FINISHED
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisła Płock 3:0: result and odds
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisła Płock finished 3:0. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.54, and it lost.
- Referee: Bartosz Frankowski
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 10 of 34
- +12°, overcast
- ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.54AI models' pick · 12 of 15 for this bet, 3 for others
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 8%1:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 4 days a draw drifted from 3.43 to 3.54 — fewer bets on the draw.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementdraw 3.43 → 3.54 over 4 days · 2 snapshotsView
This market has barely moved: Wieczysta Kraków 2.08 → 2.10, Draw 3.43 → 3.54, Wisła Płock 2.98 → 3.03.
Price changes
| When | Wieczysta Kraków | Draw | Wisła Płock |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10+0.02 | 3.54+0.11 | 3.03+0.05 | |
| 2.08opened | 3.43opened | 2.98opened |
How the match went
Wieczysta Kraków beat Wisła Płock 3-0 at home, leading 1-0 at the break after Lucas Piazón opened the scoring on 34 minutes, set up by José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido. Lisandro Semedo doubled the lead on 68 minutes, teed up by Kamil Pestka, then added a third deep into stoppage time with a pass from Piazón. Karol Fila's effort on 86 minutes was ruled out after a VAR check, the only moment that threatened the scoreline. Expected goals read 1.91 to 0.63, in keeping with how one-sided the game looked. Our both-teams-to-score bet, taken at 1.54, went down, since Wisła Płock never found the net. The home win was rated around 2.10 before kick-off, while the draw sat near 3.54. A Wisła Płock win was quoted close to 3.03. The goals market favoured overs for the 2.5 line, which the match produced with three goals scored.
- 34'Lucas Piazón (José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido)1:0
- 41'Tobias Christensen YC
- 42'on Kamil Dankowski, off Antonio Milic
- 55'on Lisandro Semedo, off Efthymios Koulouris
- 58'Kamil Pestka YC
- 59'on Dion Gallapeni, off Jurica Pršir
- 59'on Said Hamulic, off Łukasz Sekulski
- 60'on Fabian Hiszpański, off Olaf Kobacki
- 64'Sidnei·Tavares YC
- 68'Lisandro Semedo (Kamil Pestka)2:0
- 75'on Bartosz Bialek, off José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido
- 75'on Petar Pusic, off Tobias Christensen
- 75'on Deni Jurić, off Samuel Akere
- 75'on Krystian Pomorski, off Sidnei·Tavares
- 76'Aleksandar Djermanovic YC
- 86'goal disallowed (VAR) · Karol Fila
- 90+6'Lisandro Semedo (Lucas Piazón)3:0
| Wieczysta Kraków | stat | Wisła Płock |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | expected goals (xG) | 0.63 |
| 15 | shots | 11 |
| 6 | on target | 2 |
| 52% | possession | 48% |
| 6 | corners | 7 |
| 16 | fouls | 5 |
| 2 | saves | 3 |
| 3 | yellow cards | 1 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
Wieczysta Kraków- 77M. Kochalski6.7
- 55D. Dujmović7.5
- 16A. Milić7.3
- 15A. Đermanović6.9
- 33K. Pestka6.9
- 20M. Maigaard7.4
- 10T. Christensen7.2
- 4K. Fila7.2
- 12Lucas Piazón — highest feed rating in the match9.0
- 9E. Koulouris6.6
- 19José de la Rosa6.4
- 7Lisandro Semedoon 55'8.3
- 27M. Vojtko
- 13K. Zagrodzki
- 17K. Dankowskion 42'7.7
- 21B. Białekon 75'6.4
- 8B. Lederman
- 88C. Lungoyi
- 1A. Mikułko
- 97T. Mras
- 70P. Pušićon 75'6.8
- 23Miki Villar
Wisła Płock- 12R. Leszczyński5.9
- 34Afonso Silva6.5
- 35M. Kamiński6.6
- 4M. Haglind-Sangré6.5
- 23P. Kun6.2
- 5Sidnei Tavares5.7
- 18J. Pršir6.7
- 21Ž. Rogelj6.3
- 7O. Kobacki6.0
- 20Ł. Sekulski6.3
- 57S. Akere5.9
- 41M. Więckowski
- 88K. Savvidīs
- 6K. Pomorskion 75'5.8
- 44P. Misiak
- 91G. Kuchko
- 9D. Jurićon 75'6.4
- 16F. Hiszpańskion 60'6.1
- 10S. Hamulićon 59'6.2
- 19D. Gallapenion 59'5.8
- 26J. Burek
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. 2 more bet on Wisła Płock not losing — the bet lost. One more bet on over 2.5 goals.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:22 UTC
Goals have gone in at both ends in both of Wieczysta Kraków's home matches so far: neither the hosts nor their opponents managed a clean sheet. Over the last five games Wieczysta have scored five and conceded 10, while Wisła Płock have six scored and nine conceded, so neither defence is holding up. On the road Wisła concede 1.8 per game and score 1.2, both teams found the net in three of their five away fixtures, and the average goal total in those matches sits at 3. The market rates the chance of both teams scoring at 60%, and the price of 1.54 fits that picture, which is why we're backing both teams to score.
Where we could be wrong
The counter-argument is that Wisła arrive on the back of two straight wins and may be more careful against the side sitting 17th in the table: they did keep a clean sheet in one of their five away games. Wieczysta, meanwhile, have just five points after eight rounds and are struggling in front of goal, so the cutting edge might not be there.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Wieczysta Kraków| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10 | Puszcza Niepołomiceclub friendly | H | 4:3 | W |
| 18.09 | Widzew Łódź | A | 2:2 | D |
| 13.09 | Pogoń Szczecin | A | 0:2 | L |
| 07.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | H | 1:1 | D |
| 03.09 | Avia ŚwidnikPolish Cup | A | 1:3 | L |
Wisła Płock| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10 | Unia Skierniewiceclub friendly | H | 3:1 | W |
| 20.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | A | 2:0 | W |
| 13.09 | Cracovia | H | 3:1 | W |
| 07.09 | Pogoń Szczecin | A | 1:1 | D |
| 02.09 | LuzinoPolish Cup | A | 3:2 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.6 / 1.9 | 1 / 1.7 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 56% | |
| both scored | 67% | 44% | |
| clean sheets | 11% | 22% | |
| failed to score | 22% | 44% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.7 / 1 | 1 / 2 | |
| average total | 2.7 | 3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 67% | |
| both scored | 67% | 50% | |
- Wisła Płock score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.5
- Wieczysta Kraków without a win in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Wieczysta Kraków, away games only for Wisła Płock
