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KuPS vs Trabzonspor: AI prediction and betting pick
On 15 October, KuPS host Trabzonspor. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.84: 6 of 16 models chose it.
- Conference League, matchday 1 of 6
- +8°, overcast, wind 20 km/h
- Väre Areena, Kuopio
published UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.84Now 1.86 · 1.84 when published
AI models' pick · 6 of 16 for this bet, 10 for others
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
likely score
1:2 9%0:3 8%1:3 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 4 days a KuPS win drifted from 5.96 to 6.54 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.84 → 1.86 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.84 to 1.86: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86+0.03 | 1.86−0.02 | |
| 1.83−0.01 | 1.88+0.01 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.84 | ||
| 1.84opened | 1.87opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 3 more went for a Trabzonspor win. The other 7 chose other bets: total-goals bets, double chance, a KuPS handicap and a Trabzonspor handicap.
- 6 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.84DeepSeekKimiDeepSeek Flash
GLM
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 3 of 162odds 1.48
Grok
SonarNemotron Super - 2 of 16O 2.5odds 1.71QwenMiniMax
- 1 of 16X2odds 1.11Xiaomi MiMo
- 1 of 16H1 (+1.5)odds 1.56Claude
- 1 of 16U 3odds 1.63ChatGPT
- 1 of 16U 2.5odds 2.10
Gemini - 1 of 16H2 (−1.5)odds 2.36Mistral
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 10.10 at 11:55 UTC
Trabzonspor have scored 10 and conceded seven in five matches this season, and the goals keep going in at both ends. Over the closing stretch of last season they rarely kept a clean sheet on the road, and both teams found the net in 71% of their away games. KuPS are no tighter at home: both teams have scored in 62% of their matches, and the Finns have been doing plenty with the ball early this season, working 3.2 shots on target a game against visitors who hit the target 5.6 times. That points one way in this Conference League tie, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.84.
Where we could be wrong
The other side of it is thin scoring from the hosts. KuPS have managed only four goals in six meetings and have been shut out in a fair share of home games, and 8C with a 20 km/h wind in Kuopio hints at a sticky, low-tempo evening. Trabzonspor away swing between heavy wins and nights when the attack simply stalls, and one of those is enough to send the bet down.
- 6 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
KuPSno absences listed
Trabzonsporno absences listed
managers: M. Nuutinen · Thomas Reis
Recent matches
KuPS| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10 | AC OuluVeikkausliiga | H | 0:1xG 1.8–0.7 | L |
| 19.09 | VPSVeikkausliiga | A | 2:0 | W |
| 13.09 | HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga | H | 0:0 | D |
| 08.09 | GnistanVeikkausliiga | A | 1:1 | D |
| 31.08 | Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga | A | 0:1 | L |
| 27.08 | Shamrock Rovers | H | 1:0 | W |
Trabzonspor| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.10 | Drogheda Unitedclub friendly | H | 0:1 | L |
| 19.09 | GalatasaraySüper Lig | H | 4:0xG 2.2–1.0 | W |
| 12.09 | KonyasporSüper Lig | A | 0:1xG 0.8–1.0 | L |
| 06.09 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig | H | 5:0xG 3.2–0.9 | W |
| 31.08 | AmedSüper Lig | A | 1:2xG 0.9–2.7 | L |
| 27.08 | FerencvárosEuropa League | A | 0:4 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Getafe | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 12 | KuPS | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 13 | CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 26 | Thun | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 27 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 28 | Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
