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Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice 1:4: result and odds
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice finished 1:4. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.44, and it won.
- Referee: Damian Kos
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 10 of 34
- +11°, overcast
- Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.44AI models' pick · 8 of 15 for this bet, 7 for others
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 8%2:2 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 4 days a GKS Katowice win drifted from 2.91 to 3.19 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementGKS Katowice 2.91 → 3.19 over 4 days · 2 snapshotsView
The biggest move is a Raków Częstochowa win: from 2.05 to 1.99.
Price changes
| When | Raków Częstochowa | Draw | GKS Katowice |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.99−0.06 | 3.74+0.13 | 3.19+0.28 | |
| 2.05opened | 3.61opened | 2.91opened |
How the match went
GKS Katowice came from behind to win 4-1 at Raków Częstochowa, despite trailing early. Ilia Shkurin put GKS Katowice ahead on 34 minutes, assisted by Bartosz Nowak, before Patryk Makuch levelled for Raków Częstochowa three minutes later, making it 1-1 at the break. The second half belonged to GKS Katowice. Nowak converted a penalty on 48 minutes to make it 1-2. Mateusz Kowalczyk added another on 57 for 1-3, and Borja Galan, assisted again by Nowak, completed the scoring in injury time for 1-4. Our both-teams-to-score bet, backed at 1.44, landed. The numbers matched the gap on the board: GKS Katowice had 2.57 expected goals to Raków Częstochowa's 1.20. GKS Katowice also had eight shots on target to four, despite holding only 40% of the ball against 60%. Before kick-off, GKS Katowice's win was available at 3.19, with Raków Częstochowa favourites at 1.99, and the over 2.5 goals market paid out as five went in.
- 34'Ilia Shkurin (Bartosz Nowak)0:1
- 37'Patryk Makuch1:1
- 48'Bartosz Nowak penalty1:2
- 57'Mateusz·Kowalczyk1:3
- 60'Lukas Klemenz YC
- 61'on Adin molnar, off Marko Bulat
- 61'on Adam Basse, off Mahir Emreli
- 61'on Isak Brusberg, off Jean Carlos
- 68'Karol Struski YC
- 70'on Borja Galan, off Marcel Wedrychowski
- 70'on Arkadiusz Jedrych, off Alan Czerwiński
- 72'on Bogdan·Mircetic, off Karol Struski
- 76'on Lamine Diaby Fadiga, off Patryk Makuch
- 78'on Sebastian Milewski, off Mateusz·Kowalczyk
- 78'on Eman Marković, off Mateusz Wdowiak
- 82'Borja Galan YC
- 85'Gabriel Kobylak YC
- 87'on Adam Zreľák, off Ilia Shkurin
- 90'Jerzy Napieraj YC
- 90+1'Borja Galan (Bartosz Nowak)1:4
| Raków Częstochowa | stat | GKS Katowice |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | expected goals (xG) | 2.57 |
| 18 | shots | 18 |
| 4 | on target | 8 |
| 60% | possession | 40% |
| 6 | corners | 4 |
| 8 | fouls | 16 |
| 4 | saves | 2 |
| 2 | yellow cards | 3 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
Raków Częstochowa- 1K. Trelowski6.3
- 2J. Napieraj5.7
- 4S. Svarnas6.3
- 3A. Brorsson6.1
- 7F. Tudor6.4
- 5M. Bulat6.0
- 6O. Repka5.9
- 20Jean Carlos5.8
- 23K. Struski5.5
- 9P. Makuch7.5
- 11M. Emreli6.2
- 19N. Zätterström
- 39I. Brusbergon 61'7.0
- 80L. Diaby-Fadigaon 76'5.9
- 71T. Karić
- 10V. Kochergin
- 15O. Kwiatkowski
- 44B. Mirčetićon 72'5.7
- 88A. Molnaron 61'5.6
- 36M. Perović
- 21T. Pieńko
- 25B. Racovițan
- 99Adam Basseon 61'6.4
GKS Katowice- 87G. Kobylak6.3
- 55Pau Resta6.4
- 6L. Klemenz6.1
- 30A. Czerwiński6.7
- 7M. Wdowiak6.8
- 77M. Kowalczyk7.6
- 19K. Łukasiak6.8
- 23M. Wasielewski6.2
- 27B. Nowak — highest feed rating in the match8.6
- 17I. Shkurin8.2
- 10M. Wędrychowski6.3
- 22S. Milewskion 78'6.6
- 14M. Olsen
- 68B. Wolski
- 99A. Zreľákon 87'6.5
- 15E. Markovićon 78'6.0
- 1M. Kikolski
- 97E. Jirka
- 4A. Jędrychon 70'6.4
- 8Borja Galánon 70'6.9
- 31S. Bartlewicz
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 5 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet won. The other 2 bet on over 3 goals — the bet won.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:22 UTC
The meetings between these two rarely pass without goals at both ends. They shared a 3-3 draw in the cup in April, then played out 1-1 in a friendly in July. All five of Raków Częstochowa's home games this season have featured goals from both sides and at least three goals in total, an average of 4.2 per match with 2.6 conceded. GKS Katowice sit ninth on 12 points after eight rounds and have scored in three of their five away trips, while the hosts prop up the table with three points from nine games and get no help from their defence. The market puts the chance of both teams scoring at 64%.
Where we could be wrong
The other half of the visitors' away record is the concern: in two of those five trips they failed to score at all, and in December 2025 Raków Częstochowa won 1-0 against GKS Katowice at home without conceding. We still side with the trend here, and our pick is both teams to score.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Raków Częstochowa| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10 | Polonia Bytomclub friendly | H | 4:1 | W |
| 19.09 | Korona Kielce | A | 2:3 | L |
| 15.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | H | 2:3 | L |
| 11.09 | Motor Lublin | H | 2:1 | W |
| 06.09 | Lech Poznań | A | 0:1 | L |
GKS Katowice| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.10 | Baník Ostravaclub friendly | H | 1:1 | D |
| 19.09 | Cracovia | H | 3:2 | W |
| 12.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | A | 1:2 | L |
| 04.09 | Piast Gliwice | A | 0:3 | L |
| 30.08 | Górnik Zabrze | A | 3:2 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.3 / 2.5 | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 90% | 89% | |
| both scored | 90% | 67% | |
| clean sheets | 0% | 11% | |
| failed to score | 10% | 22% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.5 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 1.8 | |
| average total | 4.3 | 3.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 83% | |
| both scored | 100% | 67% | |
- Raków Częstochowa score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
- GKS Katowice score more than the league average: 2.2 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Raków Częstochowa, away games only for GKS Katowice
Head to head
3–2–1Raków Częstochowa wins · draws · GKS Katowice wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice | 1:1 | 16.07.26 | club friendly |
| Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice | 3:3 | 09.04.26 | Polish Cup |
| Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice | 1:0 | 07.12.25 | |
| GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa | 0:1 | 19.07.25 | |
| Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice | 1:2 | 08.02.25 | |
| GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa | 0:1 | 03.08.24 |
- both scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 2 of 6
