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data updated 18.10 03:20

FINISHED

Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa 1:2: result and odds

Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa finished 1:2. The AI models' pick was Wieczysta Kraków to win at 2.03, and it lost.

published · updated UTC

Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa

AI models' pick: Wieczysta Kraków to win

2.03

AI models' pick · 7 of 15 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

lost−1.00 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:112%odds 7.14

2:1 9%2:0 7%1:2 7% — this score came in

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 16.10 15:19

result11.99 — matches our bet−0.37X3.78+0.1123.18+0.54
total 3O1.78−0.08U1.92+0.10
both to scoreyes1.44−0.03no2.56+0.07
double chance1X1.32−0.13121.23−0.02X21.71+0.15
handicapH1 −12.80−0.70H2 +11.39+0.17

Over 3 days a Wieczysta Kraków win shortened from 2.36 to 1.99 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Wieczysta Kraków: 2.03 → 1.99 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (a Wieczysta Kraków win) has shortened from 2.03 to 1.99: the market now rates it as more likely.

Wieczysta Kraków2.36 → 1.99our betDraw3.67 → 3.78Raków Częstochowa2.64 → 3.18
2.002.503.003.5013 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 OctWe published · 2.03Draw 3.78Raków Częstochowa 3.18Wieczysta Kraków 1.99

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenWieczysta Kraków · our betDrawRaków Częstochowa
1.99−0.033.78+0.023.18+0.05
2.02−0.013.76−0.033.13+0.04
We published a Wieczysta Kraków win at 2.03
2.03−0.013.79+0.023.09+0.05
2.04+0.013.77−0.023.04−0.01
2.03−0.013.79+0.013.05
2.04−0.063.78+0.043.05+0.10
2.10−0.013.74−0.032.95+0.03
2.11−0.133.77−0.012.92+0.17
2.24−0.123.78+0.112.75+0.11
2.36opened3.67opened2.64opened
54 snapshots · the prices changed 9 times

How the match went

half-time 0:0

match report · 16.10 17:53

  1. 32'Raków CzęstochowaBogdan Racovitan YC
  2. 56'Raków CzęstochowaStratos Svarnas YC
  3. 59'Wieczysta Krakówon Lisandro Semedo, off José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido
  4. 62'Raków Częstochowaon Lamine Diaby Fadiga, off Isak Brusberg
  5. 62'Raków Częstochowaon Jean Carlos, off Tomasz Pienko
  6. 63'Wieczysta KrakówDuje Dujmovic YC
  7. 65'Wieczysta KrakówAntonio Milic YC
  8. 67'Wieczysta KrakówKamil Pestka YC
  9. 69'Wieczysta KrakówLisandro Semedo (Efthymios Koulouris)1:0
  10. 76'Raków Częstochowapenalty confirmed (VAR) · Oskar Repka
  11. 79'Raków CzęstochowaLamine Diaby Fadiga penalty1:1
  12. 79'Wieczysta Krakówon Matúš Vojtko, off Kamil Pestka
  13. 79'Wieczysta Krakówon Christophe Lungoyi, off Efthymios Koulouris
  14. 87'Raków Częstochowaon Adam Basse, off Mahir Emreli
  15. 87'Wieczysta Krakówon Bartosz Bialek, off Lucas Piazón
  16. 87'Wieczysta Krakówon Kamil Dankowski, off Karol Fila
  17. 88'Raków CzęstochowaLamine Diaby Fadiga (Patryk Makuch)1:2
  18. 90+1'Raków Częstochowaon Nils Zätterström, off Erick Otieno
  19. 90+1'Raków Częstochowaon Arvid Brorsson, off Patryk Makuch
Match stats: Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa
Wieczysta KrakówstatRaków Częstochowa
1.57expected goals (xG)2.70
14shots23
3on target13
48%possession52%
5corners4
9fouls10
11saves2
3yellow cards2
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Wieczysta Kraków

formation 3-4-3 · manager Ž. Kopić

starting XIfeed rating
  • 77M. Kochalski — highest feed rating in the match8.8
  • 55D. Dujmović6.4
  • 16A. Milić6.3
  • 15A. Đermanović6.8
  • 33K. Pestka6.5
  • 20M. Maigaard6.4
  • 10T. Christensen6.9
  • 4K. Fila6.7
  • 12Lucas Piazón6.7
  • 9E. Koulouris7.1
  • 19José de la Rosa6.6
substitutes
  • 17K. Dankowskion 87'6.3
  • 21B. Białekon 87'5.9
  • 11N. Knežević
  • 8B. Lederman
  • 88C. Lungoyion 79'6.1
  • 23Miki Villar
  • 1A. Mikułko
  • 97T. Mras
  • 70P. Pušić
  • 7Lisandro Semedoon 59'7.5
  • 27M. Vojtkoon 79'6.5
  • 13K. Zagrodzki
Raków Częstochowa

formation 4-4-1-1 · manager T. Kaczmarek

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1K. Trelowski6.6
  • 26E. Otieno7.7
  • 4S. Svarnas6.4
  • 25B. Racovițan6.7
  • 7F. Tudor6.8
  • 21T. Pieńko6.5
  • 6O. Repka6.1
  • 23K. Struski7.1
  • 11M. Emreli6.5
  • 39I. Brusberg6.3
  • 9P. Makuch7.7
substitutes
  • 3A. Brorssonon 90+1'
  • 29W. Żołneczko
  • 19N. Zätterströmon 90+1'
  • 20Jean Carloson 62'6.2
  • 36M. Perović
  • 44B. Mirčetić
  • 15O. Kwiatkowski
  • 10V. Kochergin
  • 71T. Karić
  • 80L. Diaby-Fadigaon 62'8.2
  • 99Adam Basseon 87'6.9
  • 2J. Napieraj

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on a Wieczysta Kraków win — the bet lost. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Wieczysta Kraków not losing. 7 more bet on both teams to score — the bet won.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:02 UTC

Raków Częstochowa have picked up three points from 10 rounds and sit 18th. On the road they have gone four matches without a win, averaging one goal scored and two conceded. Wieczysta Kraków are a different proposition at home: 1.7 goals a game with one conceded, and across five matches this season they hold the edge in chances created, 1.97 against 1.14. The price on the hosts has shortened from 2.36 to 2.03 in three days, and at 46% the home win is the biggest share of the three outcomes.

Where we could be wrong

There are holes in the case. Wieczysta have lost one of three at home and kept a clean sheet just once, while Raków have failed to score in only one of their four away trips. The visitors need points, they will take risks, and a single goal in reply can turn a match like this. The hosts' form is ragged too: one win in the last five meetings, with seven scored and seven conceded. Even so, we're backing Wieczysta to win at 2.03.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Wieczysta Kraków
Recent matches: Wieczysta Kraków
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12.10GKS KatowiceA1:2xG 2.6–0.9L
09.10Wisła PłockH3:0xG 1.8–0.6W
02.10Puszcza Niepołomiceclub friendlyH4:3W
18.09Widzew ŁódźA2:2xG 2.3–1.1D
13.09Pogoń SzczecinA0:2xG 1.2–1.9L
07.09Zagłębie LubinH1:1D
Raków Częstochowa
Recent matches: Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09.10GKS KatowiceH1:4xG 1.2–2.6L
02.10Polonia Bytomclub friendlyH4:1W
19.09Korona KielceA2:3xG 1.8–3.5L
15.09Zagłębie LubinH2:3xG 2.2–1.4L
11.09Motor LublinH2:1xG 1.0–1.8W
06.09Lech PoznańA0:1xG 0.4–3.4L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstWieczysta KrakówRaków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
goals1.5 / 1.91.3 / 2.51.5
matches over 2.570%90%
both scored70%90%
clean sheets10%0%
failed to score20%10%
home / away
goals1.7 / 11 / 2
average total2.73
matches over 2.567%75%
both scored67%75%
  • Raków Częstochowa score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
  • Raków Częstochowa: 3 league defeats in a row
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Wieczysta Kraków, away games only for Raków Częstochowa

League table

League standings: Ekstraklasa
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
14Motor Lublin102-3-512–179LLLDW
15Wieczysta Kraków102-2-615–198DLDWL
16Radomiak Radom102-2-69–238WDLLL
17Śląsk Wrocław101-3-612–196DLLLL
18Raków Częstochowa101-0-913–253LWLLL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Wieczysta Kraków
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3020
  • 31-4524
  • 46-6023
  • 61-7562
  • 76-9038
Raków Częstochowa
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3011
  • 31-4547
  • 46-6034
  • 61-7514
  • 76-9048

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Ekstraklasa results
0:0Widzew Łódź–Wisła KrakówOur pick:BTTSprediction lost12 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.29X 3.482 2.813:2Motor Lublin–Śląsk WrocławOur pick:1prediction won8 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.83X 3.632 3.860:1GKS Katowice–Pogoń SzczecinOur pick:1prediction lost6 of 15 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 1.96X 3.602 3.40