22 Oct
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC: AI prediction and betting pick
On 22 October, Dinamo Zagreb host NEC. The AI models' pick is Dinamo Zagreb to win at 1.71: 10 of 14 models chose it.
- Europa League, matchday 3 of 8
- +12°, light rain
- Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
published UTC
AI models' pick: Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.71AI models' pick · 10 of 14 for this bet, 4 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Dinamo Zagreb: 1.71 → 1.70 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Dinamo Zagreb 1.71 → 1.70, Draw 4.03 → 4.01, NEC 4.44 → 4.43.
Price changes
| When | Dinamo Zagreb · our bet | Draw | NEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.70−0.01 | 4.01−0.02 | 4.43−0.01 | |
| We published a Dinamo Zagreb win at 1.71 | |||
| 1.71opened | 4.03opened | 4.44opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Dinamo Zagreb win. 5 more chose close bets in the same direction: Dinamo Zagreb −1 and Dinamo Zagreb −1.5. 2 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 2 chose a bet each: a total-goals bet and both teams to score.
- 5 of 141our betodds 1.71
Gemini
GrokDeepSeek FlashXiaomi MiMoNemotron Super - 3 of 14H1 (−1)same directionodds 2.16DeepSeekQwenMiniMax
- 2 of 14H1 (−1.5)same directionodds 2.76Kimi
GLM - 2 of 14O 2.5odds 1.54ChatGPTMistral
- 1 of 14O 1.5odds 1.14
Sonar - 1 of 14BTTSodds 1.55Claude
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 20:50 UTC
Dinamo Zagreb are the side the market leans towards here, and the prices have not moved at all in the past day. The early-season numbers support that: across six matches Dinamo have scored 11 and conceded eight, while NEC have five goals scored against 13 shipped. Expected goals paint the same picture — 1.84 created and 1.42 allowed for the hosts, 1.39 and 1.84 for the Dutch side. In the Europa League table Dinamo sit 14th on four points after two rounds; NEC are 27th with a single point.
Where we could be wrong
The doubt is whether Dinamo can stick to their script for the full 90 minutes. The home side are happy to let the opponent have the ball (48.6% possession), and NEC are a team that likes to run a game through control (53.3%) and almost always found a goal away from home last season. Add a congested schedule with the Croatian league and the cup, and part of the first-choice XI could be rested. Even so, we're backing Dinamo Zagreb to win at 1.71.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Dinamo Zagreb| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Anderlecht | H | 1:0xG 2.1–1.1 | W |
| 10.10 | Hajduk SplitHNL | A | 1:2xG 1.4–1.1 | L |
| 04.10 | Vukovarcup | A | 4:0 | W |
| 20.09 | NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | H | 3:2xG 1.9–1.4 | W |
| 16.09 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | A | 0:0 | D |
| 12.09 | NK OsijekHNL | A | 2:4xG 1.9–2.0 | L |
NEC| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Levski Sofia | H | 1:1xG 2.1–1.4 | D |
| 10.10 | AjaxEredivisie | A | 1:1xG 1.1–1.9 | D |
| 20.09 | GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie | H | 1:1xG 1.0–2.3 | D |
| 17.09 | Juventus | A | 0:5 | L |
| 12.09 | CambuurEredivisie | A | 0:3 | L |
| 08.09 | ExcelsiorEredivisie | H | 2:2xG 1.4–1.8 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1-1-0 | 2–1 | 4 | DW |
| 14 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1-1-0 | 1–0 | 4 | DW |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1-0-1 | 6–3 | 3 | WL |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 0-1-1 | 0–3 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | NEC | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1–6 | 1 | LD |
| 28 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1–3 | 0 | LL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
