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data updated 17.10 21:23

FINISHED

Motor Lublin vs Śląsk Wrocław 3:2: result and odds

Motor Lublin vs Śląsk Wrocław finished 3:2. The AI models' pick was Motor Lublin to win at 1.86, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Motor Lublin
Śląsk Wrocław

AI models' pick: Motor Lublin to win

1.86

AI models' pick · 8 of 15 for this bet, 7 for others

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

won+0.86 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:113%odds 7.36

2:1 9%1:0 8%2:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 17.10 12:21

result11.83 — matches our bet−0.22X3.63−0.0723.86+0.69
total 3O2.21+0.29U1.59−0.18
both to scoreyes1.67+0.16no2.07−0.30
double chance1X1.23−0.10121.26+0.01X21.89+0.18
handicapH1 −12.47−0.36H2 +11.48+0.15

Over 4 days a Motor Lublin win shortened from 2.05 to 1.83 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Motor Lublin: 1.86 → 1.83 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (a Motor Lublin win) has shortened from 1.86 to 1.83: the market now rates it as more likely.

Motor Lublin2.05 → 1.83our betDraw3.70 → 3.63Śląsk Wrocław3.17 → 3.86
2.002.503.003.504.0013 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 OctWe published · 1.86Śląsk Wrocław 3.86Draw 3.63Motor Lublin 1.83

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenMotor Lublin · our betDrawŚląsk Wrocław
1.833.63−0.033.86+0.03
1.833.66−0.043.83+0.05
1.833.70−0.063.78+0.06
1.833.76+0.013.72−0.01
1.833.75+0.023.73+0.04
1.83−0.033.73+0.033.69+0.06
We published a Motor Lublin win at 1.86
1.86−0.063.70+0.023.63+0.16
1.923.683.47+0.01
1.923.68+0.013.46
1.92+0.013.67−0.013.46−0.01
1.91−0.023.68−0.053.47+0.02
1.93−0.123.73+0.033.45+0.28
2.05opened3.70opened3.17opened
66 snapshots · the prices changed 12 times

How the match went

half-time 0:1

match report · 17.10 14:54

  1. 11'Śląsk WrocławPrzemyslaw Banaszak (Piotr Samiec-Talar)0:1
  2. 45'Śląsk Wrocławon Malaly Dembele, off luka marjanac
  3. 47'Motor Lublinpenalty confirmed (VAR) · Makan Aiko
  4. 50'Motor LublinKarol Czubak missed penalty
  5. 61'Motor LublinMakan Aiko (Yacine Bourhane)1:1
  6. 64'Śląsk WrocławPrzemyslaw Banaszak YC
  7. 66'Śląsk WrocławMalaly Dembele (Piotr Samiec-Talar)1:2
  8. 66'Śląsk WrocławVAR check · Malaly Dembele
  9. 71'Motor Lublinon Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao, off Kamil Lukoszek
  10. 73'Motor LublinMbaye Jacques Ndiaye YC
  11. 75'Śląsk Wrocławon Leltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes, off Przemyslaw Banaszak
  12. 77'Motor LublinChristopher Simon2:2
  13. 81'Śląsk Wrocławon Jan Jurčec, off Alex Timossi Andersson
  14. 82'Motor Lublinon Thomas Santos, off Makan Aiko
  15. 83'Motor Lublinon Alioune Oumar Tall, off Rony Lopes
  16. 85'Śląsk Wrocławon Grzegorz Tomasiewicz, off Eniss Shabani
  17. 85'Śląsk Wrocławon Adam Ciućka, off Piotr Samiec-Talar
  18. 87'Śląsk WrocławMarc Llinares YC
  19. 88'Motor Lublinpenalty confirmed (VAR) · Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye
  20. 90+2'Śląsk WrocławKarol Niemczycki YC
  21. 90+2'Motor LublinYacine Bourhane penalty3:2
  22. 90+4'Motor Lublinon Paskal Konrad Meyer, off Christopher Simon
  23. 90+10'Motor LublinKarol Czubak YC
Match stats: Motor Lublin vs Śląsk Wrocław
Motor LublinstatŚląsk Wrocław
3.89expected goals (xG)0.79
29shots6
11on target3
66%possession34%
10corners1
12fouls18
1saves8
2yellow cards3
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Motor Lublin

formation 4-1-4-1 · manager M. Misiura

starting XIfeed rating
  • 33G. Tratnik6.1
  • 24F. Luberecki6.7
  • 4T. Plavotić6.3
  • 39M. Bartoš6.5
  • 17K. Lukoszek6.8
  • 27Y. Bourhane7.7
  • 70M. Aïko8.0
  • 8C. Simon — highest feed rating in the match8.2
  • 9Rony Lopes7.0
  • 30M. Ndiaye7.1
  • 10K. Czubak6.2
substitutes
  • 71M. Popa
  • 23F. Haxha
  • 18B. Bereszyński
  • 5A. Akatov
  • 2Paskal Konrad Meyeron 90+4'6.3
  • 29T. Santoson 82'6.2
  • 6M. Łęgowski
  • 47Alioune Tallon 83'6.0
  • 11Fábio Ronaldoon 71'6.6
  • 22M. Zlomanczuk
  • 77Mateusz Posmyk
  • 90Dominik Gregorski
Śląsk Wrocław

formation 5-4-1 · manager A. Šimundža

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1K. Niemczycki6.9
  • 8Marc Llinares5.3
  • 44M. Malec6.2
  • 5L. Ba6.1
  • 33E. Matsenko6.0
  • 21A. Timossi Andersson5.7
  • 11L. Marjanac5.9
  • 77E. Shabani5.3
  • 17K. Linetty6.0
  • 7P. Samiec-Talar8.0
  • 19P. Banaszak7.1
substitutes
  • 10M. Dembéléon 45'7.8
  • 88A. Ciuckaon 85'5.8
  • 18K. Borys
  • 20G. Tomasiewiczon 85'5.8
  • 2D. Szala
  • 27Jan Jurčecon 81'5.7
  • 4M. Dijakovic
  • 25M. Szromnik
  • 9Ieltsin Camõeson 75'6.4

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on a Motor Lublin win — the bet won. 5 more bet on both teams to score — the bet won. The other 2 chose a bet each: a total-goals bet and double chance.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:03 UTC

Śląsk Wrocław come into this Ekstraklasa game 17th with six points from ten rounds, and the table explains why the prices have moved. Over three days the hosts have come in from 2.05 to 1.86, while Śląsk have drifted from 3.17 to 3.63. Their last five matches have brought one draw and four defeats, with five goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have yet to win at all: one draw and four defeats, around a goal a game at one end and almost two at the other. Motor Lublin sit three places higher and took three points in the only home meeting between the pair, winning 2-1 in September 2024.

Where we could be wrong

The one question is who scores. Motor manage 0.8 goals a game at home and drew a blank in two of their five home matches, while Śląsk have found the net on every away trip. With an attack like that, a single goal conceded could be enough to leave the hosts with nothing. Our pick is the home win at 1.86.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Motor Lublin
Recent matches: Motor Lublin
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12.10Radomiak RadomA3:2xG 2.6–0.9W
19.09Górnik ZabrzeH0:0xG 0.5–1.2D
11.09Raków CzęstochowaA1:2xG 1.8–1.0L
05.09Legia WarsawH2:3xG 1.5–2.3L
01.09Legia WarsawPolish CupH3:0W
29.08Piast GliwiceH0:2xG 1.0–1.6L
Śląsk Wrocław
Recent matches: Śląsk Wrocław
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10Lech PoznańH1:4xG 0.8–2.0L
03.10Slovan Liberecclub friendlyH0:3L
18.09Wisła KrakówA1:2xG 0.8–2.5L
12.09Korona KielceH1:2xG 1.3–2.5L
06.09Jagiellonia BiałystokA1:2xG 1.9–1.4L
03.09Pogoń SzczecinPolish CupH2:1W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstMotor LublinŚląsk WrocławEkstraklasa
goals1.2 / 1.71.2 / 1.91.5
matches over 2.560%80%
both scored70%90%
clean sheets20%10%
failed to score20%10%
home / away
goals0.8 / 1.41 / 1.8
average total2.22.8
matches over 2.540%80%
both scored40%100%
  • Motor Lublin score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
  • Śląsk Wrocław score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
  • Śląsk Wrocław: 4 league defeats in a row
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Motor Lublin, away games only for Śląsk Wrocław

Head to head

last 2

1–1–0Motor Lublin wins · draws · Śląsk Wrocław wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Śląsk Wrocław vs Motor Lublin1:105.04.25
Motor Lublin vs Śląsk Wrocław2:128.09.24
  • both scored in 2 of the last 2 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 1 of 2

League table

League standings: Ekstraklasa
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
13Widzew Łódź101-6-314–159LDDDL
14Motor Lublin102-3-512–179LLLDW
15Wieczysta Kraków102-2-615–198DLDWL
16Radomiak Radom102-2-69–238WDLLL
17Śląsk Wrocław101-3-612–196DLLLL
18Raków Częstochowa101-0-913–253LWLLL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Motor Lublin
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3015
  • 31-4514
  • 46-6020
  • 61-7530
  • 76-90+48
Śląsk Wrocław
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3002
  • 31-4524
  • 46-6004
  • 61-7513
  • 76-90+85

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Ekstraklasa results
0:1GKS Katowice–Pogoń SzczecinOur pick:1prediction lost6 of 15 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 1.96X 3.602 3.401:1Cracovia–Legia WarsawOur pick:BTTSprediction won9 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.74X 3.332 2.420:0Widzew Łódź–Wisła KrakówOur pick:BTTSprediction lost12 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.29X 3.482 2.81