22 Oct
Trabzonspor vs Hearts: AI prediction and betting pick
On 22 October, Trabzonspor host Hearts. The AI models' pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.62: 7 of 16 models chose it.
- Conference League, matchday 2 of 6
- +18°, mostly clear
- Papara Park, Trabzon
published UTC
AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals
1.62AI models' pick · 7 of 16 for this bet, 9 for others
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 88 won · 65 lost · 5 void · +4.14 units All results
likely score
2:1 10%2:0 10%1:0 9%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 2 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 1 day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementTrabzonspor 1.42 → 1.42 over 1 day · 21 snapshotsView
This market has barely moved: Trabzonspor 1.42 → 1.42, Draw 4.80 → 4.80, Hearts 6.90 → 6.90.
Price changes
| When | Trabzonspor | Draw | Hearts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.42opened | 4.80opened | 6.90opened |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for over 2.5 goals. 4 more went for both teams to score. The other 5 chose other bets: a Trabzonspor handicap and a Trabzonspor win.
- 7 of 16O 2.5our betodds 1.62ChatGPTDeepSeek
GrokQwenDeepSeek FlashMistralNemotron Ultra - 4 of 16BTTSodds 1.77Claude
GLMXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-Note - 3 of 16H1 (−1.5)odds 2.14
GeminiKimiMiniMax - 1 of 161odds 1.42Nemotron Super
- 1 of 16H1 (−1)odds 1.58
Sonar
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 18.10 at 12:53 UTC
This one looks set to open up, with both sides arriving in the Conference League in sharp attacking form. Trabzonspor have scored 16 and conceded three in five official matches this season, with xG of 2.37 against 1.31, and at home the Turkish side show no appetite for shutting a game down. Hearts have 13 goals from six games and five against, and 58% of their away matches have finished with three goals or more. The market leans the same way, which is why we're backing over 2.5 goals at 1.62.
Where we could be wrong
There is a case the other way. Trabzonspor's home numbers are ambiguous: three or more goals have arrived in only 47% of those matches, and in almost a third of them the hosts did not concede. Hearts, for their part, can lock a game down on the road and draw a blank themselves on every fifth trip. Set against that, averages from the back end of last season carry little weight after summer transfers and changes in the dugout.
- 7 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Trabzonspor| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | KuPS | A | 4:2xG 3.6–2.1 | W |
| 10.10 | SamsunsporSuper Lig | A | 3:0xG 2.0–1.7 | W |
| 01.10 | Drogheda Unitedclub friendly | H | 0:1 | L |
| 19.09 | GalatasaraySuper Lig | H | 4:0xG 2.2–1.0 | W |
| 12.09 | KonyasporSuper Lig | A | 0:1xG 0.8–1.0 | L |
| 06.09 | GençlerbirliğiSuper Lig | H | 5:0xG 3.2–0.9 | W |
Hearts| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Nordsjælland | H | 1:1xG 1.8–0.6 | D |
| 10.10 | ST MirrenScottish Premiership | H | 5:0xG 3.5–0.7 | W |
| 19.09 | KilmarnockScottish Premiership | A | 1:1xG 1.8–0.2 | D |
| 15.09 | FalkirkScottish Premiership | A | 1:2xG 1.7–2.0 | L |
| 11.09 | StenhousemuirEFL Cup | A | 3:0 | W |
| 06.09 | DundeeScottish Premiership | H | 2:1xG 1.9–0.5 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Copenhagen | 1 | 1-0-0 | 3–0 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 1-0-0 | 4–2 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Atalanta | 1 | 1-0-0 | 3–1 | 3 | W |
| 18 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0-1-0 | 1–1 | 1 | D |
| 19 | Hearts | 1 | 0-1-0 | 1–1 | 1 | D |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 0-1-0 | 1–1 | 1 | D |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
