Skip to content
Menu

data updated 14.10 03:20

FINISHED

Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce 2:0: result and odds

Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce finished 2:0. The AI models' pick was Pogoń Szczecin to win at 2.17, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Pogoń Szczecin
Korona Kielce

AI models' pick: Pogoń Szczecin to win

2.17

AI models' pick · 8 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

won+1.17 unitsclosing odds2.21CLV−2%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:114%

0:0 9%1:0 9%2:1 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 11.10 15:20

result12.22 — matches our bet+0.05X3.35+0.1023.02+0.09
total 2.5O1.79+0.05U2.00+0.05
both to scoreyes1.64+0.03no2.14−0.04
double chance1X1.35+0.03121.29+0.03X21.62−0.03
handicaptaken 05.10 09:15H1 01.56H2 02.29

Over 6 days a Pogoń Szczecin win drifted from 2.17 to 2.22 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Pogoń Szczecin: 2.17 → 2.22 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (a Pogoń Szczecin win) has drifted from 2.17 to 2.22: the market now rates it as less likely.

Pogoń Szczecin2.17 → 2.22our betDraw3.25 → 3.35Korona Kielce2.93 → 3.02
2.252.502.753.003.254 daysno data27 hno data5 Oct9 Oct10 Oct11 OctWe published · 2.17Draw 3.35Korona Kielce 3.02Pogoń Szczecin 2.22

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenPogoń Szczecin · our betDrawKorona Kielce
2.22+0.033.35−0.013.02−0.03
2.19+0.013.36+0.013.05−0.02
2.18+0.013.353.07−0.02
2.173.35+0.013.09
2.173.34+0.073.09+0.10
9 Oct – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 27 h
We published a Pogoń Szczecin win at 2.17
2.173.27+0.022.99+0.06
5 Oct – 9 Oct · no snapshots for 4 days
2.17opened3.25opened2.93opened
23 snapshots · the prices changed 6 times

How the match went

half-time 1:0

match report · 11.10 20:00

  1. 20'Pogoń SzczecinAlessandro Riccio YC
  2. 21'Pogoń SzczecinÓscar García Junyent YC
  3. 36'Pogoń SzczecinMaciej Wojciechowski YC
  4. 45+1'Pogoń SzczecinMaciej Wojciechowski (Paul Omo Mukairu)1:0
  5. 56'Korona Kielceon Martin Remacle, off Ondrej Lingr
  6. 56'Korona Kielceon Daniel Bak, off Mariusz Stępiński
  7. 73'Pogoń Szczecinon Kamil Grosicki, off Darko Churlinov
  8. 73'Pogoń Szczecinon Jean-Pierre Nsame, off Jordi Sánchez
  9. 83'Pogoń Szczecinon Kellyn Acosta, off Jan Bieganski
  10. 86'Pogoń SzczecinPaul Omo Mukairu (Jean-Pierre Nsame)2:0
  11. 87'Korona Kielceon Dawid Błanik, off Camilo Mena
  12. 88'Korona Kielceon Morgan Faßbender, off Patrik Hellebrand
  13. 90+1'Pogoń Szczecinon Lukas Willen, off Benjamin Mendy
  14. 90+1'Pogoń Szczecinon Isaiah·Eichie, off Paul Omo Mukairu
Match stats: Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce
Pogoń SzczecinstatKorona Kielce
0.96expected goals (xG)0.86
7shots17
2on target3
48%possession52%
2corners7
21fouls6
3saves0
2yellow cards0
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Pogoń Szczecin

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager Óscar García

starting XIfeed rating
  • 77V. Cojocaru7.1
  • 23B. Mendy7.0
  • 41A. Szalai7.4
  • 13D. Keramitsis7.4
  • 4A. Riccio6.9
  • 6J. Biegański7.0
  • 16P. Dziczek7.2
  • 18P. Mukairu — highest feed rating in the match8.6
  • 35M. Wojciechowski8.2
  • 21D. Churlinov6.6
  • 22Jordi Sánchez6.3
substitutes
  • 3K. Acostaon 83'6.8
  • 10F. Čuić
  • 30J. Czaplinski
  • 98M. Dabrowski
  • 11K. Grosickion 73'6.8
  • 47N. Lawa
  • 17J. Nsameon 73'6.9
  • 75A. Ossowski
  • 29L. Willenon 90+1'0.0
  • 9R. Molnár
  • 20Isaiah·Eichie
  • 31Nikolaos Nestoras Botis
Korona Kielce

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager J. Zielinski

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1X. Dziekoński5.9
  • 6M. Pięczek6.5
  • 2A. Mosór6.9
  • 23S. Rubežić6.8
  • 71W. Długosz6.3
  • 18P. Hellebrand7.0
  • 35Kamil Jakubczyk6.7
  • 19M. Ameyaw6.4
  • 32O. Lingr5.8
  • 30C. Mena6.1
  • 14M. Stępiński6.2
substitutes
  • 8M. Remacleon 56'6.6
  • 10Nono
  • 11K. Matuszewski
  • 87R. Mamla
  • 86Simon Gustafson
  • 22M. Faßbenderon 88'6.6
  • 7D. Błanikon 87'6.1
  • 67N. Barczak
  • 99Daniel Bakon 56'6.2
  • 24B. Smolarczyk
  • 44K. Sotiriou

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on a Pogoń Szczecin win — the bet won. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Pogoń Szczecin not losing. 4 more bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. The other 3 chose other bets: total-goals bets.

  • 8 of 161our betodds 2.17ChatGPTGeminiGrokQwenGLMMiniMaxDots3-NoteNemotron Ultrawon
  • 4 of 16BTTSodds 1.61KimiDeepSeek FlashMistralNemotron Superlost
  • 2 of 16U 2.5odds 1.95ClaudeDeepSeekwon
  • 1 of 161Xsame directionodds 1.32Sonarwon
  • 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.74Xiaomi MiMolost

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:22 UTC

Pogoń Szczecin have gone five matches without defeat and won the last two, scoring seven and conceding four along the way. At home they average 1.6 goals a game while shipping one, and they have failed to score in just one of five matches on their own pitch. The previous meetings favour the hosts as well: four Pogoń wins and one defeat in eight games, including a 2-1 win in Szczecin in March. The market rates the home side at 41% against 31% for Korona Kielce, and at odds of 2.17 the home advantage looks worth backing. Our pick is a Pogoń Szczecin win.

Where we could be wrong

Korona are careful on the road, though — 0.8 goals conceded per away game and a clean sheet on every fourth trip — and in September 2025 they beat Pogoń 1-0. The two sides are level on 15 points, and three Korona wins in the last five rounds say the hosts will not have an easy afternoon of it.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Pogoń Szczecin
Recent matches: Pogoń Szczecin
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26.09Udineseclub friendlyH1:1D
20.09Piast GliwiceA2:1W
13.09Wieczysta KrakówH2:0W
07.09Wisła PłockH1:1D
03.09Śląsk WrocławPolish CupA1:2L
Korona Kielce
Recent matches: Korona Kielce
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03.10Legia Warsawclub friendlyA1:5L
19.09Raków CzęstochowaH3:2W
15.09Górnik ZabrzeH0:2L
12.09Śląsk WrocławA2:1W
05.09Wisła KrakówH1:1D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstPogoń SzczecinKorona KielceEkstraklasa
goals1.6 / 0.71.2 / 1.21.5
matches over 2.533%30%
both scored44%60%
clean sheets44%10%
failed to score22%30%
home / away
goals1.7 / 0.81.2 / 1
average total2.52.2
matches over 2.533%40%
both scored50%40%
  • Korona Kielce score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
  • Pogoń Szczecin unbeaten in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Pogoń Szczecin, away games only for Korona Kielce

Head to head

last 8

4–3–1Pogoń Szczecin wins · draws · Korona Kielce wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce2:116.03.26
Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin1:013.09.25
Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin0:009.12.24
Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce3:020.07.24
Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin2:217.03.24
Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce3:116.09.23
Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce0:018.03.23
Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin1:204.09.22
  • both scored in 4 of the last 8 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 8

Other matches this round

All Ekstraklasa results
2:1Piast Gliwice–Widzew ŁódźOur pick:2prediction lost5 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 2.64X 3.402 2.442:0Legia Warsaw–Wisła KrakówOur pick:BTTSprediction lost10 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.03X 3.522 3.261:3Jagiellonia Białystok–Górnik ZabrzeOur pick:2prediction won8 of 15 on this bet · 4 more in the same direction1 2.56X 3.332 2.56