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Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin 3:1: result and odds

Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin finished 3:1. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.75, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Cracovia
Zagłębie Lubin

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.75

AI models' pick · Two directions drew level; the one priced closer to the line was taken

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

won+0.75 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.

likely score

1:113%

2:1 9%1:2 8%0:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 10.10 12:11

result11.88+0.02X3.43+0.1223.87+0.12
total 2.5O1.88−0.01U1.90+0.10
both to scoreyes1.74 — matches our bet−0.01no2.00+0.03
double chance1X1.23+0.01121.27+0.02X21.87+0.01
handicapH1 −0.51.89−0.02H2 +0.51.91−0.02

Over 5 days a draw drifted from 3.31 to 3.43 — fewer bets on the draw.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.75 → 1.74 since we publishedView

This market has barely moved: Yes 1.75 → 1.74, No 1.97 → 2.00.

Yes1.75 → 1.74our betNo1.97 → 2.00
1.701.801.902.005 Oct10 OctWe published · 1.75No 2.00Yes 1.74

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.74−0.012.00+0.01
1.751.99+0.02
We published both teams score at 1.75
1.75opened1.97opened
3 snapshots · the prices changed 2 times

How the match went

half-time 0:1

match report · 10.10 16:00

Zagłębie Lubin went ahead through Aleks Lawniczak on 27 minutes and led 1-0 at the break. Cracovia levelled early in the second half after a VAR check confirmed a penalty on Gustav Henriksson, which Ajdin Hasić converted on 54 minutes for 1-1. The score held until deep into stoppage time, when a second VAR check gave Cracovia another penalty and Hasić scored it on 90+8 to make it 2-1. Mohamed Berte, assisted by Vincent Burlet, completed the win on 90+18, finishing it 3-1. Our both-teams-to-score bet went off at 1.75 and landed. Cracovia's xG of 3.01 dwarfed Zagłębie Lubin's 1.13 even though both sides had 16 shots and six on target; Cracovia held 59% of possession to 41%. Before kick-off Cracovia were rated favourites to win, the draw and an away win both offered higher, and the over 2.5 goals market paid out as four goals went in.

  1. 27'Zagłębie LubinAleks Lawniczak0:1
  2. 29'CracoviaAmir Al-Ammari YC
  3. 49'Cracoviapenalty confirmed (VAR) · Gustav Henriksson
  4. 53'Zagłębie LubinZlatan Alomerović YC
  5. 54'CracoviaAjdin Hasić penalty1:1
  6. 64'Zagłębie Lubinon Josip Ćorluka, off Mateusz Grzybek
  7. 68'Zagłębie LubinJosip Ćorluka YC
  8. 70'Zagłębie LubinDavid Čolina YC
  9. 71'Cracoviasayfallah ltaief YC
  10. 73'Zagłębie Lubinon Damian Michalski, off David Čolina
  11. 73'Zagłębie Lubinon Szymon Lyczko, off Filip Szymczak
  12. 73'Zagłębie Lubinon Sebastian Kerk, off Jakub·Sypek
  13. 74'Cracoviaon Martin Minchev, off sayfallah ltaief
  14. 80'Cracoviaon Mohamed Berte, off Mateusz Klich
  15. 90+3'Cracoviapenalty confirmed (VAR) · Ajdin Hasić
  16. 90+8'CracoviaAjdin Hasić penalty2:1
  17. 90+9'Zagłębie Lubinon Mihael Mlinarić, off Filip Kocaba
  18. 90+10'Cracoviaon Kamil Glik, off Ajdin Hasić
  19. 90+11'Zagłębie LubinLeszek Ojrzynski YC
  20. 90+18'CracoviaMohamed Berte (Vincent Burlet)3:1
Match stats: Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin
CracoviastatZagłębie Lubin
3.01expected goals (xG)1.13
16shots16
6on target6
59%possession41%
5corners1
14fouls14
5saves3
2yellow cards3
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Cracovia

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager B. Grzelak

starting XIfeed rating
  • 13S. Madejski — highest feed rating in the match8.0
  • 28V. Burlet6.8
  • 61B. Traoré6.9
  • 4G. Henriksson6.8
  • 25O. Kakabadze6.7
  • 6Amir Al Ammari6.3
  • 20K. Knap6.0
  • 47S. Ltaief6.1
  • 43M. Klich6.2
  • 14A. Hasić7.5
  • 11L. Nordås6.4
substitutes
  • 91A. Bobek
  • 90M. Berteon 80'6.7
  • 77J. Chrapusta
  • 29W. Dej
  • 15K. Glikon 90+10'0.0
  • 70D. Kameri
  • 39M. Perković
  • 79D. Piła
  • 5B. Selan
  • 17M. Minchevon 74'6.4
  • 18Kahveh Zahiroleslam
  • 22D. Baumgartner
Zagłębie Lubin

formation 5-4-1 · manager L. Ojrzynski

starting XIfeed rating
  • 33Z. Alomerović6.3
  • 6D. Čolina6.2
  • 3R. Yakuba6.8
  • 25M. Nalepa7.1
  • 5A. Ławniczak7.0
  • 13M. Grzybek6.5
  • 7J. Sypek6.3
  • 8D. Dąbrowski6.5
  • 39F. Kocaba5.7
  • 44M. Reguła6.4
  • 18F. Szymczak6.2
substitutes
  • 30D. Hładun
  • 26J. Kolan
  • 37S. Kerkon 73'6.4
  • 21Seweryn Marek
  • 4D. Michalskion 73'6.0
  • 88M. Mlinarićon 90+9'0.0
  • 31I. Orlikowski
  • 11A. Woźniak
  • 16J. Ćorlukaon 64'6.1
  • 19S. Łyczkoon 73'6.6
  • 27Patryk Dziekoński

The vote split evenly: 6 each on both teams to score (won) and on Zagłębie Lubin not losing (lost). The other 4 chose other bets: a total-goals bet, double chance and a Cracovia win.

  • 6 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.75QwenDeepSeek FlashMistralXiaomi MiMoDots3-NoteNemotron Ultrawon
  • 6 of 16X2odds 1.86ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiKimiGLMlost
  • 2 of 16U 2.5odds 1.80GrokMiniMaxlost
  • 1 of 161Xodds 1.22Sonarwon
  • 1 of 161odds 1.86Nemotron Superwon

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:22 UTC

The odds put both teams to score a shade above an even chance, at 53%, and Cracovia's home games back that up: no clean sheet in four matches in front of their own fans, 1.5 goals conceded per game on average. Zagłębie Lubin are rarely tight on the road either, with both teams scoring in three of their four away games. Cracovia sit 13th on eight points after nine rounds, with one win and four defeats in their last five, seven scored and 11 conceded, so the hosts have little to suggest they can keep a clean sheet here.

Where we could be wrong

But what if the previous meetings matter more than current form? The last five games between these sides all finished under 2.5 goals, including two goalless draws, in May 2026 and in November 2025. After a run like that Cracovia are capable of dropping deep and playing on the counter, and Zagłębie have already kept a clean sheet in a quarter of their away matches. Even so, we're backing both teams to score at 1.75.

  • Two directions drew the same number of AI models: the bet was taken from the one priced closer to the line.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Cracovia
Recent matches: Cracovia
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03.10Niecieczaclub friendlyH2:3L
19.09GKS KatowiceA2:3L
13.09Wisła PłockA1:3L
06.09Górnik ZabrzeH0:1L
02.09Znicz PruszkówPolish CupA1:1D
Zagłębie Lubin
Recent matches: Zagłębie Lubin
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03.10Miedź Legnicaclub friendlyH1:0W
20.09Wisła PłockH0:2L
15.09Raków CzęstochowaA3:2W
12.09GKS KatowiceH2:1W
07.09Wieczysta KrakówA1:1D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstCracoviaZagłębie LubinEkstraklasa
goals1.2 / 1.51.2 / 1.31.5
matches over 2.560%50%
both scored60%60%
clean sheets20%30%
failed to score40%30%
home / away
goals1.6 / 1.41.2 / 1.8
average total33
matches over 2.560%60%
both scored60%80%

Head to head

last 10

5–4–1Cracovia wins · draws · Zagłębie Lubin wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Zagłębie Lubin vs Cracovia0:003.05.26
Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin0:003.11.25
Zagłębie Lubin vs Cracovia1:224.05.25
Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin1:129.11.24
Zagłębie Lubin vs Cracovia1:118.02.24
Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin1:002.11.23Polish Cup
Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin2:111.08.23
Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin0:113.05.23
Zagłębie Lubin vs Cracovia0:230.10.22
Cracovia vs Zagłębie Lubin1:018.04.22

Other matches this round

All Ekstraklasa results
1:4Śląsk Wrocław–Lech PoznańOur pick:BTTSprediction won10 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 4.80X 4.242 1.571:3Jagiellonia Białystok–Górnik ZabrzeOur pick:2prediction won8 of 15 on this bet · 4 more in the same direction1 2.56X 3.332 2.561:4Raków Częstochowa–GKS KatowiceOur pick:BTTSprediction won8 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.99X 3.742 3.19