FINISHED
Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw 1:1: result and odds
Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw finished 1:1. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.63, and it won.
- Referee: Piotr Lasyk
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 11 of 34
- +9°, clear
- Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.63AI models' pick · 9 of 15 for this bet, 6 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
likely score
1:2 9%2:1 8%0:1 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 5 days a draw shortened from 3.42 to 3.33 — money is coming in on the draw.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.63 → 1.67 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.63 to 1.67: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 2.07−0.01 | |
| 1.67+0.01 | 2.08−0.02 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.63 | ||
| 1.66+0.01 | 2.10 | |
| 1.65 | 2.10−0.01 | |
| 1.65+0.02 | 2.11−0.04 | |
| 1.63opened | 2.15opened | |
How the match went
- 26'
Michal Sevcik (Paweł Wszołek)0:1 - 39'
Paweł Wszołek YC - 40'
Vincent Burlet YC - 44'
Lasse Selvåg Nordås (Gustav Henriksson)1:1 - 45'
on Arkadiusz Reca, off Paweł Wszołek - 65'
on Bogdan V'Yunnik, off Michal Sevcik - 74'
on Mohamed Berte, off Mateusz Klich - 82'
on Jan Kuchta, off Lukasz Zjawinski - 82'
on Zoran Arsenić, off Robert Deziel - 85'
on Kahveh Zahiroleslam, off Martin Minchev - 88'
on Damian Szymański, off Bartosz Kapustka
| Cracovia | stat | Legia Warsaw |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | expected goals (xG) | 0.66 |
| 14 | shots | 14 |
| 3 | on target | 2 |
| 52% | possession | 48% |
| 5 | corners | 3 |
| 21 | fouls | 14 |
| 1 | saves | 2 |
| 1 | yellow cards | 1 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
- 13S. Madejski6.5
- 28V. Burlet6.3
- 61B. Traoré6.7
- 4G. Henriksson7.0
- 25O. Kakabadze7.2
- 6Amir Al Ammari7.1
- 20K. Knap6.2
- 17M. Minchev6.4
- 43M. Klich6.3
- 14A. Hasić6.6
- 11L. Nordås7.7
- 39M. Perković
- 79D. Piła
- 5B. Selan
- 18Kahveh Zahiroleslamon 85'6.6
- 90M. Berteon 74'6.5
- 22D. Baumgartner
- 91A. Bobek
- 77J. Chrapusta
- 29W. Dej
- 27S. Eyob-Abraha
- 15K. Glik
- 70D. Kameri
- 89O. Hindrich6.6
- 5Robert Deziel7.0
- 8R. Augustyniak7.0
- 91K. Piątkowski7.3
- 11K. Chodyna6.9
- 67B. Kapustka6.4
- 53W. Urbański6.7
- 22P. Wszołek6.8
- 9R. Adamski6.5
- 79Ł. Zjawiński6.2
- 23M. Ševčík — highest feed rating in the match7.8
- 6Henrique Arreiol
- 24Z. Arsenićon 82'6.3
- 1I. Brkić
- 14A. Čolak
- 2S. Fukuda
- 7J. Kuchtaon 82'6.5
- 13A. Recaon 45'6.0
- 17M. Szczepaniak
- 4D. Szymańskion 88'6.4
- 27Bogdan V'Yunnik
- 62Franciszek Stępniewski
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 3 more bet on a Legia Warsaw win — the bet lost. The other 3 chose other bets: double chance and a total-goals bet.
- 9 of 15BTTSour betodds 1.63ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMowon - 3 of 152odds 2.40
GrokKimiNemotron Superlost - 2 of 15X2odds 1.41
Sonar
Dots3-Notewon - 1 of 15O 2.5odds 1.81
Geminilost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:34 UTC
Legia Warsaw have 22 points from ten rounds and sit second after three straight wins, and on the road they score 1.8 and concede one per game — there were goals at both ends in four of their five away matches. Cracovia play open football at home: 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, not one clean sheet, and both teams have scored in 60% of those fixtures. The previous meetings in Kraków point the same way: 2-1 in August 2025 and 3-1 in May of the same year, while a year earlier the game in the capital finished 3-2. Our pick is both teams to score at 1.63.
Where we could be wrong
The doubt sits with the hosts' attack. Cracovia have four matches this season without scoring, and at home they have drawn a blank in 40% of their games, so a flat evening up front takes away the whole reason for the bet. Legia can also shut the door: they have already kept a clean sheet away from home, and in March they edged this same opponent 1-0.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Zagłębie Lubin | H | 3:1xG 2.9–1.1 | W |
| 03.10 | Niecieczaclub friendly | H | 2:3 | L |
| 19.09 | GKS Katowice | A | 2:3 | L |
| 13.09 | Wisła Płock | A | 1:3xG 1.1–1.5 | L |
| 06.09 | Górnik Zabrze | H | 0:1 | L |
| 02.09 | Znicz PruszkówPolish Cup | A | 1:1pens | L |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Wisła Kraków | H | 2:0xG 1.3–0.8 | W |
| 03.10 | Korona Kielceclub friendly | H | 5:1 | W |
| 26.09 | Zaglebie Sosnowiecclub friendly | A | 4:2 | W |
| 20.09 | Jagiellonia Białystok | A | 3:1xG 1.8–2.3 | W |
| 13.09 | Widzew Łódź | H | 1:1xG 1.5–1.6 | D |
| 05.09 | Motor Lublin | A | 3:2xG 2.3–1.5 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Ekstraklasa | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 0.8 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | |
| both scored | 60% | 70% | |
| clean sheets | 20% | 30% | |
| failed to score | 40% | 0% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1 | |
| average total | 3 | 2.8 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | |
| both scored | 60% | 80% | |
- Cracovia score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
- Legia Warsaw score more than the league average: 2.1 vs 1.5
- Legia Warsaw unbeaten in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Cracovia, away games only for Legia Warsaw
Head to head
5–1–4Cracovia wins · draws · Legia Warsaw wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia | 1:0 | 08.03.26 | |
| Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw | 2:1 | 31.08.25 | |
| Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw | 3:1 | 18.05.25 | |
| Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia | 3:2 | 23.11.24 | |
| Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw | 2:0 | 20.12.23 | |
| Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia | 2:0 | 17.12.23 | |
| Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia | 2:2 | 12.02.23 | |
| Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw | 3:0 | 29.07.22 | |
| Legia Warsaw vs Cracovia | 3:0 | 21.05.22 | |
| Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw | 1:0 | 05.12.21 |
- both scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 9 | 7-1-1 | 21–8 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Legia Warsaw | 10 | 6-4-0 | 21–8 | 22 | DWDWW |
| 4 | Pogoń Szczecin | 9 | 5-3-1 | 14–6 | 18 | DDWWW |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 4-0-5 | 13–16 | 12 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12–15 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3-2-4 | 9–15 | 11 | LDWWL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1501
- 16-3002
- 31-4511
- 46-6044
- 61-7543
- 76-90+43
- 0-1541
- 16-3061
- 31-4522
- 46-6010
- 61-7533
- 76-9051
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals