22 Oct
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann: AI prediction and betting pick
On 22 October, Kauno Žalgiris host Brann. The AI models' pick is Brann to win at 1.75: 7 of 16 models chose it.
- Conference League, matchday 2 of 6
- +14°, overcast, wind 21 km/h
- S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
published UTC
AI models' pick: Brann to win
1.75AI models' pick · 7 of 16 for this bet, 9 for others
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results
likely score
0:2 10%1:2 10%0:1 9%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Brann: 1.75 → 1.75 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Kauno Žalgiris 4.26 → 4.26, Draw 3.83 → 3.83, Brann 1.75 → 1.75.
Price changes
| When | Kauno Žalgiris | Draw | Brann · our bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| We published a Brann win at 1.75 | |||
| 4.26opened | 3.83opened | 1.75opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Brann win. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: Brann −1 and Brann −1.5. 4 more each for both teams to score and for over 2.5 goals. One more went for Kauno Žalgiris +1.
- 4 of 162our betodds 1.75
Gemini
SonarXiaomi MiMoNemotron Ultra - 2 of 16H2 (−1)same directionodds 2.30
Grok
GLM - 1 of 16H2 (−1.5)same directionodds 3.04Mistral
- 4 of 16BTTSodds 1.69ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekDeepSeek Flash
- 4 of 16O 2.5odds 1.75KimiQwenMiniMaxNemotron Super
- 1 of 16H1 (+1)odds 1.57
Dots3-Note
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 10:17 UTC
Kauno Žalgiris ended last season averaging 2.5 goals a game at home and keeping a clean sheet in 56% of those matches, but a summer and a squad overhaul have passed since then. In their Conference League outing the Lithuanians managed four shots, one of them on target. Brann are playing a completely different game this autumn: 64.3% possession, 18.8 shots a match with 6.3 on target, and an xG edge of 2.62 to 1.57. After the first round the Norwegians sit 12th on three points, while Kauno Žalgiris are bottom in 36th without a point, and the visitors' price has not moved from 1.75 in the past 24 hours.
Where we could be wrong
The warning comes from Brann's travels, because they almost always concede on the road: three away league games have brought one win and two draws, with 1.7 goals against per game and not a single clean sheet. A 21 km/h wind in Kaunas and a deep home block could steer the evening towards a draw, which would scupper this one. The gap in quality is still too wide to pass up, so we're backing Brann to win at 1.75.
- 7 of 16 AI models back this bet; more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | 0:4xG 0.0–4.0 | L |
| 11.10 | Minijacup | A | 3:0 | W |
| 20.09 | ŠiauliaiA Lyga | A | 2:0 | W |
| 16.09 | FK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga | A | 2:3 | L |
| 13.09 | PanevėžysA Lyga | A | 1:0 | W |
| 09.09 | Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga | H | 5:1 | W |
Brann| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10 | ValerengaEliteserien | A | 1:3xG 3.0–2.8 | L |
| 15.10 | Lincoln Red Imps | H | 2:1xG 2.3–0.6 | W |
| 09.10 | VikingEliteserien | H | 0:2xG 2.6–1.3 | L |
| 02.10 | Startclub friendly | A | 1:2 | L |
| 20.09 | Bodø/GlimtEliteserien | H | 2:1 | W |
| 16.09 | OsNorwegian Cup | A | 2:1 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1-0-0 | 2–1 | 3 | W |
| 12 | Brann | 1 | 1-0-0 | 2–1 | 3 | W |
| 13 | Gent | 1 | 1-0-0 | 1–0 | 3 | W |
| 35 | Braga | 1 | 0-0-1 | 0–3 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 1 | 0-0-1 | 0–4 | 0 | L |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
