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Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw 1:1: result and odds

Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw finished 1:1. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.63, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Cracovia
Legia Warsaw

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.63

AI models' pick · 9 of 15 for this bet, 6 for others

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

won+0.63 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.

likely score

1:113%odds 6.47 — this score came in

1:2 9%2:1 8%0:1 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 17.10 17:10

result12.74−0.01X3.33−0.0922.42+0.05
total 2.5O1.87+0.06U1.89−0.08
both to scoreyes1.67 — matches our bet+0.04no2.07−0.08
double chance1X1.52−0.03121.29+0.01X21.41
handicapH1 +11.21H2 −13.91+0.11

Over 5 days a draw shortened from 3.42 to 3.33 — money is coming in on the draw.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.63 → 1.67 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.63 to 1.67: the market now rates it as less likely.

Yes1.63 → 1.67our betNo2.15 → 2.07
1.601.802.002.2013 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 OctWe published · 1.63No 2.07Yes 1.67

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.672.07−0.01
1.67+0.012.08−0.02
We published both teams score at 1.63
1.66+0.012.10
1.652.10−0.01
1.65+0.022.11−0.04
1.63opened2.15opened
71 snapshots · the prices changed 5 times

How the match went

half-time 1:1

match report · 17.10 20:15

  1. 26'Legia WarsawMichal Sevcik (Paweł Wszołek)0:1
  2. 39'Legia WarsawPaweł Wszołek YC
  3. 40'CracoviaVincent Burlet YC
  4. 44'CracoviaLasse Selvåg Nordås (Gustav Henriksson)1:1
  5. 45'Legia Warsawon Arkadiusz Reca, off Paweł Wszołek
  6. 65'Legia Warsawon Bogdan V'Yunnik, off Michal Sevcik
  7. 74'Cracoviaon Mohamed Berte, off Mateusz Klich
  8. 82'Legia Warsawon Jan Kuchta, off Lukasz Zjawinski
  9. 82'Legia Warsawon Zoran Arsenić, off Robert Deziel
  10. 85'Cracoviaon Kahveh Zahiroleslam, off Martin Minchev
  11. 88'Legia Warsawon Damian Szymański, off Bartosz Kapustka
Match stats: Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw
CracoviastatLegia Warsaw
0.88expected goals (xG)0.66
14shots14
3on target2
52%possession48%
5corners3
21fouls14
1saves2
1yellow cards1
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Cracovia

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager B. Grzelak

starting XIfeed rating
  • 13S. Madejski6.5
  • 28V. Burlet6.3
  • 61B. Traoré6.7
  • 4G. Henriksson7.0
  • 25O. Kakabadze7.2
  • 6Amir Al Ammari7.1
  • 20K. Knap6.2
  • 17M. Minchev6.4
  • 43M. Klich6.3
  • 14A. Hasić6.6
  • 11L. Nordås7.7
substitutes
  • 39M. Perković
  • 79D. Piła
  • 5B. Selan
  • 18Kahveh Zahiroleslamon 85'6.6
  • 90M. Berteon 74'6.5
  • 22D. Baumgartner
  • 91A. Bobek
  • 77J. Chrapusta
  • 29W. Dej
  • 27S. Eyob-Abraha
  • 15K. Glik
  • 70D. Kameri
Legia Warsaw

formation 3-4-3 · manager M. Papszun

starting XIfeed rating
  • 89O. Hindrich6.6
  • 5Robert Deziel7.0
  • 8R. Augustyniak7.0
  • 91K. Piątkowski7.3
  • 11K. Chodyna6.9
  • 67B. Kapustka6.4
  • 53W. Urbański6.7
  • 22P. Wszołek6.8
  • 9R. Adamski6.5
  • 79Ł. Zjawiński6.2
  • 23M. Ševčík — highest feed rating in the match7.8
substitutes
  • 6Henrique Arreiol
  • 24Z. Arsenićon 82'6.3
  • 1I. Brkić
  • 14A. Čolak
  • 2S. Fukuda
  • 7J. Kuchtaon 82'6.5
  • 13A. Recaon 45'6.0
  • 17M. Szczepaniak
  • 4D. Szymańskion 88'6.4
  • 27Bogdan V'Yunnik
  • 62Franciszek Stępniewski

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 3 more bet on a Legia Warsaw win — the bet lost. The other 3 chose other bets: double chance and a total-goals bet.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:34 UTC

Legia Warsaw have 22 points from ten rounds and sit second after three straight wins, and on the road they score 1.8 and concede one per game — there were goals at both ends in four of their five away matches. Cracovia play open football at home: 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, not one clean sheet, and both teams have scored in 60% of those fixtures. The previous meetings in Kraków point the same way: 2-1 in August 2025 and 3-1 in May of the same year, while a year earlier the game in the capital finished 3-2. Our pick is both teams to score at 1.63.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt sits with the hosts' attack. Cracovia have four matches this season without scoring, and at home they have drawn a blank in 40% of their games, so a flat evening up front takes away the whole reason for the bet. Legia can also shut the door: they have already kept a clean sheet away from home, and in March they edged this same opponent 1-0.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Cracovia
Recent matches: Cracovia
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10Zagłębie LubinH3:1xG 2.9–1.1W
03.10Niecieczaclub friendlyH2:3L
19.09GKS KatowiceA2:3L
13.09Wisła PłockA1:3xG 1.1–1.5L
06.09Górnik ZabrzeH0:1L
02.09Znicz PruszkówPolish CupA1:1pensL
Legia Warsaw
Recent matches: Legia Warsaw
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11.10Wisła KrakówH2:0xG 1.3–0.8W
03.10Korona Kielceclub friendlyH5:1W
26.09Zaglebie Sosnowiecclub friendlyA4:2W
20.09Jagiellonia BiałystokA3:1xG 1.8–2.3W
13.09Widzew ŁódźH1:1xG 1.5–1.6D
05.09Motor LublinA3:2xG 2.3–1.5W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstCracoviaLegia WarsawEkstraklasa
goals1.2 / 1.52.1 / 0.81.5
matches over 2.560%40%
both scored60%70%
clean sheets20%30%
failed to score40%0%
home / away
goals1.6 / 1.41.8 / 1
average total32.8
matches over 2.560%40%
both scored60%80%

Head to head

last 10

5–1–4Cracovia wins · draws · Legia Warsaw wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia1:008.03.26
Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw2:131.08.25
Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw3:118.05.25
Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia3:223.11.24
Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw2:020.12.23
Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia2:017.12.23
Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia2:212.02.23
Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw3:029.07.22
Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia3:021.05.22
Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw1:005.12.21

League table

League standings: Ekstraklasa
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
2Lech Poznań97-1-121–822WWLWW
3Legia Warsaw106-4-021–822DWDWW
4Pogoń Szczecin95-3-114–618DDWWW
10Jagiellonia Białystok94-0-513–1612LWLLL
11Cracovia103-2-512–1511LLLLW
12Wisła Płock93-2-49–1511LDWWL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Cracovia
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3002
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6044
  • 61-7543
  • 76-90+43
Legia Warsaw
  • 0-1541
  • 16-3061
  • 31-4522
  • 46-6010
  • 61-7533
  • 76-9051

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Ekstraklasa results
0:1GKS Katowice–Pogoń SzczecinOur pick:1prediction lost6 of 15 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 1.96X 3.602 3.403:2Motor Lublin–Śląsk WrocławOur pick:1prediction won8 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.83X 3.632 3.8610:15Górnik Zabrze–Piast GliwiceOur pick:11.6011 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.59X 3.962 4.98