length 43 min; Radiant 12–10, Dire 9–4

1 day since the last series, 8 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Clockwerk14 / 9
  • Hoodwink10 / 6
  • Techies10 / 5
  • Tiny9 / 7
  • Dark Willow9 / 4
  • Lina8 / 4
  • Ember Spirit7 / 7
  • Winter Wyvern7 / 5

Natus Vincere

roster

Niku, pma, Riddys, daze, gotthejuice — together since 3 April

recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses

  • L1-21winBLAST SLAM VIII29.09
  • L0-3Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 927.09
  • W2-1LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 927.09
  • W2-0Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 926.09
  • W2-0Aurora GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 926.09
  • W2-1Team NemesisPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09
  • L1-2LGD GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 924.09
  • W2-11winPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
  • L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
  • W2-0Aurora GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09

maps in the last 60 days

40–13, average length 38 min; Radiant 10–5, Dire 30–8

1 day since the last series, 19 maps this week

most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins

  • Mirana17 / 13
  • Hoodwink17 / 11
  • Bane15 / 10
  • Ember Spirit12 / 10
  • Axe12 / 9
  • Dark Willow11 / 10
  • Kez11 / 10
  • Witch Doctor11 / 10

head-to-head series, last two years

1 series: Team Nemesis 0 wins, Natus Vincere 1 win

  • L1-2Team Nemesis vs Natus VincerePGL Wallachia 2026 Season 925.09

Other Dota 2 matches

All matches
2:0Team Yandex–MOUZOur pick:H1 (−1.5)prediction won11 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.102 8.332:0Team Spirit–1winOur pick:1prediction won5 of 14 on this bet · 4 more in the same direction1 1.502 2.592:0PARIVISION–LGD GamingOur pick:H1 (−1.5)prediction won13 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.112 6.190:2Level UP–Xtreme GamingOur pick:H2 (−1.5)prediction won7 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 5.732 1.12