24 Oct
Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom: AI prediction and betting pick
On 24 October, Pogoń Szczecin host Radomiak Radom. The AI models' pick is Pogoń Szczecin to win at 1.75: 15 of 16 models chose it.
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 12 of 34
- +11°, cloudy, wind 17 km/h
- Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
published UTC
AI models' pick: Pogoń Szczecin to win
1.75AI models' pick · 15 of 16 for this bet, 1 for others
Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results
likely score
2:1 10%2:0 10%1:0 9%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 2 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
There is only one snapshot of the line so far — movement will appear with the next runs.
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Pogoń Szczecin win. 8 more chose close bets in the same direction: Pogoń Szczecin −1 and Pogoń Szczecin −1.5. One more went for over 2.5 goals.
- 7 of 161our betodds 1.75ChatGPT
Gemini
GrokKimi
GLM
SonarNemotron Super - 4 of 16H1 (−1)same directionodds 2.31ClaudeDeepSeek Flash
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 4 of 16H1 (−1.5)same directionodds 2.88DeepSeekMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMo
- 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.69Qwen
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC
Radomiak Radom are coming apart on their travels. Four away games have brought an average of 0.5 goals scored and 3.3 conceded, with no win to show for it. Pogoń Szczecin sit fourth on 21 points against 8 for the visitors, have scored eight and conceded two in their last five matches, and at home average 1.7 goals of their own against 0.8 for the opposition, with three clean sheets along the way.
The previous meetings are no help to the bet. The last ten have given Pogoń four wins, two draws and four defeats, December 2025 in Szczecin finished 2-2, and in the summer of that year Radomiak put five past them.
Where we could be wrong
There is a warning sign too: Radomiak shoot more often than the hosts, 14 attempts a game to 11.8, and with the score against them the away side can still get something out of one moment. Pogoń have twice failed to score at all this season and lose the possession battle to almost any opponent, so a tight game decided by a single goal, or a draw, is a real possibility in this Ekstraklasa fixture. Even so, our pick is a Pogoń Szczecin home win at 1.75.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Pogoń Szczecin| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | GKS Katowice | A | 1:0xG 2.1–1.0 | W |
| 11.10 | Korona Kielce | H | 2:0xG 0.9–0.8 | W |
| 26.09 | Udineseclub friendly | H | 1:1 | D |
| 20.09 | Piast Gliwice | A | 2:1xG 1.4–0.9 | W |
| 13.09 | Wieczysta Kraków | H | 2:0xG 1.9–1.2 | W |
| 07.09 | Wisła Płock | H | 1:1 | D |
Radomiak Radom| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10 | Motor Lublin | H | 2:3xG 0.9–2.6 | L |
| 03.10 | ŁKS Łódźclub friendly | H | — | |
| 02.10 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowieckiclub friendly | H | 7:2 | W |
| 20.09 | Lech Poznań | A | 1:5xG 1.0–4.0 | L |
| 14.09 | Piast Gliwice | H | 0:2 | L |
| 05.09 | Widzew Łódź | A | 0:0xG 1.7–1.6 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 2.3 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 30% | 70% | |
| both scored | 40% | 60% | |
| clean sheets | 50% | 20% | |
| failed to score | 20% | 40% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.7 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 3.3 | |
| average total | 2.5 | 3.8 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 33% | 75% | |
| both scored | 50% | 50% | |
- Radomiak Radom score less than the league average: 0.9 vs 1.5
- Pogoń Szczecin: 4 league wins in a row
- Radomiak Radom: 3 league defeats in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Pogoń Szczecin, away games only for Radomiak Radom
Head to head
4–2–4Pogoń Szczecin wins · draws · Radomiak Radom wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom | 2:2 | 06.12.25 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Szczecin | 5:1 | 20.07.25 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Szczecin | 2:0 | 10.05.25 | |
| Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom | 0:1 | 08.11.24 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Szczecin | 0:4 | 16.02.24 | |
| Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom | 0:2 | 13.08.23 | |
| Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom | 4:0 | 27.05.23 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Szczecin | 1:2 | 13.11.22 | |
| Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom | 4:0 | 04.03.22 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Szczecin | 1:1 | 13.09.21 |
- both scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Legia Warsaw | 11 | 6-5-0 | 22–9 | 23 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15–6 | 21 | DWWWW |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 6-0-5 | 22–16 | 18 | LWWWL |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2-2-7 | 16–21 | 8 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9–23 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 1-3-7 | 14–22 | 6 | LLLLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1510
- 16-3040
- 31-4512
- 46-6061
- 61-7500
- 76-9042
- 0-1514
- 16-3012
- 31-4524
- 46-6035
- 61-7525
- 76-9012
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
