22 Oct
Crvena Zvezda vs Copenhagen: AI prediction and betting pick
On 22 October, Crvena Zvezda host Copenhagen. The AI models' pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.71: 11 of 16 models chose it.
- Conference League, matchday 2 of 6
- +17°, drizzle
- Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade
published UTC
AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals
1.71AI models' pick · 11 of 16 for this bet, 5 for others
Our football predictions so far: 88 won · 65 lost · 5 void · +4.14 units All results
likely score
2:1 8%1:2 8%0:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 2 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 1 day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Over 2.5: 1.71 → 1.71 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Over 2.5 1.71 → 1.71, Under 2.5 2.15 → 2.15.
Price changes
| When | Over 2.5 · our bet | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| We published over 2.5 goals at 1.71 | ||
| 1.71opened | 2.15opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for over 2.5 goals. 3 more went for both teams to score. The other 2 went for a Crvena Zvezda win.
- 11 of 16O 2.5our betodds 1.71ChatGPTDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashMistral
Sonar
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 3 of 16BTTSodds 1.54ClaudeXiaomi MiMoNemotron Super
- 2 of 161odds 2.48
GLMMiniMax
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 18.10 at 12:53 UTC
Crvena Zvezda have scored 11 and conceded four in six matches of the new season, Copenhagen 10 with two conceded in five, and both sides arrive in an attacking rhythm. The market picks no favourite: the prices for a home win and an away win are almost level, while three goals or more is rated at 56%. Evenly matched teams usually serve up open football, and Crvena Zvezda, left without a point after the opening round, will have to push forward at home. Last spring adds to the case: in Belgrade the hosts went over 2.5 goals in 83% of matches, and the Danes' away games produced the same share, though after the summer transfers and the changes of coach those figures work only as background. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.71.
Where we could be wrong
Against that, Copenhagen kept three clean sheets at the start of the season, and on the road, with one win and two draws, they kept to two goals scored and one conceded. That economical approach from the visitors could easily hold the game to two goals. The drizzle in Belgrade also points to a sticky tempo rather than a shootout.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Crvena Zvezda| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Lugano | A | 2:3xG 1.2–2.3 | L |
| 10.10 | Radnicki 1923SuperLiga | A | 3:0xG 2.2–1.4 | W |
| 20.09 | Radnicki NISSuperLiga | H | 3:0 | W |
| 17.09 | Železničar PančevoSuperLiga | A | 2:1 | W |
| 13.09 | IMT Novi BeogradSuperLiga | A | 1:0xG 1.2–0.6 | W |
| 10.09 | Radnik SurdulicaSuperLiga | A | 0:0 | D |
Copenhagen| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Braga | H | 3:0xG 1.6–0.6 | W |
| 11.10 | MidtjyllandSuperliga | A | 1:2xG 1.7–1.6 | L |
| 04.10 | Hamburgclub friendly | A | 0:2 | L |
| 20.09 | BrondbySuperliga | A | 1:0xG 2.3–0.7 | W |
| 15.09 | SkovshovedDBU Pokalen | A | 3:0 | W |
| 11.09 | AC HorsensSuperliga | H | 2:0 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Head to head
0–2–0Crvena Zvezda wins · draws · Copenhagen wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Copenhagen vs Crvena Zvezda | 2:2 | 13.08.19 | Champions League |
| Crvena Zvezda vs Copenhagen | 1:1 | 06.08.19 | Champions League |
- both scored in 2 of the last 2 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 1 of 2
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 1-0-0 | 4–0 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Copenhagen | 1 | 1-0-0 | 3–0 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 1-0-0 | 4–2 | 3 | W |
| 23 | Jablonec | 1 | 0-0-1 | 2–3 | 0 | L |
| 24 | Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0-0-1 | 2–3 | 0 | L |
| 25 | Ajax | 1 | 0-0-1 | 1–2 | 0 | L |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
