FINISHED
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź 2:1: result and odds
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź finished 2:1. The AI models' pick was Widzew Łódź to win at 2.44, and it lost.
- Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 10 of 34
- +14°, cloudy
- Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Widzew Łódź to win
2.44AI models' pick · 5 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
- closing odds
- The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
- CLV
- How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
likely score
2:1 8% — this score came in1:2 8%2:2 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 6 days the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Widzew Łódź: 2.44 → 2.44 since we publishedView
The biggest move is a Piast Gliwice win: from 2.53 to 2.64.
Price changes
| When | Piast Gliwice | Draw | Widzew Łódź · our bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.64+0.01 | 3.40−0.03 | 2.44+0.01 | |
| 2.63+0.02 | 3.43+0.01 | 2.43−0.01 | |
| 2.61+0.01 | 3.42 | 2.44 | |
| 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.44−0.01 | |
| 2.60+0.13 | 3.42+0.03 | 2.45+0.01 | |
| 9 Oct – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 27 h | |||
| We published a Widzew Łódź win at 2.44 | |||
| 2.47−0.06 | 3.39+0.04 | 2.44+0.02 | |
| 5 Oct – 9 Oct · no snapshots for 4 days | |||
| 2.53opened | 3.35opened | 2.42opened | |
How the match went
- 29'
Jakub Labojko YC - 39'
Jusuf Gazibegovic YC - 45'
on Ivan Lima, off Jason Lokilo - 56'
on Karol Świderski, off Sebastian Bergier - 56'
on Darian Males, off mariusz fornalczyk - 65'
on Dani Silva, off Fran Alvarez - 68'
Giannis Papanikolaou own goal1:0 - 71'
Karol Świderski (Jusuf Gazibegovic)1:1 - 73'
on Marcel Krajewski, off Jusuf Gazibegovic - 73'
on Juljan Shehu, off Giannis Papanikolaou - 73'
on Oskar·Lesniak, off Jakub Labojko - 81'
on Andreas Katsantonis, off Samuel Ntamack Ndimba - 84'
Mario García Alvear YC - 88'
Jakub Czerwiński YC - 90+1'
Quentin Boisgard (Jakub Lewicki)2:1 - 90+2'
on Oliwier Maziarz, off Quentin Boisgard
| Piast Gliwice | stat | Widzew Łódź |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | expected goals (xG) | 1.78 |
| 18 | shots | 17 |
| 5 | on target | 3 |
| 54% | possession | 46% |
| 6 | corners | 13 |
| 12 | fouls | 16 |
| 2 | saves | 4 |
| 2 | yellow cards | 2 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
- 75D. Gril6.4
- 36J. Lewicki7.2
- 4J. Czerwiński6.9
- 5Juande Rivas7.0
- 99E. Twumasi6.2
- 80Hugo Vallejo6.5
- 17Q. Boisgard — highest feed rating in the match8.1
- 27J. Łabojko6.2
- 98J. Lokilo6.6
- 11Leandro Sanca6.0
- 19S. Ntamack Ndimba6.4
- 28F. Borowski
- 7Jorge Félix
- 10A. Katsantonison 81'6.5
- 31O. Leśniakon 73'6.3
- 90Ivan Limaon 45'7.2
- 18O. Maziarzon 90+2'6.3
- 12Marcel Mendes-Dudziński
- 77S. Mucha
- 15L. Pitan
- 22F. Sierralta
- 91Maciej Kucharski
- 3E. Fikaj
- 1B. Drągowski6.7
- 40Mario García7.3
- 3S. Kapuadi6.5
- 25P. Wiśniewski5.9
- 70J. Gazibegović6.2
- 5G. Papanikolaou5.1
- 7M. Fornalczyk5.7
- 8E. Kornvig6.5
- 10Fran Álvarez5.6
- 79S. Biuk6.6
- 99S. Bergier6.4
- 14Visus
- 90Ioan Vermeșan
- 28K. Świderskion 56'7.8
- 6J. Shehuon 73'6.0
- 18L. Selahi
- 19D. Maleson 56'6.0
- 91M. Krajewskion 73'6.3
- 20A. Klukowski
- 30V. Ilić
- 80Dani Silvaon 65'5.8
- 4M. Żyro
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a Widzew Łódź win — the bet lost. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Widzew Łódź not losing. 4 more bet on both teams to score — the bet won. The other 6 chose other bets: total-goals bets and a Piast Gliwice handicap.
- 5 of 162our betodds 2.42
GeminiKimiDeepSeek Flash
GLMNemotron Ultralost - 4 of 16BTTSodds 1.57DeepSeekMistral
Dots3-NoteNemotron Superwon - 3 of 16U 2.5odds 2.00
GrokQwen
Sonarlost - 2 of 16O 2.5odds 1.70ClaudeXiaomi MiMowon
- 1 of 16H1 (+1)odds 1.24MiniMaxwon
- 1 of 16X2same directionodds 1.44ChatGPTlost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:22 UTC
Piast Gliwice have lost eight of the last ten meetings with Widzew Łódź, and both recent games in the series went the visitors' way: Widzew won 2-0 in Gliwice in November 2025 and 2-1 in May. On the road Widzew concede a goal a game and keep a clean sheet in half of their away matches. The market rates the away win marginally higher than the home one, 37% against 36%, and that comes with a price of 2.44. Four games unbeaten add to the confidence, and our pick is a Widzew Łódź win.
Where we could be wrong
The doubt is that Widzew failed to win any of those four matches, and nine points after nine rounds against 13 for Piast shows where the gap in the Ekstraklasa table comes from. At home Piast are a different side: 2.4 goals scored on average, with over 2.5 goals in four of their five home matches, so a shootout in Gliwice could easily end badly for the visitors.
- 5 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10 | Wisła Krakówclub friendly | H | 3:4 | L |
| 20.09 | Pogoń Szczecin | H | 1:2 | L |
| 14.09 | Radomiak Radom | A | 2:0 | W |
| 04.09 | GKS Katowice | H | 3:0 | W |
| 01.09 | Chemik BydgoszczPolish Cup | A | 3:0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.09 | Górnik Łęcznaclub friendly | H | 2:2 | D |
| 18.09 | Wieczysta Kraków | H | 2:2 | D |
| 13.09 | Legia Warsaw | A | 1:1 | D |
| 05.09 | Radomiak Radom | H | 0:0 | D |
| 02.09 | Korona KielcePolish Cup | H | 0:1 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Ekstraklasa | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | |
| both scored | 50% | 70% | |
| clean sheets | 30% | 30% | |
| failed to score | 20% | 20% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2.3 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.2 | |
| average total | 4.2 | 2.6 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 83% | 40% | |
| both scored | 83% | 60% | |
- Piast Gliwice score more than the league average: 1.8 vs 1.5
- Widzew Łódź without a win in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Piast Gliwice, away games only for Widzew Łódź
Head to head
2–0–8Piast Gliwice wins · draws · Widzew Łódź wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice | 2:1 | 23.05.26 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź | 0:2 | 28.11.25 | |
| Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice | 1:0 | 10.07.25 | club friendly |
| Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice | 1:0 | 10.07.25 | club friendly |
| Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź | 0:2 | 28.03.25 | |
| Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice | 1:0 | 21.09.24 | |
| Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice | 1:0 | 07.04.24 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź | 3:2 | 29.09.23 | |
| Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice | 2:3 | 23.04.23 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź | 1:2 | 10.10.22 |
- both scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10