FINISHED
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków 2:1: result and odds
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków finished 2:1. The AI models' pick was over 2.5 goals at 1.47, and it won.
- Referee: Marcin Kochanek
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 3 of 34
- +10°, clear
- Arena Katowice, Katowice
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals
1.47AI models' pick · 8 of 16 on this bet · 3 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
likely score
1:1 8%3:1 8%2:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 1 day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementdraw 3.72 → 3.75 over 1 day · 3 snapshotsView
This market has barely moved: GKS Katowice 2.02 → 2.03, Draw 3.72 → 3.75, Wieczysta Kraków 3.11 → 3.09.
Price changes
| When | GKS Katowice | Draw | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.03+0.01 | 3.75+0.03 | 3.09−0.02 | |
| 2.02opened | 3.72opened | 3.11opened |
How the match went
- 15'Ilia Shkurin (Bartosz Nowak)1:0
- 45'on Efthymios Koulouris, off José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido
- 45'on Bartosz Wolski, off Mateusz·Kowalczyk
- 62'on Matúš Vojtko, off Kamil Pestka
- 62'on Bartosz Bialek, off Tobias Christensen
- 62'Bartosz Bialek (Duje Dujmovic)1:1
- 63'on Borja Galan, off Mateusz Wdowiak
- 63'on Szymon bartlewicz, off Marcel Wedrychowski
- 68'on Ben Lederman, off Lisandro Semedo
- 74'Bartosz Nowak (Borja Galan)2:1
- 79'on Arkadiusz Jedrych, off Alan Czerwiński
- 82'on Nikola·Knezevic, off Antonio Milic
- 85'on Sebastian Milewski, off Kacper Lukasiak
| GKS Katowice | stat | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| 0.90 | expected goals (xG) | 2.57 |
| 10 | shots | 18 |
| 2 | on target | 4 |
| 44% | possession | 56% |
| 1 | corners | 8 |
| 11 | fouls | 9 |
| 3 | saves | 0 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
GKS Katowice- 87G. Kobylak6.1
- 55Pau Resta6.8
- 6L. Klemenz7.4
- 30A. Czerwiński6.3
- 7M. Wdowiak6.3
- 77M. Kowalczyk6.2
- 19K. Łukasiak6.7
- 23M. Wasielewski6.0
- 27B. Nowak — highest feed rating in the match8.2
- 17I. Shkurin7.5
- 10M. Wędrychowski6.4
- 99A. Zreľák
- 31S. Bartlewiczon 63'6.5
- 8Borja Galánon 63'6.6
- 4A. Jędrychon 79'6.5
- 97E. Jirka
- 1M. Kikolski
- 21Jakub Kokosinski
- 15E. Marković
- 22S. Milewskion 85'6.4
- 14M. Olsen
- 68B. Wolskion 45'6.5
Wieczysta Kraków- 77M. Kochalski5.7
- 55D. Dujmović7.1
- 16A. Milić6.4
- 15A. Đermanović6.7
- 33K. Pestka6.1
- 20M. Maigaard6.1
- 10T. Christensen6.5
- 4K. Fila6.3
- 12Lucas Piazón6.5
- 19José de la Rosa5.9
- 7Lisandro Semedo6.6
- 17K. Dankowski
- 11N. Kneževićon 82'5.8
- 9E. Koulourison 45'6.4
- 8B. Ledermanon 68'6.2
- 88C. Lungoyi
- 1A. Mikułko
- 97T. Mras
- 70P. Pušić
- 27M. Vojtkoon 62'6.3
- 13K. Zagrodzki
- 21B. Białekon 62'8.0
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet won. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: over 3 goals and over 3.5 goals. 2 more each on both teams to score (won) and on a GKS Katowice win (won). One more bet on GKS Katowice not losing.
- 8 of 16O 2.5our betodds 1.47DeepSeek
GrokQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistralNemotron Ultrawon - 2 of 16BTTSodds 1.43Claude
Dots3-Notewon - 2 of 16O 3same directionodds 1.73ChatGPTKimivoid
- 2 of 161odds 2.02
GeminiNemotron Superwon - 1 of 161Xodds 1.33
Sonarwon - 1 of 16O 3.5same directionodds 2.18Xiaomi MiMolost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 11.10 at 10:09 UTC
GKS Katowice have won all three of their home games this season, scoring 3.7 goals a game and conceding just one on average. Those matches produced 4.7 goals apiece, and every one of them went over 2.5. Wieczysta Kraków have not kept a clean sheet in six away games and concede 2.3 per match, so their goal is breached regularly. The prices put over 2.5 goals at around 63%, and the Ekstraklasa table supports that reading: fifth place and 15 points against fourteenth and 8 after nine rounds.
Where we could be wrong
On the road Wieczysta manage only 1.5 goals a game and have twice failed to score this season, but the warning sign lies elsewhere: their last five games brought six goals scored and seven conceded, a side playing a cagey, grinding game that twice settled for a draw. Katowice, for their part, kept their opponents out in one of those three home matches, and their xG (1.89 against 1.52) looks more modest than the goals actually scored. Even so, our pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.47.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
GKS Katowice| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10 | Raków Częstochowa | A | 4:1xG 2.6–1.2 | W |
| 03.10 | Baník Ostravaclub friendly | H | 1:1 | D |
| 19.09 | Cracovia | H | 3:2 | W |
| 12.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | A | 1:2 | L |
| 04.09 | Piast Gliwice | A | 0:3xG 1.6–0.9 | L |
| 30.08 | Górnik Zabrze | A | 3:2xG 1.6–2.5 | W |
Wieczysta Kraków| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10 | Wisła Płock | H | 3:0xG 1.9–0.6 | W |
| 02.10 | Puszcza Niepołomiceclub friendly | H | 4:3 | W |
| 18.09 | Widzew Łódź | A | 2:2xG 2.3–1.1 | D |
| 13.09 | Pogoń Szczecin | A | 0:2xG 1.2–1.9 | L |
| 07.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | H | 1:1 | D |
| 03.09 | Avia ŚwidnikPolish Cup | A | 1:3 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.9 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 89% | 67% | |
| both scored | 67% | 67% | |
| clean sheets | 11% | 11% | |
| failed to score | 22% | 22% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 3.7 / 1 | 1.5 / 2.3 | |
| average total | 4.7 | 3.8 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 67% | |
| both scored | 67% | 67% | |
- GKS Katowice score more than the league average: 2.2 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for GKS Katowice, away games only for Wieczysta Kraków
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wisła Kraków | 9 | 5-2-2 | 17–12 | 17 | WWDWD |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20–14 | 15 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Pogoń Szczecin | 8 | 4-3-1 | 12–6 | 15 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 9 | 1-6-2 | 13–13 | 9 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Wieczysta Kraków | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14–17 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7–20 | 8 | LLDWD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1511
- 16-3010
- 31-4524
- 46-6034
- 61-7532
- 76-90+94
- 0-1510
- 16-3020
- 31-4524
- 46-6023
- 61-7551
- 76-90+38
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
