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Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: AI prediction and betting pick
On 15 October, Dinamo Zagreb host Anderlecht. The AI models' pick is Dinamo Zagreb to win at 1.98: 7 of 16 models chose it, 2 more went in the same direction.
- Referee: Orel Grinfeld
- Europa League, matchday 2 of 8
- +11°, mostly clear
- Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
published UTC
AI models' pick: Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.98Now 2.01 · 1.98 when published
AI models' pick · 7 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
likely score
1:1 9%2:0 9%3:1 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 4 days the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Dinamo Zagreb: 1.98 → 2.01 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (a Dinamo Zagreb win) has drifted from 1.98 to 2.01: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Dinamo Zagreb · our bet | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.01+0.01 | 3.51−0.02 | 3.57−0.01 | |
| 2.00 | 3.53 | 3.58−0.01 | |
| 2.00 | 3.53+0.01 | 3.59 | |
| 2.00+0.02 | 3.52+0.01 | 3.59−0.01 | |
| We published a Dinamo Zagreb win at 1.98 | |||
| 1.98 | 3.51 | 3.60−0.01 | |
| 1.98 | 3.51 | 3.61−0.01 | |
| 1.98opened | 3.51opened | 3.62opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Dinamo Zagreb win. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Dinamo Zagreb −1. 6 more went for over 2.5 goals. One more went for both teams to score.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 12.10 at 08:42 UTC
Dinamo Zagreb went over 2.5 goals in 78% of their home matches late last season and kept a clean sheet in 39% of them. Those figures come from before the summer break, but the start of this campaign points the same way: 14 scored and eight conceded in six games across the Croatian league, the cup and the Europa League. Anderlecht, on their travels, failed to score in 35% of matches and kept a clean sheet in only 15%. The two sides met twice in the Europa League in 2018 and the Belgians did not win either game — Dinamo took it 2-0 in October and the December meeting finished as a goalless draw. The odds have not moved at all in two days, with the hosts at 1.98, a favourite with nothing in hand.
Where we could be wrong
There is a case the other way. Away from home this autumn Anderlecht have two wins and a draw in the Belgian league, with 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded per game, 60.8% possession and 5.2 shots on target. Dinamo have already shipped eight goals, and against a side that holds the ball that long they could easily drop a point at Maksimir. Even so, our pick is Dinamo Zagreb to win at 1.98.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Injuries and suspensions
Dinamo Zagrebno absences listed
Anderlechtno absences listed
managers: Mario Kovacevic · Vitor Bruno
Recent matches
Dinamo Zagreb| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Hajduk SplitHNL | A | 1:2xG 1.4–1.1 | L |
| 04.10 | Vukovarcup | A | 4:0 | W |
| 20.09 | NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | H | 3:2xG 1.9–1.4 | W |
| 16.09 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | A | 0:0 | D |
| 12.09 | NK OsijekHNL | A | 2:4xG 1.9–2.0 | L |
| 09.09 | Bedem Ivankovocup | A | 4:0 | W |
Anderlecht| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro League | A | 2:1xG 0.8–0.7 | W |
| 02.10 | Reimsclub friendly | H | 3:0 | W |
| 19.09 | Zulte WaregemBelgian Pro League | H | 3:0xG 2.6–1.0 | W |
| 16.09 | Lyon | H | 1:2xG 1.4–1.3 | L |
| 11.09 | KV MechelenBelgian Pro League | A | 1:0 | W |
| 06.09 | GenkBelgian Pro League | H | 0:0 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Head to head
1–1–0Dinamo Zagreb wins · draws · Anderlecht wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht | 0:0 | 13.12.18 | |
| Anderlecht vs Dinamo Zagreb | 0:2 | 04.10.18 |
- both scored in 0 of the last 2 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 0 of 2
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0–0 | 1 | D |
| 19 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0–0 | 1 | D |
| 20 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0–0 | 1 | D |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0-0-1 | 1–2 | 0 | L |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0-0-1 | 1–2 | 0 | L |
| 24 | Lillestrøm | 1 | 0-0-1 | 1–2 | 0 | L |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
