FINISHED
Legia Warsaw vs Wisła Kraków 2:0: result and odds
Legia Warsaw vs Wisła Kraków finished 2:0. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.51, and it lost.
- Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 10 of 34
- +11°, clear
- Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warsaw
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.51AI models' pick · 10 of 16 for this bet, 6 for others
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
likely score
2:1 10%2:0 8% — this score came in3:1 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 6 days a Legia Warsaw win drifted from 1.89 to 2.03 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.51 → 1.61 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.51 to 1.61: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61+0.01 | 2.20−0.02 | |
| 1.60+0.06 | 2.22−0.11 | |
| 1.54+0.03 | 2.33−0.06 | |
| 5 Oct – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 5 days | ||
| We published both teams score at 1.51 | ||
| 1.51opened | 2.39opened | |
How the match went
- 18'
Lukasz Zjawinski1:0 - 29'
Mateusz Szczepaniak YC - 45'
on Jakub Zewlakow, off Mateusz Szczepaniak - 51'
Kacper Duda YC - 57'
Alan Uryga YC - 61'
on Julian Lelieveld, off Frederico Duarte - 66'
Angel·Rodado YC - 68'
on Wojciech Urbanski, off Damian Szymański - 70'
Rafal Adamski (Jakub Zewlakow)2:0 - 74'
on Henrique Arreiol, off Bartosz Kapustka - 75'
on Rafal Mikulec, off James Igbekeme - 75'
on Víctor Meseguer, off Marko Bozic - 80'
Darijo Grujcic YC - 85'
on Oliwier Plawinski, off Julius Ertlthaler - 90'
on Michal Sevcik, off Jakub Zewlakow - 90+1'
on Arkadiusz Reca, off Paweł Wszołek
| Legia Warsaw | stat | Wisła Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | expected goals (xG) | 0.89 |
| 15 | shots | 15 |
| 8 | on target | 7 |
| 49% | possession | 51% |
| 5 | corners | 3 |
| 17 | fouls | 15 |
| 7 | saves | 6 |
| 1 | yellow cards | 4 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
- 89O. Hindrich — highest feed rating in the match9.2
- 5Robert Deziel7.7
- 8R. Augustyniak7.5
- 91K. Piątkowski7.4
- 11K. Chodyna6.8
- 67B. Kapustka6.7
- 4D. Szymański6.5
- 22P. Wszołek6.8
- 9R. Adamski7.8
- 79Ł. Zjawiński8.0
- 17M. Szczepaniak6.5
- 20J. Żewłakowon 45'7.0
- 6Henrique Arreiolon 74'7.1
- 24Z. Arsenić
- 1I. Brkić
- 14A. Čolak
- 2S. Fukuda
- 13A. Recaon 90+1'0.0
- 23M. Ševčíkon 90'0.0
- 53W. Urbańskion 68'6.9
- 62Franciszek Stępniewski
- 1M. Łubik7.1
- 52J. Krzyżanowski6.7
- 29D. Grujčić6.4
- 6A. Uryga6.4
- 34R. Giger6.3
- 17M. Božić6.5
- 12J. Igbekeme6.2
- 7J. Ertlthaler6.5
- 41K. Duda6.3
- 10Frederico Duarte6.2
- 9Ángel Rodado6.8
- 4R. Mikulecon 75'6.1
- 93B. Neugebauer
- 32Oliwier Plawinski
- 23Víctor Mesegueron 75'6.7
- 13M. Maisonneuve
- 2J. Lelieveldon 61'6.1
- 50M. Kutwa
- 8Marc Carbó
- 97W. Biedrzycki
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. 5 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet lost. One more bet on a Legia Warsaw win.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:22 UTC
All four of Wisła Kraków's away matches this season have featured goals at both ends. On the road they score 1.8 per game and concede 2.3, never keeping a clean sheet and never finishing without a goal of their own. Legia Warsaw rarely avoid an exchange at home either: both teams have scored in 75% of their home games, with an average of 3.3 goals. Form is similar on both sides, nine goals each in their last five matches, and Wisła sit fourth on 17 points to Legia's 19, so they are not travelling to Warsaw to sit back. The market rates both teams scoring at 61%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.51.
Where we could be wrong
The doubt is Legia's record in front of their own supporters' goal — just 0.8 conceded per game and a clean sheet in a quarter of their matches. The previous meetings have also produced a goalless draw already, 0-0 in May 2021.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.10 | Korona Kielceclub friendly | H | 5:1 | W |
| 26.09 | Zaglebie Sosnowiecclub friendly | A | 4:2 | W |
| 20.09 | Jagiellonia Białystok | A | 3:1 | W |
| 13.09 | Widzew Łódź | H | 1:1 | D |
| 05.09 | Motor Lublin | A | 3:2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10 | Piast Gliwiceclub friendly | A | 4:3 | W |
| 18.09 | Śląsk Wrocław | H | 2:1 | W |
| 11.09 | Jagiellonia Białystok | H | 2:0 | W |
| 05.09 | Korona Kielce | A | 1:1 | D |
| 01.09 | Odra OpolePolish Cup | A | 1:2 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Ekstraklasa | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2.1 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | |
| both scored | 70% | 70% | |
| clean sheets | 30% | 20% | |
| failed to score | 0% | 10% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2.4 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 2.2 | |
| average total | 3 | 3.6 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | |
| both scored | 60% | 80% | |
- Legia Warsaw score more than the league average: 2.1 vs 1.5
- Wisła Kraków score more than the league average: 1.7 vs 1.5
- Legia Warsaw unbeaten in the last 5 league games
- Wisła Kraków unbeaten in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Legia Warsaw, away games only for Wisła Kraków
Head to head
3–1–1Legia Warsaw wins · draws · Wisła Kraków wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw vs Wisła Kraków | 2:1 | 25.02.22 | |
| Wisła Kraków vs Legia Warsaw | 1:0 | 29.08.21 | |
| Legia Warsaw vs Wisła Kraków | 0:0 | 01.05.21 | |
| Wisła Kraków vs Legia Warsaw | 1:2 | 12.12.20 | |
| Wisła Kraków vs Legia Warsaw | 1:3 | 07.06.20 |
- both scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 5