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Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin 2:3: result and odds

Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin finished 2:3. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.43, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.43

AI models' pick · 15 of 16 for this bet, 1 for others

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

won+0.43 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.

likely score

1:113%

2:1 9%1:2 8%1:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 12.10 15:21

result12.36+0.05X3.45+0.1922.70+0.09
total 3O1.95+0.08U1.79−0.13
both to scoreyes1.50 — matches our bet+0.07no2.43−0.20
double chance1X1.41−0.03121.27+0.04X21.54+0.01
handicaptaken 05.10 09:15H1 01.80H2 01.99

Over 7 days a draw drifted from 3.26 to 3.45 — fewer bets on the draw.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.43 → 1.50 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.43 to 1.50: the market now rates it as less likely.

Yes1.43 → 1.50our betNo2.63 → 2.43
1.501.752.002.252.502.755 daysno data5 Oct10 Oct11 Oct12 OctWe published · 1.43No 2.43Yes 1.50

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.50+0.022.43−0.04
1.48+0.022.47−0.06
1.46+0.012.53−0.03
1.452.56+0.01
1.45+0.012.55−0.05
1.44−0.012.60+0.04
1.45+0.022.56−0.07
5 Oct – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 5 days
We published both teams score at 1.43
1.43opened2.63opened
34 snapshots · the prices changed 7 times

How the match went

half-time 1:0

match report · 12.10 18:00

  1. 9'Motor LublinChristopher Simon YC
  2. 18'Motor LublinKamil Lukoszek YC
  3. 23'Motor LublinBartosz Bereszyński YC
  4. 24'Radomiak RadomFilip Koperski (Jan Grzesik)1:0
  5. 33'Radomiak RadomChristos Donis YC
  6. 38'Motor LublinMakan Aiko YC
  7. 45'Radomiak Radomon Lucas Lima Linhares, off Elves Baldé
  8. 53'Motor LublinMbaye Jacques Ndiaye (Makan Aiko)1:1
  9. 61'Motor Lublinon Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao, off Makan Aiko
  10. 61'Motor Lublinon Marek Kristian Bartos, off Bartosz Bereszyński
  11. 61'Radomiak Radomon Guilherme Luiz, off Bi Irié Fernand Gouré
  12. 62'Radomiak Radomon Abdoul Tapsoba, off Rafał Wolski
  13. 70'Motor LublinKarol Czubak penalty1:2
  14. 73'Radomiak Radomon Ibrahima Camará, off Roberto Oliveira Alves
  15. 77'Motor Lublinon Mateusz Legowski, off Rony Lopes
  16. 80'Radomiak RadomSteve Kingue (Ibrahima Camará)2:2
  17. 83'Radomiak Radomon Manu, off Ronaldo Lumungo
  18. 84'Radomiak RadomLucas Lima Linhares YC
  19. 86'Motor LublinMarek Kristian Bartos YC
  20. 87'Motor Lublinon Paskal Konrad Meyer, off Yacine Bourhane
  21. 90+2'Motor LublinChristopher Simon2:3
Match stats: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
Radomiak RadomstatMotor Lublin
0.90expected goals (xG)2.60
6shots22
2on target11
45%possession55%
3corners5
14fouls16
7saves0
2yellow cards5
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Radomiak Radom

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager John Carver

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1F. Majchrowicz6.1
  • 13J. Grzesik6.1
  • 72F. Koperski6.9
  • 14S. Kingue7.3
  • 3K. Szcześniak6.3
  • 77C. Donis5.9
  • 10R. Alves6.3
  • 21Elves5.8
  • 27R. Wolski6.2
  • 90Ronaldo Afonso5.9
  • 11F. Gouré6.4
substitutes
  • 8I. Camaráon 73'6.6
  • 18Manuon 83'6.3
  • 26Adrián Diéguez
  • 99B. Gradecki
  • 23K. Karasek
  • 82Luquinhason 45'5.8
  • 7C. Nunnely
  • 80Guilherme Luizon 61'6.5
  • 28Romário Baró
  • 15A. Tapsobaon 62'6.0
  • 97Conrado
Motor Lublin

formation 4-1-4-1 · manager M. Misiura

starting XIfeed rating
  • 33G. Tratnik6.2
  • 24F. Luberecki6.7
  • 4T. Plavotić6.4
  • 18B. Bereszyński6.2
  • 17K. Lukoszek6.4
  • 27Y. Bourhane6.6
  • 70M. Aïko6.3
  • 8C. Simon — highest feed rating in the match8.2
  • 9Rony Lopes6.6
  • 30M. Ndiaye8.2
  • 10K. Czubak7.2
substitutes
  • 5A. Akatov
  • 39M. Bartošon 61'6.5
  • 90Dominik Gregorski
  • 23F. Haxha
  • 2Paskal Konrad Meyeron 87'6.1
  • 71M. Popa
  • 77Mateusz Posmyk
  • 29T. Santos
  • 47Alioune Tall
  • 22M. Zlomanczuk
  • 11Fábio Ronaldoon 61'5.9
  • 6M. Łęgowskion 77'6.0

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. One more bet on Motor Lublin not losing.

  • 15 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.43ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashGLMMiniMaxMistralSonarXiaomi MiMoDots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultrawon
  • 1 of 16X2odds 1.53Geminiwon

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:22 UTC

The last three meetings between Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin all brought goals at both ends: 1-1 in April 2026, 2-2 in September 2025 and 2-3 in May 2025. The visitors' numbers back that up — both teams have scored in all four of Motor Lublin's away trips, and the Lublin side average 1.3 goals scored and 2 conceded, with 3.3 goals per game in total. Radomiak have kept a clean sheet in only a fifth of their home matches, and in the majority of games at home goals have come from both sides. The market rates the chance of both teams scoring at 65%, and our pick follows it: both teams to score at 1.43.

Where we could be wrong

So what if the hosts' attack goes quiet again? Radomiak have scored three and conceded eight across their last five matches, and in 40% of their home games they have failed to score at all. A grinding evening with just one goal between the two sides cannot be ruled out at that price.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Radomiak Radom
Recent matches: Radomiak Radom
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02.10Pogoń Grod. Mazowieckiclub friendlyH7:2W
20.09Lech PoznańA1:5L
14.09Piast GliwiceH0:2L
05.09Widzew ŁódźA0:0D
01.09Korona Kielce IIPolish CupA1:0W
Motor Lublin
Recent matches: Motor Lublin
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19.09Górnik ZabrzeH0:0D
11.09Raków CzęstochowaA1:2L
05.09Legia WarsawH2:3L
01.09Legia WarsawPolish CupH3:0W
29.08Piast GliwiceH0:2L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstRadomiak RadomMotor LublinEkstraklasa
goals0.8 / 2.21 / 1.71.5
matches over 2.567%56%
both scored56%67%
clean sheets22%22%
failed to score44%22%
home / away
goals1 / 1.41.3 / 2
average total2.43.3
matches over 2.560%75%
both scored60%100%

Head to head

last 8

1–3–4Radomiak Radom wins · draws · Motor Lublin wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin1:106.04.26
Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom2:229.09.25
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin2:324.05.25
Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom1:002.12.24
Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom1:112.07.24club friendly
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin2:102.02.24club friendly
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin1:217.07.21club friendly
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin1:216.07.21club friendly

Other matches this round

All Ekstraklasa results
2:0Legia Warsaw–Wisła KrakówOur pick:BTTSprediction lost10 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.03X 3.522 3.262:0Pogoń Szczecin–Korona KielceOur pick:1prediction won8 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 2.22X 3.352 3.022:1Piast Gliwice–Widzew ŁódźOur pick:2prediction lost5 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 2.64X 3.402 2.44