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Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok: AI prediction and betting pick
On 18 October, Zagłębie Lubin host Jagiellonia Białystok. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.60: 11 of 15 models chose it.
- Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 11 of 34
- +15°, cloudy
- KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
published UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.60AI models' pick · 11 of 15 for this bet, 4 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
2:1 8%1:2 8%0:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 5 days a Zagłębie Lubin win shortened from 2.78 to 2.59 — money is coming in on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.60 → 1.59 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.60 → 1.59, No 2.19 → 2.22.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59−0.01 | 2.22 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.60 | ||
| 1.60 | 2.22+0.01 | |
| 1.60 | 2.21+0.02 | |
| 1.60opened | 2.19opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 2 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 2 chose a bet each: double chance and a Zagłębie Lubin handicap.
- 11 of 15BTTSour betodds 1.60ClaudeDeepSeek
GeminiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistral
Sonar
Dots3-NoteNemotron Super - 2 of 15O 2.5odds 1.76
GrokKimi - 1 of 15X2odds 1.42Xiaomi MiMo
- 1 of 15DNB 1odds 2.06ChatGPT
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:03 UTC
Jagiellonia Białystok have not kept a clean sheet in four away matches, shipping 1.8 goals a game, and their trips average 3.8 goals in total, with both teams scoring in three of the four. The attack travels well too: two goals a game on the road. Zagłębie Lubin are solid in front of their own fans — three wins, a draw and a defeat, 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded — and the price on the hosts has shortened from 2.78 to 2.6 in three days. The market rates both teams scoring at 58%, which sits about right against odds of 1.60, and that is our pick.
Where we could be wrong
The argument against is the character of Zagłębie's home games, which have often been tight: both teams have scored in only 40% of them, and the hosts themselves have been shut out three times this season, with low possession and weak xG numbers behind it. The previous meetings tell the same story — November 2025 finished as a goalless draw, and in May Jagiellonia won 1-0, so the visitors have kept Zagłębie off the scoresheet twice in a row.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Zagłębie Lubin| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Cracovia | A | 1:3xG 1.1–2.9 | L |
| 03.10 | Miedz Legnicaclub friendly | H | 1:0 | W |
| 20.09 | Wisła Płock | H | 0:2xG 1.1–1.2 | L |
| 15.09 | Raków Częstochowa | A | 3:2xG 1.4–2.2 | W |
| 12.09 | GKS Katowice | H | 2:1 | W |
| 07.09 | Wieczysta Kraków | A | 1:1 | D |
Jagiellonia Białystok| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Ararat-ArmeniaEuropa League | H | 3:1xG 2.1–1.0 | W |
| 10.10 | Górnik Zabrze | H | 1:3xG 0.6–2.1 | L |
| 03.10 | Polonia Warszawaclub friendly | H | 1:2 | L |
| 29.09 | Suduva Marijampoleclub friendly | H | 5:0 | W |
| 20.09 | Legia Warsaw | H | 1:3xG 2.3–1.8 | L |
| 16.09 | OlympiacosEuropa League | A | 1:2xG 0.5–2.5 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 67% | |
| both scored | 60% | 67% | |
| clean sheets | 30% | 11% | |
| failed to score | 30% | 22% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.2 / 0.8 | 2 / 1.8 | |
| average total | 2 | 3.8 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 40% | 75% | |
| both scored | 40% | 75% | |
- Zagłębie Lubin score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
- Jagiellonia Białystok: 3 league defeats in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Zagłębie Lubin, away games only for Jagiellonia Białystok
Head to head
2–3–5Zagłębie Lubin wins · draws · Jagiellonia Białystok wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia Białystok vs Zagłębie Lubin | 1:0 | 23.05.26 | |
| Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok | 0:0 | 30.11.25 | |
| Jagiellonia Białystok vs Zagłębie Lubin | 0:1 | 11.07.25 | club friendly |
| Jagiellonia Białystok vs Zagłębie Lubin | 1:3 | 21.04.25 | |
| Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok | 1:3 | 19.10.24 | |
| Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok | 1:2 | 20.04.24 | |
| Jagiellonia Białystok vs Zagłębie Lubin | 3:0 | 20.10.23 | |
| Jagiellonia Białystok vs Zagłębie Lubin | 2:2 | 18.03.23 | |
| Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok | 1:1 | 04.09.22 | |
| Jagiellonia Białystok vs Zagłębie Lubin | 2:1 | 03.04.22 |
- both scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4-3-3 | 12–12 | 15 | DWLWL |
| 9 | Zagłębie Lubin | 10 | 4-3-3 | 12–13 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 4-0-5 | 13–16 | 12 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12–15 | 11 | LLLLW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1510
- 16-3011
- 31-4513
- 46-6011
- 61-7521
- 76-9067
- 0-1502
- 16-3021
- 31-4561
- 46-6005
- 61-7511
- 76-9055
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
