22 Oct
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: AI prediction and betting pick
On 22 October, Beşiktaş host Crystal Palace. The AI models' pick is Beşiktaş to win at 2.16: 6 of 15 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.
- Europa League, matchday 3 of 8
- +18°, overcast
- Tüpraş Stadyumu, Istanbul
published UTC
AI models' pick: Beşiktaş to win
2.16AI models' pick · 6 of 15 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
1:2 9%2:1 8%0:1 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Beşiktaş: 2.16 → 2.16 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Beşiktaş 2.16 → 2.16, Draw 3.68 → 3.68, Crystal Palace 3.07 → 3.07.
Price changes
| When | Beşiktaş · our bet | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| We published a Beşiktaş win at 2.16 | |||
| 2.16opened | 3.68opened | 3.07opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Beşiktaş win. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Beşiktaş not losing and Beşiktaş −1. 5 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 3 went for both teams to score.
- 5 of 151our betodds 2.16
GeminiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMNemotron Super - 1 of 151Xsame directionodds 1.37
Sonar - 1 of 15H1 (−1)same directionodds 3.09
Dots3-Note - 5 of 15O 2.5odds 1.58ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekKimiXiaomi MiMo
- 3 of 15BTTSodds 1.48
GrokMiniMaxMistral
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 20:50 UTC
Beşiktaş have not dropped a single home game in the league: four wins from four, with 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match. Across all competitions they have 16 goals from six outings, and the underlying work backs it up — 18.2 shots a game, 6.3 of them on target.
Crystal Palace are more restrained on the road. They see less of the ball and get off 12.8 shots a game, and last season they failed to score in 26% of their away matches. The odds have not moved at all in the last 24 hours, with the hosts available at 2.16 — the market rates them at 44%, and for a side that rarely slips up in Istanbul that is a decent price.
Where we could be wrong
The risk sits with the opposition. Crystal Palace have 11 goals in five matches this season, and an attack like that needs only one clear-cut chance to take a draw home with them. For this Europa League tie, our pick is a Beşiktaş win at 2.16.
- 6 of 15 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction; more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Beşiktaş| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Hoffenheim | A | 3:2xG 3.4–1.2 | W |
| 11.10 | KocaelisporSuper Lig | H | 2:1xG 2.2–1.5 | W |
| 20.09 | AmedsporSuper Lig | A | 2:3xG 2.0–1.5 | L |
| 17.09 | Marseille | H | 4:1 | W |
| 11.09 | ErzurumsporSuper Lig | H | 3:0xG 2.3–0.5 | W |
| 05.09 | FenerbahçeSuper Lig | A | 2:1xG 1.8–0.6 | W |
Crystal Palace| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Lyon | A | 2:3xG 1.6–2.1 | L |
| 11.10 | Nottingham ForestPremier League | H | 3:1xG 2.4–3.0 | W |
| 03.10 | Bristol Cityclub friendly | H | 0:2 | L |
| 20.09 | Leeds UnitedPremier League | A | 0:0xG 1.1–1.3 | D |
| 17.09 | Lech Poznań | H | 4:0 | W |
| 12.09 | Ipswich TownPremier League | H | 2:3 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Benfica | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6–1 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7–3 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5–1 | 6 | WW |
| 14 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1-1-0 | 1–0 | 4 | DW |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1-0-1 | 6–3 | 3 | WL |
| 16 | Milan | 2 | 1-0-1 | 4–2 | 3 | LW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
