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Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź 2:1: result and odds

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź finished 2:1. The AI models' pick was Widzew Łódź to win at 2.44, and it lost.

published · updated UTC

Piast Gliwice
Widzew Łódź

AI models' pick: Widzew Łódź to win

2.44

AI models' pick · 5 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

lost−1.00 unitsclosing odds2.41CLV+1%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.

likely score

1:111%

2:1 8% — this score came in1:2 8%2:2 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 11.10 12:10

result12.64+0.11X3.40+0.0522.44 — matches our bet+0.02
total 2.5O1.77+0.07U2.03+0.03
both to scoreyes1.59+0.02no2.22−0.03
double chance1X1.50+0.02121.29+0.03X21.43−0.01
handicaptaken 05.10 09:15H1 01.94H2 01.83

Over 6 days the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Widzew Łódź: 2.44 → 2.44 since we publishedView

The biggest move is a Piast Gliwice win: from 2.53 to 2.64.

Piast Gliwice2.53 → 2.64Draw3.35 → 3.40Widzew Łódź2.42 → 2.44our bet
2.502.753.003.253.504 daysno data27 hno data5 Oct9 Oct10 Oct11 OctWe published · 2.44Draw 3.40Piast Gliwice 2.64Widzew Łódź 2.44

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenPiast GliwiceDrawWidzew Łódź · our bet
2.64+0.013.40−0.032.44+0.01
2.63+0.023.43+0.012.43−0.01
2.61+0.013.422.44
2.603.422.44−0.01
2.60+0.133.42+0.032.45+0.01
9 Oct – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 27 h
We published a Widzew Łódź win at 2.44
2.47−0.063.39+0.042.44+0.02
5 Oct – 9 Oct · no snapshots for 4 days
2.53opened3.35opened2.42opened
20 snapshots · the prices changed 6 times

How the match went

half-time 0:0

match report · 11.10 16:01

  1. 29'Piast GliwiceJakub Labojko YC
  2. 39'Widzew ŁódźJusuf Gazibegovic YC
  3. 45'Piast Gliwiceon Ivan Lima, off Jason Lokilo
  4. 56'Widzew Łódźon Karol Świderski, off Sebastian Bergier
  5. 56'Widzew Łódźon Darian Males, off mariusz fornalczyk
  6. 65'Widzew Łódźon Dani Silva, off Fran Alvarez
  7. 68'Piast GliwiceGiannis Papanikolaou own goal1:0
  8. 71'Widzew ŁódźKarol Świderski (Jusuf Gazibegovic)1:1
  9. 73'Widzew Łódźon Marcel Krajewski, off Jusuf Gazibegovic
  10. 73'Widzew Łódźon Juljan Shehu, off Giannis Papanikolaou
  11. 73'Piast Gliwiceon Oskar·Lesniak, off Jakub Labojko
  12. 81'Piast Gliwiceon Andreas Katsantonis, off Samuel Ntamack Ndimba
  13. 84'Widzew ŁódźMario García Alvear YC
  14. 88'Piast GliwiceJakub Czerwiński YC
  15. 90+1'Piast GliwiceQuentin Boisgard (Jakub Lewicki)2:1
  16. 90+2'Piast Gliwiceon Oliwier Maziarz, off Quentin Boisgard
Match stats: Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź
Piast GliwicestatWidzew Łódź
1.69expected goals (xG)1.78
18shots17
5on target3
54%possession46%
6corners13
12fouls16
2saves4
2yellow cards2
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Piast Gliwice

formation 4-4-2 · manager D. Myśliwiec

starting XIfeed rating
  • 75D. Gril6.4
  • 36J. Lewicki7.2
  • 4J. Czerwiński6.9
  • 5Juande Rivas7.0
  • 99E. Twumasi6.2
  • 80Hugo Vallejo6.5
  • 17Q. Boisgard — highest feed rating in the match8.1
  • 27J. Łabojko6.2
  • 98J. Lokilo6.6
  • 11Leandro Sanca6.0
  • 19S. Ntamack Ndimba6.4
substitutes
  • 28F. Borowski
  • 7Jorge Félix
  • 10A. Katsantonison 81'6.5
  • 31O. Leśniakon 73'6.3
  • 90Ivan Limaon 45'7.2
  • 18O. Maziarzon 90+2'6.3
  • 12Marcel Mendes-Dudziński
  • 77S. Mucha
  • 15L. Pitan
  • 22F. Sierralta
  • 91Maciej Kucharski
  • 3E. Fikaj
Widzew Łódź

formation 4-1-4-1 · manager M. Stolarski

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1B. Drągowski6.7
  • 40Mario García7.3
  • 3S. Kapuadi6.5
  • 25P. Wiśniewski5.9
  • 70J. Gazibegović6.2
  • 5G. Papanikolaou5.1
  • 7M. Fornalczyk5.7
  • 8E. Kornvig6.5
  • 10Fran Álvarez5.6
  • 79S. Biuk6.6
  • 99S. Bergier6.4
substitutes
  • 14Visus
  • 90Ioan Vermeșan
  • 28K. Świderskion 56'7.8
  • 6J. Shehuon 73'6.0
  • 18L. Selahi
  • 19D. Maleson 56'6.0
  • 91M. Krajewskion 73'6.3
  • 20A. Klukowski
  • 30V. Ilić
  • 80Dani Silvaon 65'5.8
  • 4M. Żyro

The largest group of AI models bet on a Widzew Łódź win — the bet lost. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Widzew Łódź not losing. 4 more bet on both teams to score — the bet won. The other 6 chose other bets: total-goals bets and a Piast Gliwice handicap.

  • 5 of 162our betodds 2.42GeminiKimiDeepSeek FlashGLMNemotron Ultralost
  • 4 of 16BTTSodds 1.57DeepSeekMistralDots3-NoteNemotron Superwon
  • 3 of 16U 2.5odds 2.00GrokQwenSonarlost
  • 2 of 16O 2.5odds 1.70ClaudeXiaomi MiMowon
  • 1 of 16H1 (+1)odds 1.24MiniMaxwon
  • 1 of 16X2same directionodds 1.44ChatGPTlost

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:22 UTC

Piast Gliwice have lost eight of the last ten meetings with Widzew Łódź, and both recent games in the series went the visitors' way: Widzew won 2-0 in Gliwice in November 2025 and 2-1 in May. On the road Widzew concede a goal a game and keep a clean sheet in half of their away matches. The market rates the away win marginally higher than the home one, 37% against 36%, and that comes with a price of 2.44. Four games unbeaten add to the confidence, and our pick is a Widzew Łódź win.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is that Widzew failed to win any of those four matches, and nine points after nine rounds against 13 for Piast shows where the gap in the Ekstraklasa table comes from. At home Piast are a different side: 2.4 goals scored on average, with over 2.5 goals in four of their five home matches, so a shootout in Gliwice could easily end badly for the visitors.

  • 5 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Piast Gliwice
Recent matches: Piast Gliwice
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02.10Wisła Krakówclub friendlyH3:4L
20.09Pogoń SzczecinH1:2L
14.09Radomiak RadomA2:0W
04.09GKS KatowiceH3:0W
01.09Chemik BydgoszczPolish CupA3:0W
Widzew Łódź
Recent matches: Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26.09Górnik Łęcznaclub friendlyH2:2D
18.09Wieczysta KrakówH2:2D
13.09Legia WarsawA1:1D
05.09Radomiak RadomH0:0D
02.09Korona KielcePolish CupH0:1L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstPiast GliwiceWidzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
goals1.8 / 1.61.4 / 1.51.5
matches over 2.560%60%
both scored50%70%
clean sheets30%30%
failed to score20%20%
home / away
goals2.3 / 1.81.4 / 1.2
average total4.22.6
matches over 2.583%40%
both scored83%60%

Head to head

last 10

2–0–8Piast Gliwice wins · draws · Widzew Łódź wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice2:123.05.26
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź0:228.11.25
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice1:010.07.25club friendly
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice1:010.07.25club friendly
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź0:228.03.25
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice1:021.09.24
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice1:007.04.24
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź3:229.09.23
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice2:323.04.23
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź1:210.10.22

Other matches this round

All Ekstraklasa results
2:0Pogoń Szczecin–Korona KielceOur pick:1prediction won8 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 2.22X 3.352 3.022:0Legia Warsaw–Wisła KrakówOur pick:BTTSprediction lost10 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.03X 3.522 3.261:3Jagiellonia Białystok–Górnik ZabrzeOur pick:2prediction won8 of 15 on this bet · 4 more in the same direction1 2.56X 3.332 2.56