23 Oct
Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin: AI prediction and betting pick
On 23 October, Motor Lublin host Zagłębie Lubin. The AI models' pick is Motor Lublin to win at 2.08: 8 of 16 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 12 of 34
- +10°, overcast
- Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
published UTC
AI models' pick: Motor Lublin to win
2.08AI models' pick · 8 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:0 8%1:2 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 2 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
There is only one snapshot of the line so far — movement will appear with the next runs.
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Motor Lublin win. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Motor Lublin not losing. 6 more went for both teams to score. One more went for over 2.5 goals.
- 8 of 161our betodds 2.08
Gemini
GrokKimiDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 1 of 161Xsame directionodds 1.31
Sonar - 6 of 16BTTSodds 1.62ChatGPTClaudeQwenMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-Note - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.75DeepSeek
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC
Zagłębie Lubin have not beaten Motor Lublin in five meetings. Four of them went the way of the home side, one finished 2-2 in September 2025, and in March 2026 in Lublin it was 1-0 again. Motor have scored 12 and conceded 9 so far this season, with xG of 2.06 against 1.23, 52.6% possession and 7.2 shots on target per game. The visitors' away work is more modest: one win, two draws and two defeats, 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The prices lean towards the hosts, with Zagłębie rated at 29%.
Where we could be wrong
The table tells a different story, mind. Zagłębie sit seventh on 18 points, Motor eleventh on 12. More worrying for the home side is their own record in Lublin: two wins from six, 1.2 goals a game. Zagłębie have kept four clean sheets this season, and if they defend deep and see the game out, Motor could easily be short of that final pass in the box. The head-to-heads and the underlying numbers still point the other way, and in this Ekstraklasa fixture we're backing Motor Lublin to win at odds of 2.08.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Motor Lublin| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Śląsk Wrocław | H | 3:2xG 3.9–0.8 | W |
| 12.10 | Radomiak Radom | A | 3:2xG 2.6–0.9 | W |
| 19.09 | Górnik Zabrze | H | 0:0xG 0.5–1.2 | D |
| 11.09 | Raków Częstochowa | A | 1:2xG 1.8–1.0 | L |
| 05.09 | Legia Warsaw | H | 2:3xG 1.5–2.3 | L |
| 01.09 | Legia WarsawPolish Cup | H | 3:0 | W |
Zagłębie Lubin| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | H | 1:0xG 2.0–1.5 | W |
| 10.10 | Cracovia | A | 1:3xG 1.1–2.9 | L |
| 03.10 | Miedz Legnicaclub friendly | H | 1:0 | W |
| 20.09 | Wisła Płock | H | 0:2xG 1.1–1.2 | L |
| 15.09 | Raków Częstochowa | A | 3:2xG 1.4–2.2 | W |
| 12.09 | GKS Katowice | H | 2:1 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 64% | 45% | |
| both scored | 73% | 55% | |
| clean sheets | 18% | 36% | |
| failed to score | 18% | 27% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.8 | |
| average total | 2.7 | 3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | |
| both scored | 50% | 80% | |
- Zagłębie Lubin score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Motor Lublin, away games only for Zagłębie Lubin
Head to head
4–1–0Motor Lublin wins · draws · Zagłębie Lubin wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin | 1:0 | 20.03.26 | |
| Zagłębie Lubin vs Motor Lublin | 2:2 | 21.09.25 | |
| Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin | 1:0 | 18.05.25 | |
| Zagłębie Lubin vs Motor Lublin | 1:2 | 22.11.24 | |
| Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin | 1:0 | 19.10.22 | Polish Cup |
- both scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 2 of 5
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 5-3-3 | 17–14 | 18 | DWWLD |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 5-3-3 | 13–13 | 18 | WWLLW |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 5-2-4 | 19–17 | 17 | WWLWD |
| 10 | Cracovia | 11 | 3-3-5 | 13–16 | 12 | LLLWD |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15–19 | 12 | LLDWW |
| 12 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 4-0-6 | 13–17 | 12 | WLLLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1502
- 16-3015
- 31-4514
- 46-6020
- 61-7541
- 76-90+68
- 0-1510
- 16-3011
- 31-4513
- 46-6011
- 61-7521
- 76-9077
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
