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Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: AI prediction and betting pick
On 15 October, Mjällby host Inter Club d'Escaldes. The AI models' pick is Mjällby −1.5 handicap at 1.92: 3 of 16 models chose it, 2 more went in the same direction.
- Conference League, matchday 1 of 6
- +12°, overcast, wind 21 km/h
- Strandvallen, Sölvesborg
published UTC
AI models' pick: Mjällby −1.5 handicap
1.92AI models' pick · 3 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
likely score
3:0 10%2:1 9%1:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 4 days an Inter Club d'Escaldes win shortened from 8.71 to 8.60 — money is coming in on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Mjällby −1.5: 1.92 → 1.91 since we publishedView
The biggest move is Mjällby −1.5 handicap: from 1.92 to 1.91.
Price changes
| When | Mjällby −1.5 · our bet | Inter Club d'Escaldes +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91−0.01 | 1.86 | |
| 1.92 | 1.86+0.01 | |
| 1.92−0.04 | 1.85+0.02 | |
| 1.96+0.04 | 1.83−0.03 | |
| We published Mjällby −1.5 handicap at 1.92 | ||
| 1.92opened | 1.86opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for Mjällby −1.5. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Mjällby −1. 3 more each for Inter Club d'Escaldes +1.5 and for under 2.5 goals. The other 5 chose other bets: both teams to score, a total-goals bet, 'both to score — no' and double chance.
- 3 of 16H2 (+1.5)odds 1.86ClaudeDeepSeekNemotron Ultra
- 3 of 16H1 (−1.5)our betodds 1.92
Grok
GLMMistral - 3 of 16U 2.5odds 2.16
GeminiDeepSeek FlashNemotron Super - 2 of 16H1 (−1)same directionodds 1.47MiniMax
Sonar - 2 of 16BTTSodds 2.08Xiaomi MiMo
Dots3-Note - 1 of 16U 3odds 1.69ChatGPT
- 1 of 16BTTS noodds 1.70Kimi
- 1 of 16X2odds 3.44Qwen
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 10.10 at 11:55 UTC
Inter Club d'Escaldes concede around a goal and a half per away game and keep a clean sheet on only a third of their travels. Their 10 goals scored and 2 conceded this season came in the Andorran championship and the Super Cup, so that return says little about what awaits them against a Swedish club. Mjällby, meanwhile, have stopped their opponents scoring in 55% of home matches, and the market splits the two sides as widely as it can: 1.30 on the hosts against 8.71 on the visitors.
Where we could be wrong
Our pick is the Mjällby −1.5 handicap, which the bookmakers rate at roughly 49%. The hosts' attack is the worry: three goals against 12 conceded in six matches this season, with an xG of 1.26 against 2.15. The visitors have found the net in almost every away game, and a one-goal home win looks a perfectly realistic scenario — a scoreline like that would see the handicap bet go down.
- 3 of 16 AI models back this bet and 2 more chose a close bet in the same direction; more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
Mjällbyno absences listed
Inter Club d'Escaldesno absences listed
managers: Andreas Brannstrom · Felip Ortiz
Recent matches
Mjällby| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.10 | TrollhättanSvenska Cupen | A | 0:1 | L |
| 20.09 | GaisAllsvenskan | H | 0:3xG 1.0–1.3 | L |
| 16.09 | AIK StockholmAllsvenskan | A | 1:1xG 1.8–3.2 | D |
| 11.09 | BK HackenAllsvenskan | A | 1:1 | D |
| 07.09 | IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan | H | 1:4xG 0.9–1.9 | L |
| 03.09 | Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan | H | 0:2 | L |
Inter Club d'Escaldes| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.10 | Rodezclub friendly | A | 0:2 | L |
| 20.09 | Ranger's1a Divisió | H | 3:0 | W |
| 13.09 | Carroi1a Divisió | H | 3:0 | W |
| 09.09 | Atlètic Club d'EscaldesSuper Cup | H | 2:0 | W |
| 06.09 | Esperança d'Andorra1a Divisió | A | 2:2 | D |
| 31.08 | Sabadellclub friendly | A | — |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mjällby | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 30 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 31 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 32 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
