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Celje vs Omonia: AI prediction and betting pick
On 15 October, Celje host Omonia. The AI models' pick is Omonia to win at 2.78: 6 of 16 models chose it, 3 more went in the same direction.
- Referee: Elcin Masiyev
- Europa League, matchday 2 of 8
- +16°, overcast
- Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
published UTC
AI models' pick: Omonia to win
2.78Now 2.74 · 2.78 when published
AI models' pick · 6 of 16 on this bet · 3 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
likely score
0:2 11%0:1 10%1:2 10%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 4 days an Omonia win shortened from 2.78 to 2.74 — money is coming in on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Omonia: 2.78 → 2.74 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (an Omonia win) has shortened from 2.78 to 2.74: the market now rates it as more likely.
Price changes
| When | Celje | Draw | Omonia · our bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.48+0.01 | 3.39−0.01 | 2.74 | |
| 2.47+0.01 | 3.40+0.02 | 2.74−0.04 | |
| 2.46+0.01 | 3.38−0.02 | 2.78+0.01 | |
| 2.45+0.03 | 3.40+0.02 | 2.77−0.01 | |
| We published an Omonia win at 2.78 | |||
| 2.42 | 3.38 | 2.78−0.01 | |
| 2.42 | 3.38 | 2.79+0.01 | |
| 2.42opened | 3.38opened | 2.78opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for an Omonia win. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: Omonia not losing. 2 more each for over 2.5 goals, for under 2.5 goals and for at least one side failing to score. One more went for both teams to score.
- 6 of 162our betodds 2.78
GrokKimi
GLMMistralNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 3 of 16X2same directionodds 1.53QwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMax
- 2 of 16O 2.5odds 1.81
SonarXiaomi MiMo - 2 of 16U 2.5odds 1.99Claude
Gemini - 2 of 16BTTS noodds 2.16ChatGPTDeepSeek
- 1 of 16BTTSodds 1.64
Dots3-Note
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 12.10 at 08:41 UTC
Omonia have scored 12 and conceded three in six matches this season, while Celje have four goals scored and five against over the same six games, with zero points on the board against three for the Cypriots. Travel does not trouble the visitors: in 18 away matches last season Omonia kept a clean sheet in half of them, and the average return in those games reached 3.3 goals. The odds have not moved by a hundredth in two days, and Omonia are rated at 34% — a fair share for a side that has won three home matches in a row and scores two a game.
Where we could be wrong
At home, though, Celje drag the game down to a low tempo: their home matches average 1.8 goals, over 2.5 goals has landed in only one in five, and in 40% of them the hosts did not concede at all. Add that Omonia's big away numbers were built mostly in the Cypriot league, where the resistance is noticeably weaker. Our pick is an Omonia win at 2.78, with the clear risk that the one goal of separation never arrives.
- Bookmakers: Celje looks more likely.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
Celjeno absences listed
Omoniano absences listed
managers: Zoran Zeljkovic · H. Berg
Recent matches
Celje| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Aluminij1. SNL | H | 1:0 | W |
| 20.09 | Mura1. SNL | A | 0:0 | D |
| 16.09 | Bayer Leverkusen | A | 0:2xG 0.9–1.9 | L |
| 12.09 | Bravo1. SNL | A | 1:2 | L |
| 06.09 | Koper1. SNL | H | 0:1 | L |
| 02.09 | Aluminij1. SNL | A | 2:0 | W |
Omonia| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10 | Karmiotissa1. Division | A | 3:0 | W |
| 20.09 | Krasava Ypsonas1. Division | H | 4:1 | W |
| 16.09 | Celta Vigo | H | 1:0xG 0.3–1.2 | W |
| 12.09 | Apollon Limassol1. Division | H | 0:0 | D |
| 07.09 | Aris1. Division | A | 4:1 | W |
| 03.09 | PafosSuper Cup | H | 0:1 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1-0-0 | 1–0 | 3 | W |
| 16 | Omonia | 1 | 1-0-0 | 1–0 | 3 | W |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0–0 | 1 | D |
| 30 | Milan | 1 | 0-0-1 | 0–2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0-0-1 | 0–2 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0-0-1 | 1–4 | 0 | L |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
