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Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice: AI prediction and betting pick
On 18 October, Górnik Zabrze host Piast Gliwice. The AI models' pick is Górnik Zabrze to win at 1.60: 11 of 15 models chose it.
- Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 11 of 34
- +13°, clear
- Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
published UTC
AI models' pick: Górnik Zabrze to win
1.60AI models' pick · 11 of 15 for this bet, 4 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
2:1 10%2:0 9%1:0 9%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 5 days a Górnik Zabrze win shortened from 1.65 to 1.59 — money is coming in on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Górnik Zabrze: 1.60 → 1.59 since we publishedView
The biggest move is a Górnik Zabrze win: from 1.65 to 1.59.
Price changes
| When | Górnik Zabrze · our bet | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 3.96+0.01 | 4.98+0.01 | |
| 1.59−0.01 | 3.95+0.03 | 4.97+0.07 | |
| We published a Górnik Zabrze win at 1.60 | |||
| 1.60 | 3.92+0.01 | 4.90+0.01 | |
| 1.60−0.02 | 3.91+0.03 | 4.89+0.06 | |
| 1.62−0.01 | 3.88+0.01 | 4.83+0.09 | |
| 1.63−0.01 | 3.87−0.03 | 4.74−0.02 | |
| 1.64−0.01 | 3.90+0.02 | 4.76+0.01 | |
| 1.65opened | 3.88opened | 4.75opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Górnik Zabrze win. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Górnik Zabrze −1. 3 more went for over 2.5 goals. One more went for both teams to score.
- 10 of 151our betodds 1.60ChatGPTDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokQwen
GLMMiniMax
SonarXiaomi MiMoNemotron Super - 1 of 15H1 (−1)same directionodds 2.13DeepSeek Flash
- 3 of 15O 2.5odds 1.73ClaudeKimiMistral
- 1 of 15BTTSodds 1.72
Dots3-Note
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:03 UTC
Górnik Zabrze go into this Ekstraklasa meeting top of the table on 25 points after 10 rounds. Four wins in their last five, eight goals scored and two conceded, and at home they are averaging two goals a game. Piast Gliwice have been a different side on the road: two blanks in four away matches and a goal a game on average. The xG picture this season is heavily one-sided too, 1.66 against 0.43. The previous meetings back the hosts as well, four wins in the last five, including 2-1 in January, and the price has drifted down from 1.65 to 1.60 in three days, with the market rating a Górnik win at 58%.
Where we could be wrong
What gives pause is the leaders' own home football. Both teams have scored in all four of their home games, and Górnik are shipping 1.5 goals a match there. Piast have found their attacking rhythm with 11 goals in five outings, they keep the ball well with 57.8% possession, and they won 2-0 against this opponent in May 2025. Even so, our pick is a home win at 1.60.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Górnik Zabrze| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | A | 3:1xG 2.1–0.6 | W |
| 02.10 | Odra Opoleclub friendly | H | 0:2 | L |
| 19.09 | Motor Lublin | A | 0:0xG 1.2–0.5 | D |
| 15.09 | Korona Kielce | A | 2:0xG 1.8–0.1 | W |
| 12.09 | Lech Poznań | H | 2:1xG 1.5–0.5 | W |
| 06.09 | Cracovia | A | 1:0 | W |
Piast Gliwice| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Widzew Łódź | H | 2:1xG 1.6–1.8 | W |
| 02.10 | Wisła Krakówclub friendly | H | 3:4 | L |
| 20.09 | Pogoń Szczecin | H | 1:2xG 0.9–1.4 | L |
| 14.09 | Radomiak Radom | A | 2:0 | W |
| 04.09 | GKS Katowice | H | 3:0xG 0.9–1.6 | W |
| 01.09 | Chemik BydgoszczPolish Cup | A | 3:0 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.9 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | |
| both scored | 70% | 50% | |
| clean sheets | 30% | 30% | |
| failed to score | 10% | 20% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.3 | |
| average total | 3.5 | 2.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 25% | |
| both scored | 100% | 0% | |
- Górnik Zabrze score more than the league average: 1.9 vs 1.5
- Piast Gliwice score more than the league average: 1.8 vs 1.5
- Górnik Zabrze: 4 wins in the last 5 league games
- Piast Gliwice: 4 wins in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Górnik Zabrze, away games only for Piast Gliwice
Head to head
4–4–2Górnik Zabrze wins · draws · Piast Gliwice wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice | 2:1 | 31.01.26 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze | 0:1 | 26.07.25 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze | 2:0 | 17.05.25 | |
| Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice | 1:0 | 24.11.24 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze | 1:3 | 10.02.24 | |
| Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice | 0:0 | 05.08.23 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze | 1:0 | 31.03.23 | |
| Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice | 3:3 | 10.09.22 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze | 0:0 | 26.02.22 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze | 0:0 | 09.02.22 | Polish Cup |
- both scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Górnik Zabrze | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19–9 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 9 | 7-1-1 | 21–8 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5-2-3 | 17–14 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5-1-4 | 18–16 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4-3-3 | 12–12 | 15 | DWLWL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1512
- 16-3020
- 31-4531
- 46-6031
- 61-7523
- 76-90+73
- 0-1512
- 16-3011
- 31-4541
- 46-6002
- 61-7528
- 76-90+93
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
