19 Oct
Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom: AI prediction and betting pick
On 19 October, Wisła Płock host Radomiak Radom. The AI models' pick is Wisła Płock to win at 1.89: 13 of 15 models chose it.
- Referee: Daniel Stefanski
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 11 of 34
- +7°, drizzle, wind 16 km/h
- Orlen Stadion, Płock
published UTC
AI models' pick: Wisła Płock to win
1.89AI models' pick · 13 of 15 for this bet, 2 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
2:1 10%2:0 8%1:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 5 days a Wisła Płock win shortened from 1.97 to 1.87 — money is coming in on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Wisła Płock: 1.89 → 1.87 since we publishedView
The biggest move is a Wisła Płock win: from 1.97 to 1.87.
Price changes
| When | Wisła Płock · our bet | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.87−0.02 | 3.66+0.01 | 3.63+0.07 | |
| We published a Wisła Płock win at 1.89 | |||
| 1.89−0.03 | 3.65+0.03 | 3.56+0.07 | |
| 1.92−0.04 | 3.62+0.07 | 3.49+0.12 | |
| 1.96−0.01 | 3.55−0.06 | 3.37−0.07 | |
| 1.97opened | 3.61opened | 3.44opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Wisła Płock win. 2 more went for over 2.5 goals.
- 13 of 151our betodds 1.89ChatGPT
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistral
SonarXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Super - 2 of 15O 2.5odds 1.63ClaudeDeepSeek
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:03 UTC
Radomiak Radom have been dismal on the road this season: one point from four away matches, 0.5 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per game. They sit 16th with 8 points after 10 rounds, below Wisła Płock, who are 12th with 11 points from nine games. The hosts have also been steadier across the last five matches, while their opponents have lost three in a row. The market has taken note — in three days the price on a home win has shortened from 1.97 to 1.89, and the hosts are rated at 49%.
The question is where Płock find their goals. At home Wisła average a goal per game, and in four matches this season they failed to score at all. Back in April they lost 0-1 to Radomiak on their own ground. If the visitors sit deep and defend their goal, everything could hinge on one accurate strike.
Where we could be wrong
Even so, the gap in form and the state of Radomiak's away record are hard to ignore. Our pick is Wisła Płock to win at 1.89.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Wisła Płock| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10 | Wieczysta Kraków | A | 0:3xG 0.6–1.8 | L |
| 02.10 | Unia Skierniewiceclub friendly | H | 3:1 | W |
| 20.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | A | 2:0xG 1.2–1.1 | W |
| 13.09 | Cracovia | H | 3:1xG 1.5–1.1 | W |
| 07.09 | Pogoń Szczecin | A | 1:1 | D |
| 02.09 | LuzinoPolish Cup | A | 3:2 | W |
Radomiak Radom| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10 | Motor Lublin | H | 2:3xG 0.9–2.6 | L |
| 03.10 | ŁKS Łódźclub friendly | H | — | |
| 02.10 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowieckiclub friendly | H | 7:2 | W |
| 20.09 | Lech Poznań | A | 1:5xG 1.0–4.0 | L |
| 14.09 | Piast Gliwice | H | 0:2 | L |
| 05.09 | Widzew Łódź | A | 0:0xG 1.7–1.6 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 2.3 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 56% | 70% | |
| both scored | 44% | 60% | |
| clean sheets | 22% | 20% | |
| failed to score | 44% | 40% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1 / 1 | 0.5 / 3.3 | |
| average total | 2 | 3.8 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 33% | 75% | |
| both scored | 33% | 50% | |
- Wisła Płock score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.5
- Radomiak Radom score less than the league average: 0.9 vs 1.5
- Radomiak Radom: 3 league defeats in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Wisła Płock, away games only for Radomiak Radom
Head to head
3–3–2Wisła Płock wins · draws · Radomiak Radom wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom | 0:1 | 26.04.26 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Wisła Płock | 1:1 | 27.10.25 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Wisła Płock | 0:4 | 22.01.25 | club friendly |
| Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom | 1:0 | 17.11.23 | club friendly |
| Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom | 1:1 | 02.04.23 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Wisła Płock | 2:0 | 10.09.22 | |
| Radomiak Radom vs Wisła Płock | 1:1 | 07.02.22 | |
| Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom | 1:0 | 09.08.21 |
- both scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 1 of 8
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12–15 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3-2-4 | 9–15 | 11 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1-6-3 | 14–15 | 9 | LDDDL |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15–19 | 8 | DLDWL |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9–23 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Śląsk Wrocław | 10 | 1-3-6 | 12–19 | 6 | DLLLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1511
- 16-3012
- 31-4523
- 46-6022
- 61-7515
- 76-9013
- 0-1514
- 16-3012
- 31-4524
- 46-6035
- 61-7525
- 76-9012
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
