FINISHED
GKS Katowice vs Pogoń Szczecin 0:1: result and odds
GKS Katowice vs Pogoń Szczecin finished 0:1. The AI models' pick was GKS Katowice to win at 1.97, and it lost.
- Referee: Szymon Marciniak
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 11 of 34
- +17°, clear
- Arena Katowice, Katowice
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: GKS Katowice to win
1.97AI models' pick · 6 of 15 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
likely score
2:1 9%2:0 7%1:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 4 days a GKS Katowice win shortened from 2.16 to 1.96 — money is coming in on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — GKS Katowice: 1.97 → 1.96 since we publishedView
The biggest move is a Pogoń Szczecin win: from 2.98 to 3.40.
Price changes
| When | GKS Katowice · our bet | Draw | Pogoń Szczecin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.96−0.01 | 3.60−0.05 | 3.40+0.05 | |
| 1.97 | 3.65−0.02 | 3.35+0.01 | |
| 1.97+0.01 | 3.67+0.02 | 3.34−0.04 | |
| 1.96 | 3.65−0.01 | 3.38 | |
| 1.96 | 3.66+0.02 | 3.38+0.01 | |
| 1.96−0.01 | 3.64−0.02 | 3.37+0.04 | |
| We published a GKS Katowice win at 1.97 | |||
| 1.97+0.01 | 3.66 | 3.33 | |
| 1.96 | 3.66−0.04 | 3.33 | |
| 1.96+0.02 | 3.70−0.05 | 3.33 | |
| 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.33+0.01 | |
| 1.94−0.02 | 3.75 | 3.32+0.02 | |
| 1.96−0.01 | 3.75−0.05 | 3.30 | |
| 1.97−0.19 | 3.80+0.15 | 3.30+0.32 | |
| 2.16opened | 3.65opened | 2.98opened | |
How the match went
- 51'Jordi Sánchez (Attila Szalai)0:1
- 65'Lukas Klemenz YC
- 68'on Bartosz Wolski, off Mateusz·Kowalczyk
- 72'on Kamil Grosicki, off Darko Churlinov
- 73'on Erik Jirka, off Marcin Wasielewski
- 73'on Mateusz Wdowiak, off Marcel Wedrychowski
- 82'on Lukas Willen, off Maciej Wojciechowski
- 82'on Kellyn Acosta, off Jan Bieganski
- 83'on Isaiah·Eichie, off Alessandro Riccio
- 84'on Adam Zreľák, off Alan Czerwiński
- 87'on Natan Lawa, off Jordi Sánchez
| GKS Katowice | stat | Pogoń Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | expected goals (xG) | 2.10 |
| 19 | shots | 14 |
| 4 | on target | 5 |
| 64% | possession | 36% |
| 6 | corners | 3 |
| 9 | fouls | 10 |
| 4 | saves | 4 |
| 1 | yellow cards | 0 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
GKS Katowice- 87G. Kobylak7.1
- 55Pau Resta7.5
- 6L. Klemenz6.5
- 30A. Czerwiński7.0
- 8Borja Galán6.6
- 19K. Łukasiak7.1
- 77M. Kowalczyk6.4
- 23M. Wasielewski6.3
- 27B. Nowak6.4
- 17I. Shkurin6.0
- 10M. Wędrychowski6.7
- 31S. Bartlewicz
- 4A. Jędrych
- 97E. Jirkaon 73'6.3
- 1M. Kikolski
- 22S. Milewski
- 14M. Olsen
- 7M. Wdowiakon 73'6.1
- 68B. Wolskion 68'6.6
- 99A. Zreľákon 84'6.2
- 26D. Rasak
Pogoń Szczecin- 77V. Cojocaru7.2
- 23B. Mendy7.0
- 41A. Szalai7.7
- 13D. Keramitsis7.6
- 4A. Riccio7.4
- 18P. Mukairu6.7
- 6J. Biegański7.2
- 16P. Dziczek6.7
- 21D. Churlinov6.8
- 35M. Wojciechowski6.4
- 22Jordi Sánchez — highest feed rating in the match8.0
- 29L. Willenon 82'7.1
- 75A. Ossowski
- 17J. Nsame
- 9R. Molnár
- 10F. Čuić
- 47N. Lawaon 87'7.0
- 11K. Grosickion 72'6.9
- 98M. Dabrowski
- 31Nikolaos Nestoras Botis
- 30J. Czaplinski
- 20Isaiah·Eichie
- 3K. Acostaon 82'6.8
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a GKS Katowice win — the bet lost. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: GKS Katowice not losing. 7 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet lost.
- 6 of 151our betodds 1.97DeepSeek
GeminiDeepSeek Flash
GLMXiaomi MiMoNemotron Superlost - 2 of 151Xsame directionodds 1.37MiniMax
Sonarlost - 7 of 15O 2.5odds 1.62ChatGPTClaude
GrokKimiQwenMistral
Dots3-Notelost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:03 UTC
GKS Katowice have not slipped up at home yet: four matches, four wins, with an average of 3.3 goals scored and one conceded. The hosts arrive on three straight wins, and the market has shifted their way over three days, from 2.16 to 1.97, while the away win has drifted from 2.98 to 3.33. The previous meetings also favour Katowice: two wins, a draw and one defeat in the last four games, including a 2-0 home win in November 2025 and 3-1 in September 2024.
Where we could be wrong
Pogoń Szczecin sit fourth on 18 points with a game in hand, and their three away trips have been close to flawless: 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average, with four clean sheets this season. The visitors know how to strangle a game, and in April 2025 they beat Katowice 4-0, so the hosts do not have a big enough edge to feel safe. Even so, our pick is GKS Katowice to win at 1.97.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
GKS Katowice| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10 | Wieczysta Kraków | H | 2:1xG 0.9–2.6 | W |
| 09.10 | Raków Częstochowa | A | 4:1xG 2.6–1.2 | W |
| 03.10 | Baník Ostravaclub friendly | H | 1:1 | D |
| 19.09 | Cracovia | H | 3:2 | W |
| 12.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | A | 1:2 | L |
| 04.09 | Piast Gliwice | A | 0:3xG 1.6–0.9 | L |
Pogoń Szczecin| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Korona Kielce | H | 2:0xG 0.9–0.8 | W |
| 26.09 | Udineseclub friendly | H | 1:1 | D |
| 20.09 | Piast Gliwice | A | 2:1xG 1.4–0.9 | W |
| 13.09 | Wieczysta Kraków | H | 2:0xG 1.9–1.2 | W |
| 07.09 | Wisła Płock | H | 1:1 | D |
| 03.09 | Śląsk WrocławPolish Cup | A | 1:2 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 90% | 33% | |
| both scored | 70% | 44% | |
| clean sheets | 10% | 44% | |
| failed to score | 20% | 22% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 3.3 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.3 | |
| average total | 4.3 | 1.7 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 33% | |
| both scored | 75% | 33% | |
- GKS Katowice score more than the league average: 2.2 vs 1.5
- GKS Katowice: 3 league wins in a row
- Pogoń Szczecin: 3 league wins in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for GKS Katowice, away games only for Pogoń Szczecin
Head to head
2–1–1GKS Katowice wins · draws · Pogoń Szczecin wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Szczecin vs GKS Katowice | 1:1 | 23.05.26 | |
| GKS Katowice vs Pogoń Szczecin | 2:0 | 29.11.25 | |
| Pogoń Szczecin vs GKS Katowice | 4:0 | 06.04.25 | |
| GKS Katowice vs Pogoń Szczecin | 3:1 | 27.09.24 |
- both scored in 2 of the last 4 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 2 of 4
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Legia Warsaw | 10 | 6-4-0 | 21–8 | 22 | DWDWW |
| 4 | Pogoń Szczecin | 9 | 5-3-1 | 14–6 | 18 | DDWWW |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6-0-4 | 22–15 | 18 | LLWWW |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5-2-3 | 17–14 | 17 | WDWWL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1521
- 16-3010
- 31-4524
- 46-6034
- 61-7543
- 76-90+94
- 0-1510
- 16-3040
- 31-4512
- 46-6051
- 61-7500
- 76-9042
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
